Friday, May 29, 2015



Vagaries' pre monsoon meeting will be held on 6th June. Meeting is at Salil's house at Prabhadevi Dadar South Mumbai. 
Time 5pm. 
All vagarians in town Have To attend.

To discuss monsoon on set criteria. I will be asking all individually to give their views.

( Those not aware of Location, may request by in Comments with Contact Mail address.)



Mumbai Colaba Saw a Minimum of 29.8c on Friday Morning...Just a whisker from all time highest minimum of 30.1c recorded on 9th May 1991....

Heavy Rains in Meghalaya and Assam Continues, ending 8.30 am on 29.05.2015

The upper air cyclonic circulation over East Bihar and adjoining Sub Himalayan West Bengal extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level became less marked. However an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over east Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

Meghalaya

(min 10 mm)

Cherrapunji  RKM - 190
Cherrapunji - 152
Mawsynram - 61
Mawkyrwat - 27
Baghmara - 13
Williamnagar - 13
Jowai - 10
Nongostin - 10
Shella - 10

Assam

(min 40 mm)

Mushalpur - 117
Numaligarh - 103
Pagladiya NT Road Crossing - 94
Bihupuria - 91
Nalbari - 90
Manas NH Crossing - 80
Jorhat - 80
Rangia - 78
Barpeta - 70
Kajalgaon - 70
Beki Road Bridge - 70
Karimganj - 69
Mathanguri - 63
Panbari - 63
Beki Mathanguri - 60
Patharughat - 54
AIE NH Xing - 54
Chenimari  - 52
Matunga - 51
Maranhat - 50
Chouldhowaghat - 47
Teok - 46
DRF - 45
Badarpurghat - 45
North Lakhimpur - 44
Naharkatia - 43
Dhemaji - 43
Morang -43
Tezpur - 40
Goalpara - 40

Dooars in West Bengal gets heavy rains, ending 8.30 am 29.05.2015

The upper air cyclonic circulation over East Bihar and adjoining Sub Himalayan West Bengal extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level became less marked. However an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over east Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Sevoke - 109
Neora - 79
Malbazar - 73
Murti - 62
Falakata - 60
Rongo - 50
Jaldhaka NH-31 - 43
Barabisha - 37
Balurghat - 32
Nagrakata - 30
Buxaduar - 20
Chepan - 17
Alipurduar - 16
Champasari - 14
Hasimara - 10
Jalpaiguri - 10

6 comments:

abizer Kachwala said...

rajesh sir,will pre monsoon showers on 5\6th june in north konkan will be heavy to medium showers or with thunder?

Mohsin mulla said...

Rajesh sir any mid level circulation formed in arabian sea on 2-3 june or any chance of cyclone on that period of time.ur view on that because module suggest that 80% of cyclone.

rajesh said...

abizer: Pre monsoon showers from around 5th in North Konkan will be mostly thundery showers in late afternoon evening. We will see thunder developments in the interiors and then sky darkening over the coastal towns. Parts will get breif heavy showers for first 2 days. Intensity increasing later after few days.

Moshin: No circulation i arabian sea next week. I have mentioned the formation of an off shore trough along west coast in my article. If there is any development like Low or cyclone, Vagaries will inform readers as soon as we are sure...or may mention it as a "possibility" if there is a chance.

Putting up Mumbai and Konkan forecast for next 4 days tonite.

Naveen: Bangalore got its heavy shower on 29th ..(we had put up 30th)

sarfarajkhan khan said...

what is the reason of so much cloudiness in mumbai region ??No sunlight at all
Will this results in possible evening showers?

Regards,
Sarfaraj
Mumbai Andheri.

rajesh said...

sarfarajkhan: Clouding in Mumbai seen on Saturday is result of a East West wind confluence(temporary) which formed from East of Mumbai till Arabian Sea along 20N line...that is along Mumbai. No rain expected from this.

An UAC is expected to form in the Southern Bay off TN coast soon

Nilesh Ladhad said...

Do valsad also have premonsoon rains along with Mumbai?
Last year there was nothing like premonsoon rain.