Monday, July 06, 2015

Very hot desert Nights ....
Minimum temperatures of Monday 6th July in Oman ..
Al Amirat 38.2c, Muscat Seeb A.P.  37.8c,  Qalhat  37.6c, Suwaiq 36.1c.

Max on 5th July in Suwaiq 48.4c, Rustaq 47.1c, Muscat A.P. was 46.6c, 

Kuwait on 4th July:
Mitribah                                    Max 50.6c                  
Kuwait International airport      Max 50.3c         
Sulaibiya                                  Max 50.0c                     
Jahra                                        Max 50.6c

Kuwait Max Monday 5th July:
1 Mitribah (Kuwait)                                  49.1 °C
2 Kuwait Internationalairport (Kuwait)     48.8 °C   Minimum 35.5c....
3 Sulaibiya (Kuwait)                                 48.4 °C   Minimum 36.0c....
4 Jahra (Kuwait)                                      48.3 °C                              
5 Abdaly (Kuwait)                                     48.2 °C

Hottest in U.A.E. on Sunday 5th:
Fujairah 48.3c ( Min 31.2c), Abu Dhabi A.P. 46.5c ( Min 32.1c), Dubai A.P. 44.5c

Max in Saudi Arabia on 5th July:
1 Al Ahsa (Saudi Arabia)               47.4 °C
2 Al Qaysumah (Saudi Arabia)       46.3 °C
3 Wadi Al Dawasser Airport (Saudi Arabia) 46.0 °C


NilaY Wankawala said...

Latest el nino ENSO wrap up from Australian bureau of meteorology 07 07 2015

Tropical cyclone activity may boost El Niño
The 2015 El Niño is likely to strengthen in the coming weeks, largely due to recent tropical cyclone activity. Several tropical cyclones, including a rare July cyclone in the southern hemisphere, have resulted in a strong reversal of trade winds near the equator. This is likely to increase temperatures below the surface of the tropical Pacific Ocean, which may in turn raise sea surface temperatures further in the coming months.

All international climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology suggest El Niño will persist until at least the end of 2015. Models also indicate that further warming is likely. Historically, El Niño reaches peak strength during late spring or early summer.

El Niño is typically associated with below-average winter and spring rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over the southern half of the country during the second half of the year. However, the strength of El Niño does not always determine the strength of its effect on Australia's climate. Read more about how El Niño might affect Australia.

Many other factors, such as the state of the Indian Ocean, also influence Australia's climate. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. Of the five international models that provide IOD outlooks, three suggest a positive IOD is likely during the southern hemisphere spring. A positive IOD is typically associated with reduced winter and spring rainfall over parts of southern and central Australia.

Rajesh said...

Nilay: Possible to see El Nino stagnant or pick up a bit...Vagaries had estimated the formation of typhoon in Western pacific and mentioned in 1st July post on El Nino.

Pak Punjab getting heavy rains today ( Tuesday 7th) as estimated.
Atul Naik from Goa also acknowledges of rains increase in Goa today ( Tuesday).

Bay UAC descends to 5.6 kms.

Rajesh said...

Ashish: In this case, as i had mentioned, the WD merges with the Monsoon axis (see previous post). Hence, the axis also gets activated to progress the Monsoon.

Wasim Akthar: Heat wave in Europe i generally caused by a large High pressure "sitting" on the is mainly affected by the upper winds..

Indore will get cloudy weather with light drizzles, but more rains after Saturday...will mention in later forecasts.

sset said...

Navi Mumbai - heavy rains since yesterday - short durations (good for us / commutators) - rains are with precise forecast as given by Rajesh sir...

Vinod Desai said...


By when can we expect monsoon rains start again with full force in Mumbai/west coast and Gujarat region.

Abhijit Modak said...

Wow. New SSET terminology should be implemented in metrolological world. As Passing 1-2mm shower of few minutes is heavy rain !!! It may be good for commuters like you only. Rest Mumbaikars are feeling the heat in absence of rain and also worry about their water storage dams and feeling bad for farmers of Maharashtra as thier seeding are going waste due to crop turning yellow with long dry spells as they don't have irrigation facilities in thier farms.

Btw your comments are always baised for SI Kar/AP/TN. If there is no rain or heat in South then is the big concern. But Maharashtra is also going from same dry patch but nothing concerned on it.

Wasim said...

Kolkata is getting some really heavy rain in the past few days but it is very localised . When the north gets very have rain , South gets only passing showers. What's the cause of this?

sset said...

Don't worry Abnijit - even last year 2014 -> rains came with full force after 15th july - 2014 july was wettest. Strange fact is places like Mumbai 5 days of rain is sufficient to fill 1 months quantity + excess like what we have seen this june 2015. MAHA will also turn normal by end july...By the way even if I am from south still most beautiful and greenest place is still Mumbai/Navi Mumbai/Thane - here we see dense forest,hills,sea,greenery best part is torrential rains...

anant said...

Hi Rajesh,

How are you doing ?

Is this monsoon just mirroring the 2002 monsoon, where July was down -49% . 2002 monsoon also ran a surplus June before the big dry in July . very desperate times for Peninsular india, its already a 10 day break monsoon with bright blue skies and sunny days.

Do you see hope for peninsular India for july ?


Nagpur Downpour.... Cloudburst on 23rd between 2.30 am -3.30 am...98.5 mms a t city AWS Railway station 24 hr Rainfall till 8.30am of 23-9-2...