Sunday, May 16, 2021

 Some interesting facts of this cyclone compiled by Vagarian Vineet

For the first time in the last 40 years, 4 consecutive years (2018, 2019,2020 and 2021)  a pre-monsoon cyclone in the Arabian Sea. Data from: IMD Cyclone e-atlas

Cyclone Tauktae intensified by 45 knots in the last 24 hrs (16 May 0530 IST to 17 May 00 IST). This is the most rapid 24 hrs intensification by a cyclone in May month in the Arabian Sea after 1999. Data from: JTWC

Cyclone Tauktae current wind speed is 120 knots (as per JTWC estimates), this is now the strongest pre-monsoon Arabian Sea cyclone after 2010 and third strongest pre-monsoon Arabian Sea cyclone in the satellite era (1982 onwards): Data from JTWC

Cyclone Tauktae intensified from category 1 to category 4 cyclone in just 24 hrs.

First time after 1976 and only the second time since 1900, a cyclone in May going to hit Gujarat coast with wind speed greater than 35 knots. Data from: IMD Cyclone e-Atlas


Some more Interesting Facts compiled by Vagarian Vineet.. Only in Vagaries

 This is the third cyclone in last 4 years in the Arabian sea in pre-monsoon season that has attained 100knots windspeed

 Last 24hrs 5.30 pm to 5.30 pm Sunday..intensification now : 40 knots

This is the most intense intensification by a cyclone in May month in the Arabian sea after 1999 

Another fact not mentioned 

First time in last 40 years, 4th consecutive year 2018,2019,2020,2021, Arabian sa hosted a cyclone in the premonsoon season.


Posted Sunday 16th at 11.30 pm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm  "Tauktae" moved N/ÑW and located centre at 17.2 N and 72.3E. 220 kms South/South West off Mumbai. 


Estimated core pressure 970mb, estmated core winds 140 to 150kmph.

Central temperature rises further to - 10c

Track ,maintained, and Tauktae now heading towards Saurastra Coast...likely  to hit landfall around Porbandar on 18th morning.

Crossing through  the Kathiawar Peninsula  towards Ahmedabad as a Depression (19th) and bringing very heavy rains to Saurashtra on 18th.

Kathiawar, Porbandar and Rajkot will get heavy  rains from Monday evening & on Tuesday  ,about 125 to 150.mms mms.

Frequent showers for Ahmedabad /Surat and Bharuch from Tuesday...about 20 to 35 mms.

Then curving NE towards South Rajasthan  as a Low.

No effect  on  Sindh Coast.

Mumbai: Hot and cloudy  day on Sunday,with light drizzle in some parts.

As the cyclone passes by Mumbai in the  sea on Monday, frequent showers on Monday ( 45 to 55 mms) with gusty winds at 40 to 50 kmph. Rains decrease from Tuesday. 

Pune..light to moderately rainfall on Monday  and decrease from Tuesday. 

1 comment:

sset said...

Mumbai extreme torrential rains - looks like dump of 300mm.
Navi Mumbai flooding.....

 25th : Noon IST BB-13: Deep Depression strength and Locations as per various Members: CURRENT ESTIMATE Date (mmddhhmm): 09250323 SATCON: MS...