Monday, October 27, 2014

As on Monday Afternoon, 

"Nilofar" is located at 15N and 62.5E..thus having tracked N/NW since last report. Winds estimated are now 70 knts, 130 kmph...Cat 1 and Severe Cyclonic Storm nomenclature and estimated core pressure 985 mb.

#Nilofar will Track NW till about 59E/60E, before recurving. Will strengthen to Cat 2 in next 36 hrs (from Monday noon), to about 90 knts , 155 kmph and deepen to estimated 970-975 mb...
Will weaken after 36 hrs and move NE towards the North Gujarat region...Further inland track is NE inland towards Rajasthan and Delhi...

Rains in Southern Oman on Tuesday evening with gusty winds. As cyclone may recurve from around 59E, iit seems the extreme force of cyclone is spared for Oman.
Muscat will be cloudy on Tuesday with light showers.


Next Report and Mumbai Forecast tonight by 11.30 pm IST


Sunday Night 12 am...

Nilofar located at 14.4N and 62.9E......but winds estimated at 45-50 knts...Estimated pressure at 994 mb..this 37 GHz sat image shows the eye formation.





Almost Stationary since last report on Vagaries.
Why ? Cyclone is sandwiched between 2 sub tropical ridges...one to the East and one to the West..The STR in the East will dominate by strengthening, and will guide the system NW towards Oman...Later by Tuesday, the all powerful Westerlies in the jet streams will track the cyclone towards the East again. and head towards the West Gujarat coast...

Rainfall along S.Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka continues for next 2 days. Very heavy falls expected in Interior Karnataka.


Heavy rains in Goa last 24 hrs...


Heaviest rains of NEM season in Karnataka, ending 8.30 am on 27.10.2014
The Cyclonic Storm (Nilofar) intensified into a Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay centred at about 1170 kms southwest of Naliya (Gujarat) and 1230 kms south-southwest of Karachi (Pakistan). It would move initially north-northwestwards and intensify further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 24 hours.

in mm (min 60 mm)

Kanasavadi - 203
Pavagada - 190
Giriyapura - 150
Bettadakelaginahalli - 160
Y.N.Hoskote - 124
Hirenalluru - 124
Alagatta - 113
Hunsehalli - 106
Adankuppe - 105
Thimmalapura - 105
Settykere - 102
Rattihalli - 100
Shivapura - 95
Kamasandra - 92
Halkurke - 92
Bhadravathi - 92
Ajjampura - 92
Chakanahalli - 91
Yagati - 88
Baasuru - 87
Ikkanur - 85
Chitradurga - 85
Banavara - 83
Sirigere - 83
KR Pet - 82
Chickkanayakanahalli - 82
Banavara - 80
Ramasagar - 80
Huliyur - 76
Arasikere - 74
Seelunare - 74
Arasikere - 74
Kanakatte - 72
Panchanahalli - 72
Thippagondanahalli - 72
Nagaragere - 72
Bargur - 71
Bilichodu - 70
VatadaHosahalli - 65
Haunsabhavi - 63
Eswaragere- 63
Huliyurdurga - 63
Malebennur - 62
Kengeri - 62
Hura - 62
Nuggehalli - 61
Byramangala - 61
Hole Honnuru - 60
Honnavalli - 60
Hosadurga - 60
T.Hagalawadi - 60
Kagalavadi - 60

7 comments:

Atul Naik said...

The rainfall of 290.6 mm recorded by IMD for Margao Goa for October 26 is suspect because Vagaries Goa's Oregon Scientific make digital rain gauge located just 800 mtrs away recorded 158 mm during the same period. The readings of the two gauges usually differ by only a few mm except on October 26. Also there was no cloud burst within 800 mtrs of Vagaries Goa location to justify the difference. This has been brought to the notice of the Director IMD Goa, who has promised to look into the process of recording high volume rain collection in the rain gauge at IMD location in Margao.

ANOOP RAWAT said...

I also suspet imd min temp reading in UP in feb 2013 . I can't remember city but it was shown coldest in plains with 6-7 c on a cloudy night .whlile whole NW was showing much higher temp

Naveen Ankampalli said...

#‎Bangalore‬ Heavy downpour lashing almost entire city....It's raining like crazily since last 3 hours...might it reach More than 10 cm by morning...:):)

Naveen Ankampalli said...

Northeast monsoon has been vigorous over South interior Karnataka Rainfall occurred at many places over Interior Karnataka.

Pavagada (Tumkur dt) 19, YN Hoskote (Tumkur dt) 12; Bhadravathi (Shimoga dt), Ajjampura, Yegati (both Chikmagalur dt), B Durga (Chitradurga dt), Chitradurga 9 each; KR Pet (Mandya dt), CN Halli (Tumkur dt) 8 each; Panchanahalli (Chikmagalur dt), Arasikere (Hassan dt), TG Halli (Bangalore Urban dt), Bargur (Tumkur dt) 7 each, Haunsbhavi (Haveri dt), Haveri, Nuggehalli (Hassan dt), Hosadurga (Chitradurga dt), Huliyurdurga, Pavagada AWS (both Tumkur dt), Kanakapura (Ramanagara dt) 6 each; Chamarajanagar AWS, Chamarajanagar PTO, Srirangapatna (Mandya dt), Madhavara ARG, GKVK (both Bangalore Urban dt), Nelamangala (Bangalore Rural dt), Bharamasagara (Chitradurga dt), Tiptur (Tumkur dt), Magadi (Ramanagara dt) 5 each; Yelandur, MM Hills (both Chamarajanagar dt), Bangalore KIAL, Teligi, Jagalur (both Davangere dt), Gowribidanur (Chikaballapura dt) 4 each; Kudachi (Belgaum dt), Hanagal (Haveri dt), Chikmagalur, Shivani (Chikmagalur dt), Dudda, Halebeedu (both Hassan dt), T Narasipura (Mysore dt), Srinivaspura (Kolar dt), Bangalore HAL AP, Santhebennur, Uchangidurga (both Davangere dt), Thondebhavi (Chikaballapura dt), Gubbi, Kunigal ARG, Koratagere, Madhugiri (all Tumkur dt) 3 each; Athani (Belgaum dt), Haveri APMC, Humnabad (Bidar dt), Khajuri (Gulbarga dt), Anavatti, Sorab (both Shimoga dt), Kadur (Chikmagalur dt), Periyapatna (Mysore dt), Begur (Chamarajanagar dt), Yelahanka IAF (Bangalore Urban dt), Chamarajanagar, Malavalli ARG, Malavalli (both Mandya dt), Harihar (Davangere dt), Davangere PTO, Nayakanahatti, Parasurampura (both Chitradurga dt), Hosahalli (Bellary dt), Madhugiri ARG, Bukkapatna, Kunigal, Turuvekere (all Tumkur dt), Chikkanahalli, Chikkanahalli AWS 2 each; Karwar, Sirsi, Castle Rock, Joida (all Uttara Kannada dt), Londa, Sankeshwar, Athani ARG, Sedbal (all Belgaum dt), Byadgi, Hirekerur, Savanur, Guttal, Ranebennur (all Haveri dt), Bijapur, Bableshwar, Nagathan, Tikkota, Muddebihal (all Bijapur dt), Lakkavalli, Lingadahalli, Tarikere (all Chikmagalur dt), Hassan, KR Nagara (Mysore dt), Kolar, Rayalpadu, Bangarpet (both Kolar dt), Hesaraghatta ARG, Hesaraghatta, Yelahanka TC (all Bangalore Urban dt), Hoskote, Devanahalli (both Bangalore Rural dt), Channagiri (Davangere dt), Davangere, Gudibande (Chikaballapura dt), Tumkur, Sira (Tumkur dt) 1 each.

Naveen Ankampalli said...

Northeast monsoon has been vigorous over South interior Karnataka on 26th October 2014.
Chief Rainfall amounts are..

Bevoor (Koppal dt) 13, Karwar 12; Koppal PTO, Koppal 11 each; Joida (Uttara Kannada dt) 10; Kushtagi (Koppal dt), Santhebennur (Davangere dt) 9 each; Honavar, Hidkal (Belgaum dt), Ilkal (Bagalkote dt), HB Halli (Bellary dt) 8 each; Mudibidre (Dakshina Kannada dt), Kundapur (Udupi dt), Gokarna, Ankola, Kadra, Jagalbet (all Uttara Kannada dt), Londa, Sankeshwar (both Belgaum dt), Belgaum, Belgaum AP, Munirabad ARG (Koppal dt), Kaladgi, Jamakhandi (both Bagalkote dt), Mudgal (Raichur dt), Ajjampura (Chikmagalur dt) 7 each, Panambur, Bantwal (Dakshina Kannada dt), Kota (Udupi dt), Khanapur, Kanabargi AWS, Hukkeri (all Belgaum dt), Gangavathi, Kuknoor (both Koppal dt), Kundargi ARG (Bagalkote dt), Kakkeri, Shorapur (both Yadgir dt), Hesaraghatta ARG (Bangalore Urban dt), B Durga, Hiriyur (both Chitradurga dt) 6 each; Mangalore AP, Mangalore, Mani (both Dakshina Kannada dt), Kollur (Udupi dt), Manki, Kumta, Kiravatti, Yellapur, Haliyal (all Uttara Kannada dt), Bailhongal, Yedwad (both Belgaum dt), Kalghatgi (Dharwad dt), Tikkota (Bijapur dt), Hunsagi, Kembhavi, Shahapur, Saidapur (all Yadgir dt), Lingasugur (Raichur dt), Agumbe, Tarikere (Chikmagalur dt), Yelandur (Chamarajanagar dt), Bangalore City, Hesaraghatta (Bangalore Urban dt), Sandur, Kottur (both Bellary dt), Bharamasagara (Chitradurga dt), Shidlaghatta (Chikaballapura dt) 5 each; Shirali, Gersoppa (Uttara Kannada dt), Chikkodi, Gokak, Arabhavi ARG, Ramdurga (all Belgaum dt), Dharwad, Dharwad(Hos), Tavaragere (Koppal dt), Mahalingapur (Bagalkote dt), Bableshwar, B.Bagewadi, Talikote (all Bijapur dt), Gurumitkal (Yadgir dt), Jalahalli, Maski, Dhadesugur ARG (all Raichur dt), Yegati (Chikmagalur dt), MM Hills (Chamarajanagar dt), GKVK, Yelahanka TC (both Bangalore Urban dt), Kampli (Bellary dt), Uchangidurga (Davangere dt), Parasurampura (Chitradurga dt), Magadi (Ramanagara dt) 4 each; Mulki, Belthangady, Puttur (all Dakshina Kannada dt), Karkala, Siddapura (both Udupi dt), Bhatkal, Manchikeri (both Uttara Kannada dt), Soundatti, Athani, Athani ARG, Sedbal, Raibagh, Belwadi, Yergatti (all Belgaum dt), Hubli (Dharwad dt), Yelburga (Koppal dt), Badami, Kerur, Lokapur, Rabkavi, Guledgud (all Bagalkote dt), Bijapur, Tidgundi AGRO, Alamatti, Muddebihal, Nalwatwad (all Bijapur dt), Nalwar, Yedrami (both Gulbarga dt), Narayanpura (Yadgir dt), Sindhanur (Raichur dt), Hulikal ARG (Shimoga dt), Kottigehara, Jayapura, Kammaradi, Shivani (all Chikmagalur dt), Alur, Nuggehalli (both Hassan dt), KR Pet (Mandya dt), Srinivaspura (Kolar dt), Bangalore HAL AP, Yelahanka IAF (Bangalore Urban dt), Nelamangala (Bangalore Rural dt), Hospet (Bellary dt), Jagalur (Davangere dt), Hosadurga (Chitradurga dt), Chitradurga 3 each; Dharmasthala, Sulya, Uppinangady (all Dakshina Kannada dt), Udupi, Mundagod, Sirsi (both Uttara Kannada dt), Kundagol, Navalgund (both Dharwad dt), Gadag, Gadag AWS, Nargund (Gadag dt), Kudachi (Belgaum dt), Indi, Devarhippargi, Sindagi (all Bijapur dt), Gulbarga, Jeewargi, Nelogi, Raddewadgi ARG (all Gulbarga dt), Deodurg (Raichur dt), Virajpet (Kodagu dt), Linganamakki, Talaguppa, Hosanagara, Thirthahalli (all Shimoga dt), Kalasa, Koppa (both Chikmagalur dt), Sakaleshpura (Hassan dt), Hassan, Sargur, T Narasipura (both Mysore dt), KR Sagara, Basaralu, Malavalli ARG, Malavalli (all Mandya dt), Chamarajanagar AWS, TG Halli (Bangalore Urban dt), Devanahalli (Bangalore Rural dt), Bellary AWS, Kudathini (Bellary dt), Davangere PTO, Harapanahalli (Davangere dt), Gowribidanur (Chikaballapura dt), Madhugiri ARG, Bukkapatna (both Tumkur dt), Chikkanahalli AWS, Chikkanahalli PTO 2 each;

Naveen Ankampalli said...

Chief Rainfall on 25th October In Karnataka Are:

Siddapura (Udupi dt) 12; Gersoppa (Uttara Kannada dt), Kudathini (Bellary dt) 9 each; Linganamakki (Shimoga dt) 7,Bellary AWS 6; Mundagod (Uttara Kannada dt), Shimoga, Parasurampura (Chitradurga dt) 5 each; Jagalbet (Uttara Kannada dt), Byadgi (Haveri dt), Hosanagara, Thirthahalli, Holalur (all Shimoga dt), Davangere, Kurugodu (Bellary dt), Koratagere, Bargur, YN Hoskote (all Tumkur dt) 4 each; Kollur, Kundapur (both Udupi dt), Shirali, Kumta (Uttara Kannada dt), Londa (Belgaum dt), Kalghatgi (Dharwad dt), Haveri APMC, Ranebennur (Haveri dt), Hulikal ARG (Shimoga dt), Agumbe, Harihar (Davangere dt), Hosadurga, Nayakanahatti (both Chitradurga dt), Gubbi, Sira (both Tumkur dt) 3 each; Mangalore (Dakshina Kannada dt), Mangalore AP, Kota, Karkala (both Udupi dt), Udupi, Honavar, Joida, Haliyal (both Uttara Kannada dt), Khanapur, Kanabargi AWS, Belwadi (all Belgaum dt), Belgaum AP, Belgaum, Bhagamandala (Kodagu dt), Talaguppa, Shikaripura (both Shimoga dt), Kammaradi, Koppa, NR Pura, Ajjampura, Lakkavalli, Lingadahalli (all Chikmagalur dt), Halebeedu, Sravanabelagola (both Hassan dt), Hassan, Honakere (Mandya dt), Nelamangala (Bangalore Rural dt), Hospet, Kampli, Hosahalli (all Bellary dt), Jagalur (Davangere dt), Chitradurga, Hiriyur (Chitradurga dt) 2 each; Panambur, Mulki, Bantwal, Belthangady (all Dakshina Kannada dt), Bhatkal, Ankola, Sirsi, Kiravatti, Siddapura (all Uttara Kannada dt), Bailhongal (Belgaum dt), Dharwad, Hubli (Dharwad dt), Hanagal (Haveri dt), Haveri, Gadag, Gadag AWS, Lakshmeswar, Mundargi (both Gadag dt), Gangavathi (Koppal dt), Virajpet (Kodagu dt), Sagar, Thyagarthi, Humchadakatte, Bhadravathi (all Shimoga dt), Kalasa, Shivani, Tarikere (all Chikmagalur dt), Dudda, Arasikere (both Hassan dt), Chamarajanagar PTO, Sandur (Bellary dt), Davangere PTO, Honnali, Santhebennur, Uchangidurga (all Davangere dt), Ramagiri, Rampura (both Chitradurga dt), CN Halli, Tiptur, Kunigal ARG, Madhugiri, Madhugiri ARG (all Tumkur dt) 1 each.

Naveen Ankampalli said...

Chief rainfall amounts on 24th October in Karnataka are:


Bantwal (Dakshina Kannada dt) 9; Panambur, Udupi 7 each. Uppinangady (Dakshina Kannada dt), Karkala (Udupi dt) 5 each; Mangalore AP 4; Mudibidre, Dharmasthala, Puttur (all Dakshina Kannada dt), Kota (Udupi dt), Somawarpet 9kdg dt), Begur, Tumkur 3 each; Mangalore, Sulya (both Dakshina Kannada dt), Karwar, Agumbe, Sringeri (Chikmagalur dt), Nuggehalli (Hassan dt), MM Hills (Chamarajanagar dt), Honakere (Mandya dt), Yelahanka TC (Bangalore Urban dt), Hoskote (Bangalore Rural dt), Gubbi (Tumkur dt), Kanakapura (Ramanagara dt) 2 each; Mulki, Mani, Belthangady, Subramanya (all Dakshina Kannada dt), Kundapur (Udupi dt), Madapura 9kdg dt), Kalasa (Chikmagalur dt), Dudda (Hassan dt), T Narasipura (Mysore dt), Maddur (Mandya dt), Rayalpadu (Kolar dt), Bangalore City, GKVK, Yelahanka IAF (both Bangalore Urban dt), Devanahalli, Nelamangala (both Bangalore Rural dt), Tiptur, Huliyurdurga, Madhugiri (all Tumkur dt), Chintamani PTO 1 each.