Monday, July 22, 2013

Latest SWM Toppers on Pradeep's Page...Tamini takes the Cake !

As on Sunday 21st Night, BB-6 prevails over the same region, off the Orissa Coast. An associated UAC has formed over Northern Chattisgarh, tilting the Low towards SW.
The west coast off shore trough will strengthen from South Gujarat to Goa by Monday Night, with a vortex off the S.Gujarat coast.
Next 2 days, East coast trough slackens a bit.

Some Cities due for Action next 2 days: Monday 22nd and Tuesday 23rd July:

Hyderabad: Heavy rainfall with downpours on Monday.. Rain amounts on Monday around 30 mms. Decreasing from Tuesday to 20 mms. So rainy weather Monday and Tuesday.

Mumbai City: 4/5 Showers on Monday. Rainfall increasing from Monday night. Rainfall on Monday  around 30 mms increasing to 75 mms on Tuesday. Mumbai sees rainy conditions on Tuesday morning.

Pune: Puneites, see a wettish beginning to the week. Cloudiness increasing on Monday and Tuesday in the evenings. Sharp heavy showers in many parts. Rainfall 20-25 mms/day. More rains on Tuesday.

Nagpur: Cloudy and thunder showers late afternoon/night on Monday and Tuesday. Rain amounts will be around 20-25 mms/day. Monday may be a bit less around 10 mms.

Delhi NCR: Cloudy, with remote chance of rains in some parts. Rainfall to increase from 25th July.

Surat: Monday overcast with frequent showers, with thunder. Rainfall on Monday round 60 mms. Tuesday rainfall increasing to 70-80 mms. Rainy days for Surat and Bharuch on Monday and Tuesday.

Chennai: Would not expect any meaningful rains next 2 days. Rise in day temperatures, with sunny weather.

Goa: Monday /Tuesday get intermittent showers, a few of them heavy. Rain amounts will be 45-50 mms/day. Slight increase in rain frequency on Monday night.

Expecting good rainfall in Sambalpur (Orissa) on Monday/Tuesday. Thundershowers on Monday will amount to 10-15 mms of rains..or maybe into Tuesday also.

42 comments:

SVT said...

Personally think Tuesday-Wednesday combined rain could be over 150mm.

Nilesh Ladhad said...

So again Sambalpur is going to miss BB. Sir, why is this happening ???

sam khan said...

Look's like Mumbai will make most of it's July quota in this entire week .

Abhijit said...

Rainfall around Mumbai ending 8.30 am today(22-07-2013)

Colaba 21.8mm
Santacruz 21.5mm
Vagaries 12.0mm
Vihar(Mumbai) 60.0mm
Tulshi(Mumbai) 58.0mm
Alibaugh 47.0mm
Uran 40.0mm
Panvel 51.6mm
Karjat 92.2mm
Khalapur 32.0mm
Vasai 8.0mm
Thane 31.2mm
Bhivandi 22.0mm
Murbad 43.0mm
Shahapur 53.0mm
Kalyan 27.0mm
Ulhasnagar 50.0mm
Ambernath 18.0mm
Barvi(Badlapur) 65.0mm

SVT said...

Pretty confident that this week ending on 31st July Mumbai will get over 300mm rainfall. Very Wet Week Ahead. :)

sam khan said...

Continous moderate rains going on in Vasai currently.

sset said...

All lows BB1-BB6 have followed NW trajectory - i.e Bay->Orissa->MP->MAHA -> GUJ. Maximum rains occurred over MAHA(intense landfalls), followed by MP, GUJ, Orissa. None of the Bay lows moved NE hence Bihar, NE states received probably less rains. Guess same happened during 2010-2011 when Gaganbawada reached SWM top position.
Interiors of south same state no rain...drought continuous.

rohitaros said...

Top 3 rainy subdivisions (1 Jun -22 Jul 2013) ..

1. Konkan / Goa .. 243 cms [ + 51%] ..(largest city ..Mumbai..2 crores..)

2. Coastal Karnataka..210 cms [+23 %] ..(largest city ..Mangalore ..6 lakhs ..)

3. Kerala .. 167 cms [ + 41 %] ..(largest city ..Kochi .. 21 lakhs ..)

Abhijit said...

@ SSET. In Maha also Marathwada region continues to be in grim situation !! Some dam storage below which are at still zero (draw-able level) till today (22-07-2013 ):

Jayakwadi 0%
Purna Yeldari 0%
Majalgaon 0%
Manjra 0%
Lower Terna 0%
Lower Dudhna 0%
Sina Kolegaon 0%

Overall Marathwada dams storage is at 13% till today.

Nimish Thaker said...

The BBC Weather site predicting heaviest falls for Mumbai around Friday, while the latest COLA Precipitation images showing heaviest falls starting tomorrow late afternoon into Wednesday. COLA shows rains getting to 'moderate' levels by Thursday

rajesh said...

Nilesh Ladhad: Sambalpur recieved 12.8 ms till today. Seasons total is 290.9 mms.

rajesh said...

NT: yes, lets see, shall observe and inform

emkay said...

Steady rains past three am here. No gusts.

emkay said...

Feel the dry mass over Afghanistan is influencing west coast, there is abdistinct increase in night temperature. Maybe the trough may not descend as expected and up and Bihar may see rains.

sam khan said...

look's though'That from wednesday night Mumbai' will see heavy to very heavy rains, might continue till weekend.

sam khan said...

Mumbai, Konkan , Goa , Vidarbh,Western Ghat's, South Gujrat coastal karnataka, are heading for a realll..... wet weather this week.

sam khan said...

Rajesh sir
currently it look's like,as though the rains might increase in intensity by evening in Mumbai.

Dattaraj Joshi said...

Hyderabad received showers whole day yesterday. Rajesh Sir is correct. Total rain is about 35mm

emkay said...

The relevance of Vagaries forecast is heightened because Rajeshbhai is firmly rooted on ground and doesnt venture into forecasting anything beyond reasonable certainty. That explains the 2 days forecast ending today put up on Sunday. Has turned accurate in general sense.

Nimish Thaker said...

Rajeshbhai, we have seen unrelenting rains in and around Mumbai this season, as pointed out by a few readers, we haven't yet seen a 'break Monsoon' in true sense in Mumbai. Any reason why this season has seen such an above average precipitation? Tulshi has already crossed 300 mm!!

Amit said...

Hello Rajesh Sir,
Again spot on for Nagpur. It rained on Monday night and Tuesday morning. Dont know about exact figures.
Amit

Abhijit said...

Some parts of Vidharbha region again got battered today :

Mostly Chandrapur dist got battered !

Some heavy rain figures ending 8.30am today(23-07-2013)


Gondpimpri(Chandrapur Dist) 333.0mm
Pombhurna (Chandrapur Dist) 185.0mm
Rajura (Chandrapur Dist) 135.9mm
Ballarpur (Chandrapur Dist) 135.0mm
Chandrapur city 134.0mm
Chimur (Chandrapur Dist) 130.5mm
Mul (Chandrapur Dist) 121.2mm
Korpana (Chandrapur Dist) 119.8mm
Jivati (Chandrapur Dist) 118.0mm


Aheri (Gadchiroli dist) 274.2mm
Mulchera (Gadchiroli dist) 169mm
Chamorshi(Gadchiroli dist) 150mm


Maregaon(Yavatmal dist) 111.0mm
Zarijamni(Yavatmal dist) 108.0mm


Buldhana city 110.0mm
Khamgaon(Buldhana dist) 108.0mm

Abhijit said...

Rainfall around Mumbai ending 8.30 am today(23-07-2013)

Colaba 27.1mm
Santacruz 58.3mm
Vagaries 40.2mm
Vihar(Mumbai) 42.0mm
Tulshi(Mumbai) 39.0mm
Alibaugh 19.0mm
Uran 26.0mm
Panvel 37.4mm
Karjat 62.5mm
Khalapur 55.0mm
Vasai 12.0mm
Thane 31.4mm
Bhivandi 20.0mm
Murbad 31.0mm
Shahapur 36.6mm
Kalyan 21.0mm
Ulhasnagar 33.5mm
Ambernath 23.6mm
Barvi(Badlapur) 33.0mm

sam khan said...

Rajesh sir,'June, July' completely wet no break monsoon. but what about "August" will it see a monsoon break period?

Ron said...

Really heavy showers in deonar region...many parts in deonar/govandi is waterlogged

parshuram shinde said...

HAVEY RAIN IN MUMBAI

emkay said...

Awaiting next flash snippet !!

Nilesh Ladhad said...

heavy passing shower of 10 minutes after hot morning with light in some parts of the town. Thanks sir, for the information. i am sure, sambalpur is heading towards drought.

sam khan said...

Looking at the flash snippet put by Rajesh sir, it looks like rains have a better grip over Mumbai today then Vasai.

paulodon said...

i guess rains are moderate but mumbais ability to to take even moderate amount of rain has diminished... average of 50 mms of rain is a regular rain for mumbaites i guess....

paulodon said...

and also as usual mumbai doppler is down...

emkay said...

Today's problem is that it coincided with the high tide at 12:30. Tide was at 4.9 mtrs.

sam khan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
sam khan said...

If 70- 80mms rain's become a real cause of worry,then what will happen if there is a dump of 200-300mm rain over Mumbai, as Mumbai is known for such type of downpour's

parshuram shinde said...

WOW WHAT A RAIN IN SANTACRUZE ..

ONCE AGAIN RANING HAVELY...

sam khan said...

Mumbai might see very heavy rain's tonite

rohitaros said...

Meanwhile , Indian cricket team escapes the monsoons for the 'all -important' series against Zimbabwe ..

Harare tomorrow expected : 21 /10 ..windy..

'cloudy,cold in the morning and becoming less cloudy and milder as the day progresses ' ..

..Perfect weather to play cricket on the field ..

Tremerin D'souza said...

it has stopped raining at Mira Road,at-least temporarily.

rohitaros said...

Offices left early today by 1-2 hours in western suburbs of Mumbai ..

k.p said...

sir when can we see the break-monsoon phase we see the rain with one or two day intervals again a heavy spell.when we would get some days of dry spell now

paulodon said...

stopper raining in thane too.. i guess the rains will now pick up only early morning tommorow....

paulodon said...

stopper raining in thane too.. i guess the rains will now pick up only early morning tommorow....