Tuesday, July 21, 2015

As on Wednesday 8.30 am IST (24 hrs), Mumbai SantaCruz recorded 49 mms and Colaba 46 mms. Average 47.5 mms. 
Frequent on /off showers continue in Mumbai City on Wednesday, with SantaCruz getting 12 mms in 3 hrs after 8.30 am Wednesday.
 

Surat got 22 mms and Ahmadabad 12 mms in the same period of 24 hrs ended 8.30 am IST. Surat received 10 mms in 3 hrs on Wednesday after 8.30 am.
In Gujarat, Idar records 71 mms, Mahuva 32 mms,Veraval 26 mms, Bhuj and Vadodra 17 mms .

Meanwhile, as expected, the rains shifted to Sindh, and Karachi got the much needed relief and cloudy weather, with rain recorded as 2 mms.Several places in South and SE Sindh got showers.

Forecast for Wed and next 2 days is mentioned below..(Tuesday evening Post).


Posted Tuesday Evening:
Mumbai City: Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd will see frequent showers at regular intervals, a few of them heavy. Around 35-40 mms/day. Friday 24th will see a decrease in intensity, with bright intervals.

Parts of Eastern and Northern Gujarat got the much needed relief as some showers arrived...Daytime rain on Tuesday was highest at Mahuva with 31 mms. Vadodra received 17 mms. Ahmadabad, which has been dry and waiting , got the predicted showers, with 5.7 mms on Tuesday.
Over night, Valsad district got heavy rains...some figures in cms from Valsad and Dadra Haveli: Kaprada (dist Valsad) 17, Madhbun (dist Dadara & Nagar Haveli) 13, Dharampur (dist Valsad) 12, Nanipalson (dist Valsad) 11, Silvassa (dist Dadara & Nagar Haveli) 9, Pardi (dist Valsad) 6, Vapi (dist Valsad) 4.

Mumbai Scruz saw 39 mms, Colaba 13 mms.
Pune had frequent showers on tuesday, recording 13 mms till 5.30 pm IST.
(See more rainfall amounts of Maharashtra in post below)

Wednesday will see moderate rains in Saurashtra,with Western Saurashtra region (Dwarka) getting heavy rains.  Heavy to moderate in Eastern Gujarat. Rains decrease from Thursday in Gujarat.
Next 3 days till Friday (Decreasing from Friday), Surat and Valsad can get frequent showers, some heavy. Rain amounts will be around 30-35 mms for Valsad and 20-25 mms in Surat.

Rains in Coastal and SE Sindh on Wednesday and Thursday. Karachi possibly getting light to medium rains these 2 days with strong west winds.
Thunder showers also likely in Sukkur (Sindh) on Wednesday and Thursday.

Almost no meaningful rains (Less than 5-7 mms) in 
1). Marathwada and Vidharbha till Forecast period (Friday 24th) and 
2). Interior Karnataka, TN and Telengana.

Mumbai City: Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd will see frequent showers at regular intervals, a few of them heavy. Around 35-40 mms/day. Friday 24th will see a decrease in intensity, with bright intervals.
Goa rains increase again from Thursday.

The Monsoon axis starts shifting North again from Wednesday. This will increase rainfall in the Northern plains of U.P, Haryana and Delhi from Thursday 23rd. But, as the axis moves North, very heavy rains expected in Uttarakhand on Thursday and Friday.

Delhi NCR will see rainfall increasing from Thursday for another couple of days.
Even Kolkata, can see an increase in rain amounts after Thursday for a couple of days.

16 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

Sir I feel far western suburbs starting malad kandivli borivali nd onwards were lashed by heavy rains in quantum and intensity...sir ny updates lake areas?

rajesh said...

Nilay: Lake rainfall mentioned in post below...and storage will be put up tomorrow. After the latest rains

rajesh said...

yes, Borivali received 110 mms as mentioned...

Nilay Wankawala said...

Thanks sir and sorry I missed the below post stating the rainfall figures..

rajesh said...

vagaries' Page views today; Top 3 country wise
India 1813, Pakistan 179, United States 157...total today all inclusive is 2300 hits.

Sarvesh said...

Last year July end lakes started filling still we had 10 to 20 pc cut. This year no problem water cut even though lakes not filling.

Nilay Wankawala said...

People are more interested in latest updates and precise and accurate weather forecasting rather than postportum work. ..sir your blog and application leads all the way in these parameters..I wish all the best and am sure more and more people will be inclined towards vagaries of weather for the superiority and quality of work that's established by you over years....

Sarvesh said...

Last year we had 10 units of water by July end with water cut but this year we don't have water cut even though we have 3.5 units of water in lakes today

sset said...

Almost all parts of "Navi Mumbai" received rains in range 100-150mm 24hrs. Mumbai/Navi Mumbai/Thane is blessed with fresh water lakes,mountains,forests... cities receives fresh water in taps 24hrs or sometimes twice a day... people here are used to good quality water... compare this with place like TN / AP / Bangalore - fresh water comes in taps only once a week!!!!.
Still Mumbai complains for any change on lesser side....

anant said...

SSET: can i suggest you a better opponent. ever compared Cherrapunji or Mawsynram or Kolkatta, it typically gets 10-15 to 3 times more rain than Bangalore and Cuddapah. It might give a "novelty" to your analysis.

I have not seen these places, but i suppose they might be green , why dont you track these places against Bangalore/Cuddapah

May be other readers can also suggest more rainier places for you to compare . Please consider the suggestion

Ananth

Nilay Wankawala said...

CREDIT : AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
ENSO WRAP UP DATED 22.07.2015

El Niño continues to strengthen

The 2015 El Niño continues to develop. Weakened (or reversed) trade winds have resulted in further warming over much of the tropical Pacific Ocean. All key ENSO ocean monitoring areas have been more than 1 °C above average for 10 successive weeks—two weeks longer than the record in 1997. The eastern tropical Pacific is now at or exceeding +2 °C. In the atmosphere, the past week has seen the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) drop to around –20, the lowest values of the event so far.

All international climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology indicate El Niño is likely to strengthen, and is expected to persist into early 2016. El Niño events typically peak during the late austral spring or early summer, and then weaken in the new year.

El Niño often brings below average winter and spring rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over the southern half of the country during the second half of the year. However, other factors, such as temperatures to the north of Australia and in the Indian Ocean, also affect Australia’s climate, meaning El Niño is not the only influence on rainfall and temperature changes. Read more about how El Niño might affect Australia.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. A positive IOD event remains possible, with three of the five international models suggesting a positive IOD is likely during late winter to spring. A positive IOD is typically associated with reduced winter and spring rainfall over parts of southern and central Australia.

Abhijit said...

@SSET Lol.. No logic you have it seems!!
Again repeating how Konkan comparison can be possible with AP/TN & Int Kar??

Comparison of Int Kar/TN/AP can be possible with Int Maha,Marathwada as they all are rain shadow regions & also Marathwada gets water once in week only in thier taps.

And comparison of Mumbai/Konkan can be possible only with Coastal Karnataka & Kerala
!!

So don't compare always repeatedly same old wrong logic..

Pavan said...

sset or sunset what ever i call you please suggest any model by which we get fresh water in each and every tap of this country people struggle for each drop of water in your village in rayalseema, the region to which you belong to.. kindly think and let me know as even i dont get fresh water in my tap..in pune

Abhijit said...

Much needed Heavy Rain lashes North Konkan.

Some rainfall in mm ending 8.30am today (22-07-2015) :

Vasai 200
Palghar 195
Vikramgadh 193
Dahanu 189
Talasari 181
Bhiwandi 180
Wada 168
Shahapur 152
Karjat 113
Sudhagad Pali 112
Khalapur 109
Murbad 106
Panvel 102
Kalyan 100
Thane 99
Javhar & Mangaon 95
Mahad 93
Mokhada 92
Poladpur 88
Tala 74
Pen 70
Ulhasnagar 61

Mumbai water supplying lakes rainfall in mm ending 8.30am today:

Tansa 175
Modak Sagar 169
Bhatsa 137
Tulsi 135
Vihar 119
Middle Vaitarna 114
Upper Vaitarna 67

Ghat section rainfall in mm ending 8.30am today:

Mulshi 245
Lonavala 194
Bhira 154
Bhimashankar 121
Matheran 120

sset said...

Palghar district crosses 1000mm of rain....excess for season

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/mumbai/Rainfall-more-than-talukas-total-for-the-month/articleshow/48163212.cms

District is famous for Chikoos/Sapotas - India probably world biggest chikoos grow here size of big apple/orange. Remember 10-12 years back we used to get chikoos - rupee a dozen!!!! Fertile soil is ideal for cultivation introduced by Parsis century ago...

Famous places here .... Atomic reactor Tarapur
Beautiful Vagareshwari hot springs -- dense forests/hills surrounded by lakhs of huge Banyan trees is an unforgettable sight. Beauty here is confluence of mangroves,forest,hills....

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Sir , when will Axis shift toward the Capital