Friday, July 25, 2014

Keeping watch on Western Pacific Region for tropical development....

Article on Marathwada Weather and Water Facts will appear in Lokmat Times on Monday 28th July...on Current Weather Page

Posted Friday Night:

Saturday 26th :

A UAC formed in the North Bay off the Odisha/Bengal coast at 20N, is expected to persist, and slope SW with height.

Effectively, Gangatic W.Bengal may see heavy showers on Saturday. heavy falls may exceed 70 mms. 
Kolkata can expect cloudy weather and heavy falls on Saturday.

The Monsoon axis runs from Pakistan Punjab thru North Rajasthan thru North MP thru Jharkhand into the UAC.
So, we have isolated showers  along the axis. Nothing unusual or system type. NW and North India and Pakistan may see some showers. But we see nothing meaningful from any system. Showers will be in isolated pockets in Punjab and Haryana regions.
Showers of same type in Pak Punjab also.

West coast trough remains weak. All along West coast rains remain below normal and passing showers bring 20-30 mms.

Rainfall remains subdued in Southern Peninsula and Kerala.
The UAC in the Arabian Sea gets very weak and almost fizzles out by Saturday night. Some showers along the Sindh coast on Satursday.

Sunday 27th.

The UAC in the Bay persists. Rainfall continues in Gangatic West Bengal with possible spill over in adjoining Odisha.
West coast: Same as Saturday.

Sindh Pakistan: Rainfall decreases. North India/Pakistan and NW India: same as Saturday. Isolated showers, medium in some patches.

Saurashtra and Gujarat gets a break from heavy rains...nothing meaningful. Just 1-5 mms in places.

Mumbai: Saturday and Sunday: Partly cloudy skies with sunny periods. Passing showers. Rainfall around 20 mms/day.
Eastern Outer townships get sunny periods with passing showers, some heavy. showers will not be persistent and expected rainfall around 30 mms/day.
Pune: Partly cloudy with light rains in parts of city. Rains increasing from Wednesday next.

Re Published in Detail as required by readers:
Delhi NCR: Thunder shower expected on Sunday evening. Could precipitate 20-30 mms in parts.Thunder showers may spill into Monday morning. Tuesday and Wednesday NCR region, being in the axis path, will get the passing shower in patches . Meaning no system rains.
Punjab may get the slight increase in rains on Tuesday IF the impending WD effect slides down from North Pakistan to Indian Punjab.

Next week..28th - 1st August:

The current UAC in the North Bay will strengthen, and possibly descend to sea level by 29th July. This would effectively number it as BB-5. 
This would form by 29th July off the Odisha coast and track W/NW.
West coast rains pick up after Wednesday. Particularly heavy will be along the Karnataka coast.
Upper sindh and Punjab regions of Pakistan can get precipitation. Rainfall expected in many parts of Sindh and adjoining Punjab on Tuesday and Wednesday. Coastal and Southern Sindh will be almost dry.

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As forecast last week, Parts of SE Sindh get showers on Thursday and Friday. Karachi sees mild rains on Friday and Hyderabad 20 mms.Light rains like 3 mms in Nagarparkar and 2.4 mms in Mirpurkhas was measured.

Upper Punjab received very good showers. Islamabad measured 71 mms and Rawalpindi 54 mms in the day today (Friday).
Gujarat (Pakistan) received 14 mms till Friday morning.Temperatures are in the 29-24c range.

The UAC, remant of BB-4, tracked West as expected. Thursday Rains in MP were good, and measured 36 mms at Datia, 19 mms at Deobhog.
As forcasted on Sunday 20th, , Kutch region received heavy showers. On Thursday, Anjar got 81 mms, Gandhdham 65 mms, Bachau 62 mms. 
Also in North and central Gujarat, Kheda 122 mms Bavla got 116 mms, Sanand 90 mms, Danta 88 mms,  Dascroi 63 mms 
Saurashtra lso got some showers: Muli 166 mms, Lakhtar 120 mms, Malia Miana 117 mms, Chuda 112 mms,
In South coastal Gujarat, Bardoli 106 mms and Chorasiya and Palsana 68 mms.
All along expected lines...now what ?

6 comments:

Abhijit said...

Ratnagiri max temp 35.7c which is above normal by 7c !! Also it was highest max temp in whole Maha state for today..

KHYATI PANDIT said...

sir its raining currently raining from heavy to moderately at sometimes in miraroad here.completely opposite of your forcaste so any change in your forecaste of mumbai or not sir.

Hrishikesh said...

Sir weather in Mumbai has been confusing when heavy rains were forecasted it did not rain and now when it was supposed less rain it is raining heavily the weather is turning difficult to predict sir what are ur forecast for coming days things seem to have changed ?

Nimish Thaker said...

What's with Mumbai today? Massive rains here at SCZ with steady breeze. The rain rate over the last 1.5 hrs. is quite intense, I wish the Doppler was up to see.

Was this expected today?

vishwas shinde said...

Havey rain in santacruz.

sset said...

complete darkness over Navi Mumbai but no forcast was given for extreme rains?