Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Vagaries' Monsoon Contest Results !  Congratulations to the winners, for winning a very tough and Challenging Contest. Forecasting skills and meteorology knowledge at its best !
1st Place...Kartik Raghavan
2nd Place..Junaid
3rd Place...S.Subramanian, Arpit S, Salil K, Puneet B. (all Joint 3rd.)
Congratulations and Thank You to all the Participants also !

See Details of Results on Monsoon Contest Result Page...
Thane District Overall SWM Rainfall for 2013 compiled by Puneet Bangera...on Stats and Analysis Page 

and Indian State Capitals SWM Rainfall for 2013 on Rohit's Page...

Posted Tuesday 1st October Night:


BB-14 now lies over Orissa, and expected to move N/NW into Madhya Pradesh. It should linger around the Northern MP region till Thursday 3rd October. 
After Friday 4th October, it is expected to fizzle out and float cloudiness in the Northern MP and adjoining Western and South Western UP region on Thursday/Friday. Of-course, a detailed forecast will follow.

Mumbai will see the same pattern of passing showers till Thursday. A heavy thunderstorm likely on Thursday or Friday. Maybe the penultimate storm ?? Seeing withdrawal next week.
Pune can also get a thunder shower on Friday.

Light showers in several parts of NCR will prevail till Thursday, before seeing a decrease thereafter.. 
Kolkata sees a continuation of thunder showers till Friday..

Meanwhile, till Friday, the Southern Part of East coast (AP and TN) remain in a high pressure zone.
Chennai: Likelyhood of a good thunder shower on Wednesday.

As no other low is expected till Sunday 7th, in the Bay, we can see a re-withdrawal of SWM from Rajasthan and adjoining regional states after Thursday, 3rd October.

A note on North -East Monsoon, 1st in a series of 2, published on the Current Weather Page ...

14 comments:

emkay said...

UN alarmists on global warming have predicted a North South divide on temperatures in India over the years resulting in heavier monsoons for south.

emkay said...

UN alarmists on global warming have predicted a North South divide on temperatures in India over the years resulting in heavier monsoons for south.

originaldashman said...

Forecasts about the Oct 10 Cyclone keeps changing..According to the latest ones, its not going to form at all!!! If all goes well, Chennai should start getting the pre-monsoon dump rains from next weekend. Currently low clouds coming from SW.

http://www.weather-forecast.com/maps/India?over=pressure_arrows&symbols=none&type=wind

http://magicseaweed.com/Northern-Indian-Ocean-Surf-Chart/43/?imageScale=pressure&chartType=PRATE#?chartType=PRATE&_suid=138068377533505380342685676869



originaldashman said...

http://www.deccanchronicle.com/130912/news-current-affairs/article/first-tornado-strikes-briefly-chennai

Wasim Athar said...

something brewing off gujrat coast rajesh sir?

Neeraj said...

what effect (if any) will there be of this prolonged and resurgent monsoon - in the post monsoon period ?
when is monsoon retreating from Kathmandu area and how much of fall in both max and min temps can be expected ?

Vinod said...

No rain today whole day..here in mumbai

Vinod said...

No rain today whole day..here in mumbai

Puneet Bangera said...

Yeah..........very happy.Thanks to vagaries & espicially Pradeep sir for this lovely & amazing contest.Winning second time both as a 3rd place in Summer Temp & monsoon rainfall contest.

Abhijit said...

Heartiest Congrats to Karthik, Junaid,Santosh, Arpit, Salil & Puneet for winning such challenging contest of SWM..

Nimish Thaker said...

Very heavy rain at Juhu currently. Started off as a drizzle for 15-20 minutes, it's quite heavy right now. The day was only partly cloudy today.

Congratulations to all the winners of the Vagaries contest.

Khyati Pandit said...

sir whats the forecaste for saturday n sunday as hve a plan of outing is it going to be rainy with heavy thundershower or not

rajesh said...

khyati: Should be getting showers on the weekend..thunder showers also possible..shall put forecast

Vinod said...

Its very hot and humid right now.