Posted Tuesday Night:
Well, Point 1)...Is what we feared happening? AS-1 is Eastwards of 65E, it is at 68E, and very low pressure at 993 mb....So, seems it is now diverting and "sucking up" the Monsoon clouds.
Off shore trough South of the system needs few days to re organise.....Sunday's Post Re-Printed for easy follow up:
"Sunday evening observations:
Arabian Sea Low remains weak around 1002 mb...and slight shift to North at 13N and 69.5E...three points to note:
1. If it strengthens to 999 mb or below, and stationed at 65E or Eastwards, then it will "suck up" the monsoon readiness clouds, and we wait till the off shore trough organises again.
2. Anyway, we expect a Westerly track...but, If it crosses beyond westwards of 65E, then off shore trough remains intact...wait and watch next 12 hrs...trying for mid night update again..
3. East west shear interfering presently."
Mumbai Scruz sets a new high for June, ever...recording 38.0c on the 10th..