Wednesday, July 15, 2015

 A few heavy Welcome showers lashed Central Mumbai in the early hours of Friday. A good "restart" to the faded Monsoon...But, not upto Mumbai expectations and norms..as SantaCruz measured a measly 4.6 mms while Vagaries measured 9 mms. Moderate showers in Navi Mumbai also.
 

Nearby Alibag ( 45 kms South of Mumbai) saw 20 mms. 

Mahableshwar recorded 52 mms. Kolhapur recorded 5 mms ...All till 8.30 am IST Friday.
 

Would expect Mumbai to get around 15 -20 mms on Friday and Saturday. Sunday may get around 30 mms.
Expecting increasing intensity in South Konkan and Goa ...to around 35-45 mms per day from Friday evening.


Another good showery day for Kolkata on Saturday. A brief respite on Saturday, but more rains Sunday.
More in write up tonite...


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Mumbai's long dry wait may be over...Rainfall may "pick up" strength in Mumbai from Thursday Night...gradually increasing in intensity on Friday, with a wet week end...

1 July to 15 July 2015:
North Konkan has received just 6% of normal rainfall in first half of July . A whopping 94% deficit !!
South Konkan has received just 23% of normal rainfall in first half of July ... 73% deficit !!

Overall Konkan division is in 86% deficit for first half of July.. 
Compiled by Abhijit Modak

Mumbai daily rainfall from 15th June -15th July..

Rainfall expected to increase in Konkan after 18th July....Write up coming on this

15 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

Terrifying looks horrible sir

Evewrest said...

The rainfall in the first 15 days of July has been terrible for the area encompassing Gujarat, West Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and every place south of Maharashtra in the mainland. That's about 1.3 million sq.km. with a rain deficit in July till date reaching almost 75%. The "best" place within this whole area has been Coastal Karnataka, and even that is down 40% from its normal July rains. I hope there is some really strong rainfall in this whole region in the coming days.

Abhijit said...

Thane Dist overall avg rainfall is 503 mms for first half of July . But has received just 22 mm rainfall on avg till 15 July !! Means just 4.5% rainfall received so far in July.. So is in 95% deficit as an independent on district level !!

Barvi Dam which is main source of water supply for all Thane districts cities is having just 12% water storage as on today(16-07-2015). So only 20 days water supply can be possible !!

Also many fields having no water accumulation so paddy crop plantation is also on hold in the region. Ulhas river which should flow in full force with red muddy water is also almost empty till now !!

No proper meaningful waterfall yet on Matheran mountain range and western ghat region of North Konkan !!

So now it is grim situation & rain should commence anyhow for everyone's benefit !!

sset said...

Actually in my stay @ Mumbai for past 30 years this is first time july is so pleasant...(of course farming will take a setback..) otherwise july/aug is 24 * 7 rains for Mumbai.... but nature has its own course... we still have time till mid november. Guess for MAHA it is first time july is looking different.. believe or not today in belapur vegetable market I saw huge jackfruits for sale!!!!! which is usually spring/summer fruit.
If we consider place like TN/Rayalseema/SE KAR in period of 10 years at least 6-7 times season ends with drought due to high failure of NEM.. with no ground water many places agriculture has been totally abandoned giving place to industries/factories/real estates...rice main food for south is giving way to maize/ragi that is also now difficult....crop patterns should change. People here are used to droughts...

santosh verma said...

sir is the month of august will give any respite to west madhyapradesh. this area slowly going towords drought like situation. here in bhopal i have never see such a extreme hot and humid weather and till the onset of monsoon it only rains for 4 days instead of normal rain days of 10 to 14 days.around.only 4 cm of rain in bhopal till the month of july.

Anand Agarwal said...

what abt kolkata for this weekend

Nilay Wankawala said...

July has been always pleasant in mumbai Maharashtra but I can't use this term this season sorry @ sset

Karan Kumbhar said...

Finally
After a break of almost 25 days some sustained spells of rain observed in kolhapur. #madhyamaharashtra

sset said...

Navi Mumbai raining very heavy - IMD also says weekend will see very heavy rains for Mumbai/entire Konkan....

Abhijit said...

@ Nilay. Haha. No use of saying sorry to SSET. He wants every area to be dry and hot like S. AP /TN. So by his always same old comparison of west coast with that region will give always pleasant feel. But we all know how grim situation. Sset will never understand as his world starts at S. Int Kar, S. AP & TN and ends also there only. Don't be suprise if in future he ask for why it is not snowing in S. AP /TN belt.. So Nilay at moment he is happy with west coast performance so daring to use pleasant word when rest people's know what actual situation is!!

Nilay Wankawala said...

@ Abhijit true grim is d most appropriate word.

Atul said...

@SSET, Its sincere request please do not to curse the rain by saying pleasant. Please think about millions of farmers who depends on this rain. Please stop comparing different areas, they are different. As well said by Abhijit one can not expect snow at any place.

anant said...

@ SSET : Do you ever care to think that since last 3 years you have been saying the same thing over and over again . Do you have anything new to say? i suppose we all have heard you , and accept your view point. Can you please stop repeating yourself, India as a country needs rains, "request" you to please stop jinxing rains (if at all rains can be jinxed or influenced)

Ananth

sset said...

Seems everyone assumed "incorrect" meaning. Myself always for "farmers" and "greenery". Actively contribute for saplings which farmers via "Saytrees" initiative in Bangalore as corrupt BBMP,BDA have stopped sapling plantations for last 3 years.

Anyway ever wondered what "MOJO" - is dynamic parameter(oscillation in winds) unlike ENSO which is stationary - MOJO moves eastwards..

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-mjo-and-why-do-we-care

sset said...

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-mjo-and-why-do-we-care

MOJO is oscillating wind pattern moving eastwards - dymanic factor unlike ENSO which is stationary factor