Wednesday, May 19, 2021

 North India Today.. By Navdeep Dahiya




See Gujarat Rain Amounts from Tauktae below this article.. Posted 

Posted 19th May afternoon:

Mumbai: The "Post Cyclone" passing showers continue even on the 19th Wednesday. These are due to the strong South Westerly winds still lashing the West Coast , heading towards the System, now as a Depression over West M.P....

The passing showers will continue till the erstwhile system weakens...maybe another day. 

But in patches, Mumbai one next day will have a few passing showers with bright sunny periods. Getting hotter.

This is not the Monsoon  !

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Post Cyclone showers also continue in some patches of Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat and N.I. and Coastal Karnataka.

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Bay of Bengal: Around 21st May, A Low pressure can form in the North- East Bay off the Myanmar coast at location at 15N , 95E..SW off Yangon. The will strengthen and move in days to come and move towards Bangladesh.

May cross as a Deep Depression/ Cyclone around 25th/26th.. 

This will attract good strong SW winds towards the system in the Bay from Below Sri Lanka (Bay Branch of Monsoon Cross Equatorial  Winds). As seen in IMD Forecast Map.


The  South West Monsoon will advance into the Andaman Islands on around 23rd May.

As regards the West Coast, stronger SW winds will develop off Kerala coast and CAN  bring in a feeble current of the South West Monsoon around 27th/28th May...Needs Follow up though  !

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Cumulative rainfall of Gujarat and Daman for the dates 17th and 18th May 2021 from the cyclone Tauktae 

Compiled by Vag. Shitij (Surat) 

1. Gir Gadhada (Somnath) 375 

2. Una (Somnath) 347 mm

3. Umergam (Valsad) 332 mm

4. Daman 290 mm

5. Bhavnagar 244 mm

6. Palitana (Bhavnagar) 240 

7. Bagasra (Amreli) 235 mm

8. Nadiad (Kheda) 232 mm

9. Pardi (Valsad) 183 mm

10. Savarkundla (Amreli) 171

11. Mahuva (Bhavnagar) 170

12. Valsad 169 mm

13. Olpad (Surat) 168 mm

14. Amreli 163 mm 

15. Surat IMD 135 mm

16. Navsari 130 mm



1 comment:

sset said...

Huge change in weather climate patterns.

https://www.financialexpress.com/lifestyle/science/is-cyclone-tauktae-an-indication-towards-a-new-trend-for-arabian-sea/2253265/

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/warming-of-arabian-sea-raising-cyclone-frequency/articleshow/82725949.cms

https://theprint.in/science/what-cyclone-tauktae-tells-us-about-arabian-sea-why-the-coast-is-seeing-more-severe-cyclones/660434/

https://indianexpress.com/article/india/cyclone-tauktae-live-tracking-gujarat-maharashtra-7319493/

Way Arabian sea is warming and extreme intense cyclones hitting year after year for MAHA/GUJ.. this will lead to change in entire topography.. GOD knows such extreme rain will lead to something else.

In the parallel view SE India NEM are decreasing, becoming unpredictable, very short due to longer SWM, more important no systems like cyclones are forming over SE India.

  Posted 21st Night: Major outlook for next 4 days is moderate rainfall in Odisha, West Bengal, NE States. Some medium to nominal rainfall a...