Tuesday, September 21, 2010
The flood situation in north-west India is expected to ease in the next one/two days, before it finally starts getting better. The UAC, which was expected to fizzle out on Monday, has moved and is today located west of Delhi region is expected to move in a north-easterly direction, and weaken rapidly. The dates to watch out for in the Utteranchal/West U.P. region are between September 22 and 23, when rainfall will be heavy in that area. Delhi, Haryana, east Rajasthan, north Madhya Pradesh, west Uttar Pradesh can expect heavy to moderate spells during that time.
Two of the returning Kailash Mansarovar Yatra batches have been stranded and pilgrims had to face difficulties as heavy rains on the route blocked the way from both sides, Kumaon Mandal Vikas Nigam (KMVN) sources said."The batch had to stay at Chausaly village for two days as the motor road towards Haldwani as well as towards Almora got blocked,” said DK Sharma, Manager (Tourism), KMVN
Meanwhile, in H.P, rain continued to lash various parts of the state. Poanta received 74 mm, Renuka 70 mm, Nahan 50.2, Jubbal 46mm, Rohru 40 mm, Solan 37 mm and Manali 27 mm. The rain also led to a dip in the temperatures with Shimla recording 11.8°C, Kalpa 6.2°C and Keylong 6.6°C.
In Haryana, at least half a dozen villages were cut off as fresh floods washed away stretches of roads and inundated large tracts of cultivated land in a dozen villages.
Nabiabad, Sayeed Chapra, Japti Chapra, Nagli and Chandrao were cut off and the district administration had to provide boats to ferry the villagers to safety. Khukni near Chandrao had been marooned. Bhiwani, Haryana received the heaviest fall of 90 mms as on Tuesday.
Delhi falling in middle of all this action was in the midst of inclement weather. The maximum temperature as on Sunday was pleasant at 23.3c (10c below normal). To the delight of Delhiites, it was only 0.2c warmer than the minimum recorded at 23.1. But the coolest in the Capital was at the University recording station, with the day's high at 21.3c ! Dehra Dun was at a day's maximum of 20.4c (10c below normal) on Sunday.
The (good) news is that post-September
25, the monsoon seems to be withdrawing resulting in a drastic reduction of rainfall across India and northern India in particular.The forecasted COLA 850 hpa map shows the strong anticyclone (harbinger of post monsoon conditions) pushing the weakened UAC away to the east.
The water levels in north India’s rivers should start receding from then onwards. According the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), rainfall will also reduce in the two weeks after September 25.
Vagaries could safely consider the monsoon widhrawal to commence from all Rajasthan, Delhi, Punjab and Utteranchal regions from the 24th.Will be confirmed on 24th.September.
Later this week, Rajasthan and Gujarat may witness a rise in day temperatures .
In the West, on Monday,Turbat and Nawabshah in Pakistan have climbed to 41c and 40c respectively. The highest in Asia though was Makkah at 44c.
It may still be a week, after the monsoon widhraws, before we see a fall in night temperatures in Rajasthan, Punjab and Haryana.
Special Monsoon Watch : An Upper Level trough is spotted in the South East Arabian Sea around Maldives/Lakhadweep Region. This could ...