Monday, September 30, 2013

Why Did BB-13 as a system Stall over Gujarat........... an explation by ...



See all  Pics of meeting on Vagaries' Meet Page

Rajasthan and TN Rainfall for SWM...a Comparison on Rohit's Page

The first Note in a series in 2 Parts on the NEM will be on the Current Weather Page of Vagaries by mid-night (IST) Tuesday

14 comments:

rajesh said...

Thanks Salil for your hard work..

SVT said...

Thanks for Video. Whats the forecast for Ahmadabad fot todays CLT20 match? Any afternoon thunderstorms expected?

SVT said...

Thanks for Video. Whats the forecast for Ahmadabad fot todays CLT20 match? Any afternoon thunderstorms expected?

Abhijit said...

Superb explanation by Rajesh Sir. And nice video shooting & editing job by Salil..

Nimish Thaker said...

Very good explanation Rajeshbhai, very well shot and edited by Salil. Thanks

Atul Naik said...

Thanks Rajeshbhai for sharing with us via the video. Sincerely regret not having been there in person!

originaldashman said...

If these forecasts come true, then onset of NEM will be delayed.

http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/data/images/wp201320.gif

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013093006/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_69.png

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013093006/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_76.png

Viravanalluran said...

Dear Rajesh,
Well said. Best explanation to suit to the situation. MTC=Mid tropospheric cyclones is your UAC. But I have my own reservation on creation of vacuum etc over Gujarat region. MTC is common. Please refer July 26,2004 Mumbai rainfall.

Shifting of 200 hPa wind to further North shows strength of SWM

rajesh said...

vira: Thanks...yes, thats what i stress on...the 200hpa shifting North strengthens the Monsoon as it did in Gujarat's case.
And please refer to the Mumbai July 26th 2005 explanation given earlier in Mumbai Page of vagaries...tried to explain that too there...
And thanks Vira for your feedback and interest taken..appreciate it :-)

rajesh said...

vira: Thanks...yes, thats what i stress on...the 200hpa shifting North strengthens the Monsoon as it did in Gujarat's case.
And please refer to the Mumbai July 26th 2005 explanation given earlier in Mumbai Page of vagaries...tried to explain that too there...
And thanks Vira for your feedback and interest taken..appreciate it :-)

parshuram shinde said...

JUST NOW VERY HAVEY RAIN START OEVER SANTACRUZ MUMBAI .....WIND GUESTY WIND......
RAIN LIKE A JULY

Mohsin mulla said...

rajesh sir,
heavy rain since half hour in mumbai subrub.i think low is near in mumbai.its time for mumbai next two to three days then fizzled out.ur and one more thing next low also tracking west north west direction.ur view on withdrawal of sw monsoon in mumbai.reply as soon as possible

sset said...

Any climatic changes happening Mumbai 2005 extreme rains and Gujarat recent rains both same area..
Again Rohits analysis between RAJ/TN proves southern India is towards near desertification - interiors of TN/KAR/RAYALSEEMA - all coinciding regions. In fact many places of eastern RAJ have exceeded 1000mm near 2000mm, none of TN regions apart western ghats facing can ever reach that figure. With increasing duration of SWM every passing year, decreasing weak NEM - with hardly any lows will make matter worse for southern India/Sri Lanka.

If we notice quantum of rains over GUJ last week is more than 2 months of NEM rains. On lighter note GUJ steals TN NEM rains!!!!

Puneet Bangera said...

Superb video and nice explanation by rajesh sir.Nice video shooting & editing job by Salil.Thanks