Thursday, May 06, 2021

Low mentioned active...

Active Low...

NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA in mms: Belagavi City   81  Belagavi Airport  136 60    Vijayapura  68  Bagalkote   47 Dharwad   115  Gadag  109  Kalaburgi 71 

 Haveri  86  Koppal  15 mms

Satara district thunderstorm rainfall figures today(6th May, 2021) are as follows:



3. Kaas:51mms




7.Mahabaleshwar & Shirdhon(Koregaon):32mms








Data compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte


sanjeev Gokhale said...

Rajesh sir, rains in last so many days in many parts in Maharashtra, karnataka and other parts of South India are pre monsoon showers or unseasonal rain?
Almost every month since January, we see rain coming in some parts of india. Is it unsual or something rare.?

NilaY Wankawala said...

Credit Australian Government Bureau of metereology latest issued 11 05 2021

The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

Southern Annular Mode positive; El Niño–Southern Oscillation neutral

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) continues at neutral levels. Climate model outlooks currently indicate this neutral phase will last at least until October.

Oceanic indicators of ENSO persist at neutral levels, with Pacific sea surface temperatures close to the long-term average across most of the equatorial region. Beneath the surface, temperatures are near-average, with slightly warmer than average waters across much of the sub-surface. Atmospheric indicators such as the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and cloud patterns are also close to average. Trade winds have been stronger than average in the far west, but near average elsewhere.

The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is over the Indian Ocean region. It is forecast to move eastwards across Australian longitudes over the coming fortnight. When the MJO is active over the eastern Indian Ocean and Australian longitudes at this time of year, above average rainfall is more likely over the Maritime Continent to Australia's north. Additionally, it typically acts to strengthen easterly winds on Queensland’s tropical east coast and increase temperatures across tropical Australia.

The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) has been positive for the past week. It is expected to remain positive for the coming fortnight. SAM typically has little influence on Australian rainfall during autumn, but may have a drying influence for parts of south-west and south-east Australia over the coming fortnight.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. Climate model outlooks suggest the IOD is most likely to remain neutral during the first half of winter. Three of the five models indicate negative IOD thresholds may be reached during winter or spring. The accuracy of IOD forecasts made during autumn is generally lower than at other times of the year, but improves in winter. A negative IOD increases the chances of above average winter-spring rainfall for much of southern Australia.

Climate change continues to influence Australian and global climate. Australia's climate has warmed by 1.44 ± 0.24 °C over 1910–2019, while southern Australia has seen a reduction of 10–20% in cool season (April–October) rainfall in recent decades

More information

Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057

Next update expected on 25 May 2021

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