after SWM withdrawal from Rajasthan, they may be un seasonal..or..post monsoon...but Kutch we have kept SWM...if you remember, we said we will wait for this BB-13 to go and then withdraw from Kutch...
Surprise Surprise !!! Patgaon takes the Lead from Hulikal - All India SWM Toppers from 01.06.13 to 22.09.13..See Pradeep's Page
Posted Sunday Evening (22nd):
1. BB-13, persisting over MP, likely to weaken on Monday 23rd into an UAC and move West.
Please read below article slowly for day by day forecast and events...as has been worked on extensively for a daily forecast;
Rains due to UAC over Eastern Gujarat and adjoining Saurashtra Peninsula. Rainfall expected in Ahmadabad also. Rainfall by evening extends to North Konkan.
Places to watch for Heavy rains: Surat Region. Surat region getting heavy overnight rains on Sunday night/Monday morning (35-40 mms). Adjoining coastal region of Gujarat also for heavy rains.
Mumbai: Cloudy, with thunder clouds developing by afternoon/evening. Heavy Showers in many parts of city. Rain amounts ranging from 15 - 25 mms in different areas.
Outer townships, specially the eastern towns, get heavy thunder showers.
Pune: Getting cloudy and thundery by evening. Showers in parts of city.
Chennai: A shower can "pop up" in some areas by evening. Very regional and localised.
A trough extends from the UAC outhwards upto the Maharashtra coast. As the trough forms, a high pressure area tries to establish itself over NW India. This was dislodged by BB-13 earlier.
Hence, would expect rains in parts of Saurashtra and also along the East Gujarat coast and North Konkan.Very light showers (or cloudy conditions) on Tuesday evening or night in Delhi NCR, Ghaziabad and Meerut regions.
Places to watch for heavy rains: Southern Saurashtra Coast.
Mumbai: Partly cloudy and sunny intervals. Thundery developments drifting over city from east. Around 10 mms possible
Outer townships expected to receive showers by evening.
Pune: Thunder shower likely in some parts by evening.
Delhi NCR: Cloudy and stuffy by night. Day time around 38c. Some light showers expected in the night.
Kolkata can expect a thunder shower on Monday and Tuesday.
Chennai: Partly cloudy and very warm day.
The high pressure forms a ridge along Central India and adjoining NW India. The SWM can be said to withdraw from remaining North India upto Western MP on Wednesday. Appropriate announcement will be made on Vagaries on Wednesday.
Wednesday, rainfall persisting and decreasing in the Saurashtra Peninsula.
Probably Heavy rainfall in some parts of Rajkot, Gondal and Amreli regions.
Mumbai: Partly cloudy. Thunder clouds over eastern sky. Showers likely in some parts of city..Rains decreasing.
Outer townships will also get some showers in some towns. Sky clearing late night.
Chennai: cloudy day with showers increasing in frequency by afternoon/evening. Upto 10-12 mms in various parts of city. Rains also possible of same frequency on Thursday.
With no major reason to precipitate, the sub-continent will have some light scattered showers in the Southern Peninsula.Rainfall increasing slightly in Odisha after Thursday for next 2 days.
Mumbai: Partly cloudy morning and warm. Misty and foggy in the morning.
Outer townships can experience morning fog.
Nepal: Kathmandu had a and good spell of rains on Sunday. With 46 mms today, the September total pushes to 113 mms, still lagging behind the normal. But, even after the Monsoon retreats, i would expect the localised thunder showers to continue in Kathmandu for the next 3.4 days. With a daily average of about 10 mms, an boost the monthly total by another 50 mms to near the average normal for this month could expect the nights to drop below 19c next few nights, after refreshing rain spells.
Pakistan: Dry. Getting very hot by Wednesday in Sindh/Balochistan region. Temperatures may rise to 43c in some places.
As I will be away on a trip to Goa, there will be no major article for the next 3 days. My trip will keep me busy, hence only small snippets will be posted, as i will not be able to track the weather. A small write up on Monday before leaving will be published.
Rohit' Page Updated with Maharashtra and Thane District Rainfall till 22nd September
Pradeep's Page will be updated by Monday 9 am with ALL India Monsoon Toppers