Tuesday, July 09, 2013

East Coast Off shore trough Strengthens..BB-5 forming in next 12-24 hrs off Orissa coast

1 Day remaining for July Contest Entries..

Outlook for next 3 days....BB-5 could form by Thursday 11th..

1. Tuesday 9th: Heavy rain in Haryana, Parts of NCR, Eastern Uttarakhand and adjoining Western Nepal.UP region South of Lucknow, and Lucknow having the odd chance.
Current rate of moderate rains continue on Tuesday for Konkan (30-50 mms).
Mumbai : Rain at times, amounting to  Avg 30 mms
Delhi NCR: Rain amount about 25 mms.
Chennai: Chance of a thunder shower by evening.

2.Wednesday 10th: Heavy rainfall in UP region East of Delhi NCR.Central Nepal gets heavy rains .
Increase in rainfall on the entire West Coast of India.
Increase in rains in Northern Pakistan regions of Pak Punjab and Upper Sindh. Coastal Sindh gets light showers.
Mumbai: Occasional  Rains about 35-40 mms.
Delhi NCR: Rain amount 10-12 mms in the evening/night.Some parts may receive upto 25 mms.
Surat: Occasional showers amounting to 20 mms.
Kathmandu: A heavy thunder shower possible.30-35 mms.

3.Thursday 11th: BB-5, a low pressure forms in the Bay, off the AP or Orissa coast.Tracking W/NW from Thursday 
Heavy rains in AP, Southern Orissa and adjoning Eastern Vidharbha.
Rains increase along West Coast, with some places getting 80-100 mms.
Mumbai: Frequent Rains will about 40-45 mms.
Delhi NCR: An evening thunder shower possible in some parts.
Kolkata: Thunder shower possible in evening.
Surat: Occasional showers amounting to 20-25 mms.

General Estimate for next 3 days:
Pune: Current trend of light rains, upto 5 mms/day continues.
Karachi: Light sowers on all days, amounting to 2-5 mms/day.
No encouraging news for Nawabshah and Sukkar. The  cities will be dry and hot on these 3 days.

25 comments:

Nilesh Ladhad said...

so again, BB-5 will miss Sambalpur

santosh subramanian said...

any outside chance of bb-5 tracking inside or brushing kolkata ??

sam khan said...

So Mumbai definitely going to see the effect of BB-5 with intense downpours' As West coast trough strengthens.

emkay said...

Thursday and Friday could be very wet in Mumbai.

Vijayanand said...

Back in bangalore after 8 days in shilma-kullu and manali trip. Luckily during vacation, climate was good in the hills.

Abhijit said...

Rainfall around Mumbai ending 8.30am today(09-07-2013)

Colaba 35.7mm
Santacruz 27.3mm
Alibaugh 24.8mm
Uran 26mm
Panvel 42mm
Vasai 69mm
Thane 56mm
Kalyan 42mm
Bhivandi 35mm
Ulhasnagar 28mm
Badlapur 31mm

sam khan said...

Mumbai's rain's does'nt need the direct touch of BB-5 , its entry in peninsula is more then enough for the rain's to gain momentum on west coast along with the strengthning of the west coast trough

sam khan said...

Looking at the rain figures what Abhijit has put regarding VASAI 69.0 mm, makes it clear that west coast is facing localised downpours past few days.

Abhijit said...

Sorry for the inconvenience. As per latest update rainfall figure source has flip-flop the rain figure of Uran & Panvel !!

So now Panvel is 26mm & Uran is 42mm ending 8.30am today(09-07-2013).

Abhijit said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Abhijit said...

Badlapur received very heavy rain spells from late afternoon 3.30pm onwards till evening 6.30pm with strong gusty winds and mild thundering also from west dir. So visibility was reduced to below 500 meters at that time.

sam khan said...

today Vasai was mostly sunny with hardly any rain.

sset said...

Same pattern as last 3 years - SE interior still no rain - assuming 50% of peak 3 months monsoon season is complete - these places may not even reach 300-400mm of annual rain. Monsoon axis will remain in North till September and NEM hardly brings any rain. Rain since 01 june 2013

mandya 31mm, chamrajnager 43mm, mysore 68mm, chikannhaki 84mm, chintamani 109mm, Bangalore 150mm,kolar/tumkur (to be given), many places within 150mm.

Regions around mandya,kolar,tumkur are very important for ragi,rice,vegetables cultivation-drought has wipped entire agriculture. Mysore/Bangalore will again suffer.

Infact Marathwada(MAHA arid region) regions have consistently received rains 3-4 times more than these places.

Rayaslseena same fate - Tirupathi 71mm, Kurnool 87mm, cuddapah 56mm, anantpur 100mm..Many places in TN as given by Pradeep single digit rains. Atleast in TN/Rayalseema if NEM is kind - may get rains others may not receive even single drop.

emkay said...

Seems a vortex off ratnagiri, Mumbai under rain cover, cruising height clear up to Delhi which is bright and sunny

Abhijit said...

Badlapur received good rains from midnight onward with varying intensity from light to medium to heavy continuously . At present heavy rain is on here.

Abhijit said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Abhijit said...

Rainfall around Mumbai ending 8.30am today(10-07-2013)

Colaba 22mm
Santacruz 24.6mm
Alibaugh 45.3mm
Uran 63mm
Panvel 95mm
Karjat 36.2mm
Vasai 21mm
Thane 35.6mm
Kalyan 27mm
Ulhasnagar 51.4mm
Ambernath 38mm

sam khan said...

intense rains are gathering up for north konkan

sam khan said...

Serious Note -- we all need to warn all the depressions coming from the Bay BB-6 onward's, no matter how many there are in the pipeline.That they have to enter peninsular India so that Bangalore gets bountiful rain's and so our dear friend SSET is saved from getting nervous breakdown.

sam khan said...

Its raining waterfalls in mumbai no sun only rain

Ron said...

raining continuosly in deonar since 6:30...looks like the west coast trough is strengthening..

Dattaraj Joshi said...

Rajesh Sir,
I could see big cloud patch over AP coast (BB5). Will it cause heavy rains in and aound Hyderabad ? You mentioned BB5 possible track. Is is possible to give in a map ?

rajesh said...

Joshi: I will put up a map and track of the system tomorrow and the next forecast...maybe it will cover HYD..but will mention tomorrow

Vijayanand said...

Excellent weather in bangalore this week. Its very cloudy and cold till 10.00 am. From 11.00 am to 2.00 pm some sunshine. Then again in the evening rains. Perfect July climate.

Srinivas Vittal said...

have been following your site regularly but do not see any update on weather in hyderabad.Why???