Thursday, June 30, 2016


MONSOON REPORT (01-6-2016 TO 30-6-2016)  
TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 30-6-2016) 145.4 mm
SEASON +/- -11%
TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER          required per day------->    mm
MINIMUM                             700   mm 6.03
AVERAGE                                890   mm 8.09
MAXIMUM                          1100   mm 10.38
CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY  4.85 mm
JUNE RAINFALL (2016) 145.4 mm
AVERAGE JUNE RAINFALL (1966 TO 2015)                                               # 167.3 mm
DEFICIT -13%
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS MONTH    mm
COASTAL KARNATAKA 962.40
KONKAN & GOA 796.20
KERALA 595.70
SHWB & SIKKIM 567.60
A & N ISLAND 429.40
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS MONTH     mm
PUNJAB 51.80
WEST RAJASTHAN 32.90
HAR. CHD & DELHI 32.40
GUJARAT REGION 31.40
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH 30.30
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS ABOVE NORMAL THIS MONTH   
RAYALASEEMA 90%
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH 77%
TELANGANA 47%
TAMILNADU & PONDICHERY 44%
N. I. KARNATAKA 31%
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS BELOW NORMAL THIS MONTH  
JHARKHAND -37%
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA -38%
NAGALAND MANIPUR MIZORAM TRIPURA -41%
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH -65%
GUJARAT REGION -76%
TOP FIVE STATES THIS MONTH    mm
GOA 1213.80
KERALA 595.70
SIKKIM 506.10
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR (UT) 429.40
MIZORAM 420.50
BOTTOM FIVE STATES THIS MONTH     mm
DELHI (UT) 50.40
PONDICHERRY (UT) 45.90
RAJASTHAN 45.20
HARYANA 31.60
GUJARAT 30.30
TOP FIVE STATES ABOVE NORMAL THIS MONTH   
ANDHRA PRADESH 81%
TELANGANA 47%
TAMIL NADU 45%
GOA 34%
KARNATAKA 19%
BOTTOM FIVE STATES BELOW NORMAL THIS MONTH  
TRIPURA -52%
DADAR & NAGAR HAVELI (UT) -56%
MEGHALAYA -61%
GUJARAT -71%
MANIPUR -73%
TOP TEN DISTRICTS THIS MONTH    mm
UDUPI (coastal karnataka) 1322.00
SOUTH GOA (konkan & goa) 1307.80
SINDHUDURG (konkan & goa) 1124.60
NORTH GOA (konkan & goa) 1107.30
RATNAGIRI (konkan & goa) 997.00
JALPAIGURI (shwb & sikkim) 996.70
DAKSHIN KANNADA (coastal karnataka) 955.30
KASARGOD (kerala) 945.50
KOZIKOD (kerala) 916.40
KOCHBIHAR (shwb & sikkim) 900.90
BOTTOM TEN DISTRICTS THIS MONTH     mm
GANGANAGAR (west rajasthan) 6.40
PULWAMA (jammu & kashmir) 6.30
KULGAM (jammu & kashmir) 6.20
FIROZPUR (punjab) 4.80
GAUTAMBUDHNAGAR (w uttar pradesh) 4.00
TUTICORIN (tamilnadu & pondicherry) 3.70
MUKTSAR (punjab) 3.20
MATHURA (w uttar pradesh) 3.10
EAST DELHI (harayana chandigarh & delhi) 3.00
LEH AND LADAKH (jammu & kashmir) 2.40
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE RAINFALL DAYS this month 9  (30%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL DAYS this month 21 (70%)
# IMD figures are different as this is 50 year average source -IMD

31 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

Raining figures everywhere....so much pain is taken by team vagaries to have such a wonderful work getting presented so quickly.... Congrats to Rajesh sir and all team members for keeping all of us enriched with such data every year. Indeed brilliant.

Abhijit said...

Superb Analysis GSB Sir..

Konkan stats looks good on paper as IMD's all stations are on coastal which has got above normal rain in June so shining on top 2nd position.. But reality is interior Konkan & ghats section is lagging way behind but only single Bhira station from whole interior Konkan to represent it..

So I feel just coastal performing and interiors in deficit is actual true picture so due to that difference we have seen hardly any rise in dams level of Maharashtra.. Coastal excess rain is drained back to sea :(

salil said...

Superb analysis Gsb sir. I see south konkan and Goa name most on West coast list.

Florence Khape said...

Mumbai is catching up today......raining for the past 6 hours in Goregaon

Vikas Malik said...

when indore and ujjain will receive heavy rain,??,,till now no major rainfaill in west MP,,,all rains is in patchy nature,,,,,

Shreyas Dhavale said...

Excellent analysis and data. Appreciate the efforts of those Vagarians.

rajesh said...

vikas: I feel on friday Indore will get upto 7-10 mms and then on Sunday and Monday around 10-15 mms.

Readers: Keep a watch on the "Flash Snippet" in blog

ANOOP RAWAT said...

First month of monsoon ends in New Delhi in deficient note so does the first half of the year.
1jan-29feb 1.3mm(-96%)
1Mar-31may 59.1mm(+24%)
1jun-30jun 33.6mm(-49%)
1jan-30jun 94.0mm(-36%)

Sarvesh said...

A basic q why the name of the blog is vagaries? Also u r showing a place on map name vagaries,i haven't heard such place. Sorry if u find this q foolish.

Zohair said...

Hmmmmmm great work..... sir I see some kind of divergence over the off shore trough, any uac likely?

sset said...

July 1 2016 - raining like waterfalls past 5 hours..early dawn @ Navi Mumbai.

Anand Agarwal said...

sir, wat abt Kolkata. no rain till now

abizer Kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,please forecast weather for roha ,pen region in flash snippet.

Salim Ramani said...

Sir
any upcoming system for East M.P ?
Jabalpur`s June total rain is 95 MM Only .
Thanks

rohit aroskar said...

Nice Analysis GSB sir

Abhijit said...

Nashik city June 2016 total rainfall only 12mm !! It would be lowest in the state as per IMD measuring station lists !!
No pre SWM Thunderstorm & now SWM also eluding yet !!

Abhijit said...

Harnai on fire.. Daily centuries, double centuries continues !! Harnai 288mm rainfall ending 8.30am today.

Swm seasonal total on 2132mm till today . And all this rain has fallen in just 22days or so..

Harnai normal annual avg is 2520mm, so 85% of avg rainfall has fallen in just 22 days !!


And on other hand straight line Mahabaleshwar wait continues for it's first century !! Whole June passed but no single day 100mm yet :(

Mahabaleshwar 72mm today & SWM total on 533mm till today.

So by looking at Harnai & Mahabaleshwar total rainfall till today, it looks like Ghats section is only in rain shadow leeward region and just coastal area in windward side !!

Mohsin mulla said...

Rajesh sir
Sir any idea of mumbai lake area rain fall.i think from yeaterday evening mumbai catchment area getting moderate to heavy rain.because our major lake and daam located in thane district.
So plz upate the lake area rainfall in thane district close to shahpur,murbad,atgaon etc. Ur view sir

Vinod Desai said...

Sir,

How would be the weather for next 3 days in Amboli as I am visiting there with my family.

Hoping to see some good rains there.

Anand Agarwal said...

sir, any update on kolkata rain

sset said...

Non stop torrential rains over Navi Mumbai. It is surprising entire west coast except konkan is receiving 3 digit rains - Harnai (as stated in blog with 290mm of rain!).
MAHA all set to become greenest state - Govt plans 50crore tree saplings...

PRASAD GODASE said...

Pune, Nagar, Nashik received very less rain till now... when situation will improve..? Coming day chances of good rain..?

Abhijit said...

Mohsin .Already we have given Mumbai/Thane dams rainfall update with dam water availability as on 30 June. Even ghats rainfall around which fills the reservoirs is provided .Please go through Mumbai page.

rajesh said...

vinod: Amboli will be foggy and wet. Temperatures in the 21-19c range.Heavy rains (in excess of 100 mms) expected.

sarvesh: Blog is the Vagaries of the weather...always vagaries in the weather. Vagaries reading is where Vagaries is Located in South Mumbai.

Salim: Jabalpur received good rain on Friday. Around 50 mms till 5.30 pm. Few showers on Saturday and Sunday. But possibility of increasing to heavy rains on Monday.

Prasad Godase: We see no major increase in Nasik and Pune region this Saturday and Sunday.

Anand: Possibility of sharp thunder showers possible in Kolkata on Saturday /Sunday.No major revival of Monsoon seen.

rajesh said...

Vagaries Blog Page Views today (Saturday)...Top Seven Countries
India 2453
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United Arab Emirates 50
Singapore 27
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Abhijit said...

As was expected, much much needed Ghats rains finally picking up which is important for reservoirs filling !! In fact first century at most places of this season today.. Some rainfall ending 8.30am today(02-07-2016):


Shirgaon 250mm
Mahabaleshwar 195mm
Khandala 196mm
Pratapgad 181mm
Patharpunj 171mm
Lonavala 163mm
Bhira 134mm
Koyana nagar 107mm
Lavasa 97mm
Bhimashankar 76mm
Igatpuri 52mm

parshuram shinde said...

Sir I'm going tomorrow for 4 days to Saundatti karnaka.
So there is heavy rain or cloudy weather for next 4 day.what is your view sir...Plz update me.

Nilay Wankawala said...

@ abhijit - Your post dated 29.06.2016 in comments section bang on target-

parshuram shinde said...

Heavy rain in santacruz.and it's continuously raining here.

rajesh said...

parshuram shinde: Being in N.I. Karnataka, we can expect some showers and cool climate. Passing shwers as we so major change in 3/4 days.But heavier rains if you are towards coast side

parshuram shinde said...

Thank u sir your update.thank u who much.