In the last 6-9 hrs, the UAC ( At 850 hpa) in the axis has moved West..and was near Jhansi as on 8.30 pm IST Saturday...yes, Westwards !
Heavy rainfall is seen in the West, SW and south quadrants of the system. System may move South/West and push the rain patch along with.
Several stations in M.P, Punjab, Delhi and parts of Eastern Vidharbh received very heavy to moderate rains on Saturday..
Major Rainfall in the 9 hrs ended 5.30 pm IST Saturday in cms...
M.P: Shajapur14, Bhopal6 ( 75 mms till 8.30 pm), Ujjain4,Shivpuri 3, Pachmari 3, Guna 3, Nowgong 2, Indore 2, Ajmer 1 Ratlam 1
Delhi (PLM) 3
Rajasthan: Jaipur5, Chittorgarh 4
Punjab:Ludhiana 3, Amritsar, Patiala,
Maharashtra: Bhramhapuri 2, Mahabaleshwar2 each ,
As on Saturday Afternoon, the UAC mentioned below in point 1(b)..has descended to 850 hpa level, and is near Chutrakoot (U.P). Will descend to sea level as a Low by Sunday morning.
To All Vagarians....
Posted on Friday 17th Night:
City Rain Estimate for Saturday and Sunday:
Mumbai: Saturday will be cloudy, with passing showers (around 15 mms). Some showers can be heavy. Rainfall and windy conditions increasing by Sunday, around 30 mms or more.
Pune: Light drizzles in some parts or vicinity...days around 29c.
Kolkata: Rain and Thunder showers in many parts.
Surat: Saturday /Sunday:Light rains upto 2-4 mms in the vicinity of Surat. Rains increasing from Monday.
Rain Estimate for Saturday and Sunday:
Very heavy rains likely in North Punjab ( > 50-70 mms/day in some places), and H.P. Heavy rains will occur in Delhi NCR (Average 20-25 mms/day), North and East M.P. and adjoining North Chattisgarh,
Many parts of Odisha will get heavy rains. and moderate rains in adjoining Vidharb (Nagpur).
Scattered light rains in some pockets of North Gujarat and Saurashtra. Light showers also likely in many places of Interior Maharashtra.
Very heavy rains in Pak Punjab ( Eastern regions) and rest of Punjab get heavy showers. Light to moderate rains in Upper Sindh also possible.
Precipitation increases along the West coast. Heavy rains in South Konkan, Goa and Coastal Karnataka.Strong winds of around 30-35 kmph along coast.
Weather Situation for the weekend, 18th and 19th July:
1. Monsoon axis runs along Pak Punjab (west) and through Haryana, Southern U.P. and then the Eastern end forks into 2 parts...
a),. Running through the Northern Bengal/Sikkim thru into the NE States...and
b). Another trough sloping SE from Eastern U.P. and into NE Madhya Pradesh/ North Chattisgarh and into Bay thru Odisha. An UAC lies embedded in this trough...and will descend to sea level as a Low in the same place around the East M.P./Chattisgarh region.
Low will track along the axis NW nearing Delhi by around 21st.
2. As West winds rush in, the Off shore trough strengthens, and strong winds of up to 30-35 kmph expected along the West coast.