What we see here are the cloud formation in Mid Arabian Seas...This formation is explained in the last few Monsoon Watch Series articles.
(Refresh from MW-5: "Now, this difference with the Central Arabian Sea plays a key role in cloud formations off the Western Coastline of India in the Central Arabian Seas. The SST along the Somali coast should rapidly fall to around 18/20c in the next 10 days.")
Now, as we see the cloud mass forming, and precipitating rains, we see the west winds picking up. Off the Maldives coast, the winds are gaining strength.
The main Gan Island in the Maldives has recorded 40 mms rains yesterday, Hanimadu saw 39 mms today.
Monsoon is expected to hit the Maldives in the next 24-36 hrs (by 24th May)....Rest of Monsoon progress could also be as estimated, by vagaries.. 26th in Sri Lanka, 3rd June in Kerala...
Monsoon progress map ( Right side of Blog) is updated regularly.
The winds remain W/SW South of Sri Lanka and are SW at around 30 knts in the Andaman region.
Remember, we mentioned that the Somali Current forces the Seas on the Somali Coast waters to cool down , and the SW winds rushing into the warmer Arabian Seas form thick clouds in the mid seas...This is precisely what we need.
Also on stream as per last MW 5, we see the core pressure of the seasonal Low dropping to 998 mb today...a significant step which was anticipated in the last MW 5.
Nawabshah and Sibbi in Pakistan recorded 49.0c on Friday. Highest in India was 47.6c at Chandrapur (Vidharbh).
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