Friday, October 10, 2014

Hudhud Report as on 11.30 pm IST Friday:

Position: 15.4N and 86.7E. Thus having moved N/NW from last position.  Estimated  position as per microwave imagery from satellite, and core pressure is 985 mb.Winds at estimated 75 knts and 90 knts in gusts now, as per the DVORAK estimate from various sources.



An interesting comparison of 2 cyclones in same region, on same date but different year .from Akshay Deoras, taken from Down to Earth.




Mumbai Region Monsoon Totals...Rohit's Page
x--------------------x--------------------------x----------------------------x----------------------x
Status Report as on Friday Noon:

Cyclone Hudhud, having moved NW, is positioned at 14.7N and  87.6E, 494 nm south of Kolkata.

Estimated core pressure 985 mb and estimated winds at 65  knts on 1 minute average and DVORK Estimates. So, movemnet slow at 4knts /hour, and intensification also slow.
Observed 25 knts vertical wind shear...may not be favourable for rapid intensification, but other factors like height favour it.
 

As cyclone has reached upper level to almost 300 hp, conditions are favourable for initial strengthening and NW tracking as it is South of Sub Tropical Ridge (STR). STR may shift to East...,  which may shift the track N/NW. Landfall target remains Odisha coast.
Ensuing dry air appears to be diminishing, to a small region seen in the SE of the centre.
Very rough seas at present in the core region with 16 feet waves above astronomical tide levels.


For those Interested,  Maharashtra and Marathwada Report on Monsoon..on Mumbai Page

4 comments:

Junaid said...

A WEIRD AND QUITE RARE EVENT HAS HAPPENED IN NEW PANVEL! OCTOBER MONTH HAS EDGED OUT JUNE AND WENT ON TO RECEIVE MORE RAIN THAN IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
JUNE rainfall -128mm in 6 rainy days
OCTOBER rainfall - 149 mm in 5 rainy days!
1st OCT -12mm
2nd OCT-68mm
8th OCT-8 mm
10th OCT-35mm
Today's storm-26 mm

Junaid said...

I want to share with you all the frightening experience of mine today!
while i was returning to home i noticed huge mammatus clouds at 6:20 pm ,suddenly they started drifting and a very violent ear crackling show of lightening started ,all through the walk towards my house i saw thunderbolts striking so close to me thatithe ground was shaking like an earthquake.it started raining at 6:20 pm and the rains ended by 7:48 pm which gave 26 mm of rain .in radar panvel could be clearly seen under dark yellow patch!

Abhijit said...

Today experienced massive TS of Oct month in Badlapur between 6.30pm to 7pm. 4 huge lightning grounded in within 500 mtrs range from our area and that too within 5mins of span which produced ear crackling thunder ! Overall 8 lightning got struck in 30 mins storm. So had an amazing thrilling moment but enjoyed a lot by seeing it from window.

sset said...

Probably this is first time nature has spawned 2 different cyclones (phailian,hudhud) same place different dates (successive year)- good capture of moments. Worst fear is failure of NEM 4th time in a row...This cyclone for SE India is like a comet which spells famine..(take it light)