Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Posted Tuesday Night:
Wednesday 24th, Thursday 25th and Friday 26th Outlook:
As the axis slips Southwards in Central India. and supported by a UAC "fulcrum" in the West over Gujarat, most of the rains in the next 3 days (Wed-Fri) will be concentrated from Gujarat Eastwards thru MP and parts of Chattisgarh.

Many Parts of Saurashtra to get heavy showers from Wednesday thru Friday.
Starting with the coastal regions (Porbundar can get heavy rains in excess of 50-70 mms), main Saurashtra Peninsula will get good and beneficial showers Wednesday thru Friday.
Surat can get showers amounting to 30-40 mms on Wednesday.

Konkan and coastal Karnataka will recieve heavy rains on Wednesday, with a few stations exceeding 150 mms.

NW and North India may get the isolated localised convective showers, popping up at random.

Southern peninsula too may get decreased rainfall, with Chennai just  a localised shower in some parts may be possible.

Next 3 days, Wednesday thru Friday, Mumbai will get intermittent showers, some heavy .Though, the intensity of Tuesday (100 mms) may not be repeated, City should get an average of 45-50 mms/day. Intervals of bright periods may also be seen. 

Delhi NCR: Mainly cloudy, with the localised shower popping up in some parts. Rains upto 5-7 mms.Maximum rises to 36c.

Hyderabad: Rainfall decreases from Wednesday thru Friday.

Goa gets very heavy showers on Wednesday, with a possible rain total of 70 mms.

Northern Pakistan recieved fairly good rains today, with Islamabad receiving 39 mms. But, south of Punjab (Pak), it is still dry and hot, with Dalbandi reaching 47c.

Next 3 days, will be dry and hot in Sindh. Karachi, Nawabshah and Sukkur will be dry and hot. Nawabshah reaching 43c.
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Posted Tuesday Evening:
BB-6 slips into Orissa and weakens to 998 mb. UAC over North AP/Vid...East Coast trough tending to "drift" Eastwards from coast....
West coast trough weakens on higher isobars..but remains intact along Northern Konkan coast. West coast activates as MSLP pressure drops near Konkan coast.

Mumbai: Frequent Heavy showers with a few very heavy towards early night (Tuesday). Another 50-55 mms (average) expected by Wednesday morning. 

18 comments:

rajesh said...

Nilesh: Sambalpur recieved 4mms till tuesday morning with the total now at 295 mms.

sam khan said...

Rajesh sir , why did Vasai escape heavy rains.

sam khan said...
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Nilesh Ladhad said...

Sir about forecast. this time normal rain should be in cms not in mms.

emkay said...
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emkay said...

Rajesh, as you say some stations in konkan may get 150 mm, what precludes Mumbai from list. Seeing how panvel is looking presently it is worse than yesterday

sset said...

Agree Emkayji NAVI MUMBAI non stop torrential pours since last 2 days. Today it is raining more than yesterday in Belapur - each day seems to overtake previous record. As Tamini overtakes Talacauvery, Mumbai overtakes Mangalore/udipi.
Thanks to Pradeep for great snaps of TAMINI (MAHARASHTRA). Beauty of nature, multiple cascading waterfalls is nothing but divinity to eyes. This reminds me of Malsej ghat. Mahrashtra government made a great decision to include its western ghats in UNESCO heritage and make as reserved forest region. Sad part is KARNATAKA government opposed to includes its western ghats to UNESCO list, worse intention was to continue undisturbed mining with massive tree cutting - no wonder nature cannot show mercy - KAR forest reduces to mere 20% while MAHA forests increases to 40%.

Vinod said...

Raing all through night.

Vinod said...
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sam khan said...

Raining all over Mumbai but look's like ' Heavy rain's are pouring in some parts of Mumbai at the moment.

Atul Naik said...

Overcast conditions and heavy rains in most parts of Goa since early morning today

k.p said...

sir you predicted of 40 to 50 mm.but i dnt think so its going to match your predictions may be more heavier rains would commense in next 72 hours as imd sir say yours views or are you changing your predictions

rajesh said...

kp: may be a little variation ...my estimate is normally 10-20% below actual..always , not normally :-)

k.p said...

so are you going to change your forecaste

sam khan said...

Rajesh sir why the rains in Vasai are not that heavy like mumbai

sset said...

Tuesday 24hours 23/jul/2013 navi mumbi rains - few places not mentioned received around 200mm!

VASHI - 190mm
NERUL - 190mm
BELAPUR - 160mm
AIROLI - 140mm

sset said...

Again incessant rains in Belapur continues....
Abhijitji for information - Marathwwada average rain is 4 times compared to SE interior KAR rain -- this clearly shows how vigorous SWM was over entire MAHA leave apart Konkan,Vidarbha,Madya MAHA.

sset said...

As per Rajesh sir figures - Mumbai first iteration to receive above 200mm in 24hrs both Santa Cruz and Colaba. By today Santa cruz/Colaba will cross 2000mm since june 01.