Posted on Tuesday Night:
Heavy Rainfall Alert: Very heavy rains likely to persist from 19th September - 21st September, 3 days, in South Konkan and Goa. Heavy showers in Kerala continue till Thursday.
Mumbai: Winds are Northerly now, as on Tuesday. Mumbai will get heavy thunder showers on Wednesday. Some thunder showers in some parts of city on Thursday and Friday, expecting around 10-12 mms /day average. Heavier in Eastern outer townships.
Intensity decreasing on Saturday and Sunday.
Chennai can expect showers on Wednesday, some heavy showers in some parts. Rains around 8-10 mms till Thursday morning. Rains expected again on Thursday night and Friday morning.(about 10 mms average till Friday morning)
Moderate Rains in MP and Interior Maharashtra on 20th and 21st.
Delhi NCR can get partly cloudy on 20th/21st September.
Under present conditions, the SWM can furterh withdraw from Haryana, Delhi NCR, HP ,Utterakhand and parts of Western UP by 21st September.
Posted on Monday(16th) Night:
Monsoon Axis has slid to the Central Regions of India. The SWM is expected to withdraw from more regions by Wednesday.
The West coast trough has activated, and an UAC is forming off the S.Konkan Coast. Due to high pressure building up in the Central India region, a Line of Discontinuity forms in the Central Mah. region .
The Eastern End of the axis will host an UAC in the Bay by the 17th or 18th.
Tuesday 17th: Thunder storms along Konkan (interiors), Marathwada and Eastern Goa (The ghats region). Adjoining N.I.Karntaka.
Places to watch out for heavy rains: Belgaum district and Raichur District in Karnataka, South Konkan . Kurnool and Hyderabad regions in AP.
In Maharashtra, Marathwada can receive heavy rains. (Nanded and Parbhani districts).
Wednesday 18th: Precipitation in Coastal Karnataka. Vidharbha gets thunder showers on Wednesday.
Heavy Rainfall to watch in Bellary and Gadag districts.
Kolhapur, Solapur and Satara District can get heavy rains in some pockets. Some outer townships of Mumbai.
Wednesday 18th :Special for 3 Metros:
Kolkata: Thunder storm in Kolkata on Wednesday.
Mumbai: Tuesday, winds will turn to Northerlies. Evening thunder showers will drift from the East. Wednesday some parts of city can expect heavy rains accompanied by thunder and lightning.
For those enthusiasts monitoring the official rain amounts for Mumbai, i feel another 50-55 mms (accumulated) possible till Friday 20th.
Outer townships: Thunder showers developing on Tuesday in many regions. On Wednesday, downpours will be heavy in some cities in the Eastern townships.
Chennai: Also in line with the other 2 metro cities, can expect thunder showers on Wednesday.
Pune :Thunder showers in some parts of city on Tuesday 17th, and heavier intensity on Wednesday 18th.