On Tuesday, Delhi Averaged 16 mms,keeping with our estimate of 20 mms, and Pune managed 10 mms .
Surat overshot the estimate of 25 mms to 38 mms.
Estimate for 16th,17th and 18th July for Sub-Continent
In the next 3 days from Tuesday, we see the UAC merging with the Monsoon Axis. But, another Low pops up over Orissa on Friday.
Tuesday, Wed/Thursday, we see nothing very unusual on the rain scene. Moderate to heavy rains will occur along a South shifted Axis. Rainfall will be occurring along Gujarat/MP/Chattisgarh/Northern Vidarbha and Southern UP line. Also some thunder showers in Southern Haryana and Orissa.
Heavy rains in Orissa from Thursday.
Uttarakhand and Nepal get heavy rains on Thursday. Kathmandu, as Neeraj informs, is deficient. With 121 mms in July so far, it has to catch up with the July normal of 363 mms.
Days in Kathmandu are at 29c, and nights at 20c. We can expect a slight increase in rains on Wed and Thursday.
Karachi may get some showers, in some parts, on Tuesday/Wednesday or Thursday. But rain expected to be light and passing.
Nawabshah, Sukkar and Multan will be hot and dry. Nights in Multan may rise to above 30c.
Mumbai: Tuesday /Wed/Thurs: Partly cloudy. Rains frequency increasing a bit from Tuesday afternoon. 4/5 Passing showers of 10/15 minutes duration between sunny and bright intervals. A downpour in the night .Rain amounts per day will be around 20-25 mms (avg), reducing a bit on Thursday.
Gusty and strong winds from W/SW on Wednesday and Thursday.
Pune: Rain on Tuesday will measure up to 10-12 mms. Wednesday and Thursday will be light rains in some parts , measuring around 5-10 mms.
Chennai: The Thunder shower in the post afternoon period will appear on Tuesday and Wednesday. In some parts , could be heavy and gusty.
Surat: Cloudy with some heavy showers. Rainfall around 20 -25 mms on Tuesday, and increasing to >30 mms on Wednesday.
Delhi NCR: Chances of Thunder showers on Tuesday and Wednesday evening/night. Rain amounts around 20 mms.