Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Monsoon Map on Current Weather Page
Mumbai City and Suburbs Rain till 8.30 pm Wed. .Scruz 181 mms, vagaries 31 mms, colaba 17 mms..Dahisar 131 mms ,Kandivili 121 mms, Borivali 93 mms, Malad 84 mms, Goregaon 80 mms
and not more than 2 mms rain in rest of Coastal cities ! 

Why only Mumbai ?? ( because Vagaries had said so ! :-)
Reason is very simply explained here...
1. The trough off the West coast has shown a slight formation off Mumbai


2. An immediatily a vortex at 500 hp forms off Mumbai...


so ......RAINS !

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MONSOON REPORT (15-6-2014 TO 30-6-2014)
TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 30-6-2014) 92.4 mm
SEASON +/- -43%
RAINFALL THIS FORTNIGHT (from 15-6-2014) 60.6 mm
TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER          required per day------->    mm
MINIMUM                             700   mm 6.6
AVERAGE                            890   mm 8.67
MAXIMUM                          1100   mm 10.95
CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY  3.08 mm
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT    mm
COASTAL KARNATAKA 298.0
SHWB & SIKKIM 286.4
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA 249.1
KERALA 223.1
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 209.3
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT     mm
MARATHWADA 13.5
RAYALASEEMA 12.8
WEST RAJASTHAN 10.3
GUJARAT REGION 9.6
HAR. CHD & DELHI 8.8
TOP TWO SUBDIVISIONS ABOVE NORMAL (as on 30th June)    mm
SHWB & SIKKIM 12%
TAMILNADU & PONDICHERRY 4%
(ONLY TWO SUBDIVISIONS ARE ABOVE NORMAL TILL DATE
that is why I have given ten subdivisions that are below normal)
BOTTOM TEN SUBDIVISIONS BELOW NORMAL (as on 30th June)    mm
UTTARAKHAND -63%
EAST RAJASTHAN -63%
KONKAN & GOA -63%
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH -66%
WEST U.P. -69%
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA -70%
WEST MADHYA PRADESH -71%
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH -74%
MARATHWADA -79%
GUJARAT REGION -91%
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS TILL 30TH JUNE 3  (10%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS TILL 30TH JUNE 27 (90%)
source -IMD

32 comments:

vishwas shinde said...

Medium to Havey rain in santacruz
Start.morning 4:30 ti now...

Will,hope it will continue

Hrishikesh said...

Mumbai is finally getting rains from early morning though it has stopped now but the clouds are still dark more rain will approach mostly I would love to see the much awaited thunderstorm in Mumbai

sam khan said...

Finally the term rain's could be applied as the rain's are getting moderate - heavy and prolonged instead of sharp shower's. thank God

KHYATI PANDIT said...

Sir what is your forcaste for rains in mumbai for wednesday,thursday n friday

Junaid said...

HEAVIEST spell of the season today, PANVEL has received a whopping 73 mm in 24 hours ending 8:30 am today!

rajesh said...

19 mms till 8.30 am here at Vagaries....now at 10.30 am, drizzles with thunder.

Hrishikesh said...

got extremely heavy rain with loud thunder currently at andheri and it is continuing

sam khan said...

Very heavy rains in Vikhroli, excellent rain's . on my way to Vasai.

KHYATI PANDIT said...

sir what is your forcaste for rains in mumbai for wednesday,thursday n friday

rajesh said...

19 mms till 8.30 am here at Vagaries....now at 10.30 am, drizzles with thunder...colaba 23 mms and scruz 12 mms...

Vinod said...

Last two hours heavy rain here in western suburb

rajesh said...

Again thundering as per our forecasts....persistent rain here this morning...10 mms after 8.30 am till 11.15 am

rajesh said...

Again thundering as per our forecasts....persistent rain here this morning...10 mms after 8.30 am till 11.15 am

Abhijit said...

Oh my God Mumbai SCZ recorded 105 mm rainfall in just 3hrs!! From 8.30am to 11.30am today..

Pressure is high at 1011 hPa. No fish clouds on west coast as not strong west coast trough.. None of the models or IMD predicted such heavy rain today !! So it is once again proved that predicting west coast rain is toughest of all !!

Nimish Thaker said...

Wow what rains today from 10:00 AM at Juhu, the rain intensity for the first 1 hour was quite strong with steady breeze.

But 105 mms in 3 hours is really something, I thought it might total up to 50 - 75 mms

SVT said...

Downpour in Dadar for last 30 minutes. Intensity of rains is incredible.

Abhijit said...

S'cruz adds another 49mm in last 3hrs. So total is 154mm till 2.30pm today.

So can it make 200 mms by 5.30pm ??

sam khan said...

EVEN VASAIHAS RECEIVED EXCELLENT RAIN'S TODAY.

Hrishikesh said...

sir any forecast for tonight tomorrow and day after? for mumbai

Amit said...

Hello Rajesh Sir,
When will the heat wave like conditions in Vidarbha abate. When are rains expected in Nagpur. It really a tough situation in Vidarbha.

Amit
Nagpur

paulodon said...

Any idea anybody from where did all the rains come from just from now where :)..and that too just over Mumbai and suburbs...!!

Abhijit said...

Mumbai S'cruz recorded massive 181 mms rainfall till 5.30pm today (i.e in just 9hrs period) . With the max temp of 25.5c . So amazing cool & rainy day for Mumbai after long time .
On other hand Colaba recorded just 10mm rainfall till 5.30pm today with max temp of 27c.

And compare Mumbai rains with west coast cities for today..

Today's West coast other cities weather till 5.30pm today :

Alibaug max temp 31.4c with 2mm rainfall
Dahanu max temp 33.8c with 0mm
Ratnagiri max temp 32.2c with 0mm
Panji max temp 32.3c with 1mm rainfall
Karwar max temp around 33c with 0mm
Honavar max temp 31.7c with 0mm
Mangalore AP max temp 29.6c with 0.1 mm
Kozhikode max temp 33.3c with 0mm
Cochin max temp 33.3c with 0mm

Hrishikesh said...

This is some magic like rain clouds formed just over Mumbai !!!

rajesh said...

Rain till 8.30 pm Wed. .Scruz 181 mms, vagaries 31 mms, colaba 17 mms

paulodon said...

iam sure our Boss Rajesh could have a explanation for todays rain..

SVT said...

WOW! How did only northen suburbs of Mumbai got heavy rains and not much else where?

rajesh said...

Vagaries report of Int Maharashtra in Lokmat Times...Page 5
http://epaper.lokmat.com/lokmattimes/epapermain.aspx?queryed=78

Hrishikesh said...

We ,people in northern suburbs are always battered with heavy rains maybe some geographical reason but it always leads to flooding that is the bad part for parle west specially

Hrishikesh said...

Sir what are the forecast for coming days ?

sam khan said...

Rajesh sir , what is the rain total of Vasai, as the rains were extremely heavy here too.

Puneet Bangera said...

Sam .Vasai got 143 mm till 8:30 am today!!

Amit said...

Rajesh Sir,
No forecast for Vidarbha anywhere.
Amit
Nagpur