Saturday, November 17, 2012

Position as at 11.30pm IST Saturday: Again same stationary position at 16.1N and 88.5E and same strength...due to strong pull of the jet streams , the systems expected to move NW. Kolkata getting cloudy with moderate rains Sunday.


Position as at 8.30pm IST : Almost stationary at 16.1N and 88.5E and 1000 mb...


Situation changes rather Dramatically within 3 hours:

BB-11 strengthens into a depression and then into a deep depression within 3 hrs. At 1000 mb, it's centre  is about 725 kms east of Kakinada (AP).
Expect it to track N/NW and move into Orissa North of Bhubaneshwar. Very heavy rains for Orissa coast and adjoining W.Bengal coast. Kolkata can get showers from tomorrow.


Since the system is changing shape and track rather fast...next update at 10 pm.


7 comments:

sset said...

Bad for water starved TN. With this water dispute will deepen between TN and KAR. Much of cauvery basin (interiors/tail-ends) did not receive any rains. This makes these regions as driest spots. Will NEM revive during DEC or dry spell will continue with season coming to closure. Probably NOV 2012 is driest month for TN with no rains during NEM season. SriLsnka must be facing similar drought.

Orissa enjoys UACs/lows during SWM and depressions during NEM.

sset said...

2012 NEM did not bring lows over Saudi/Oman - but 2011 brought many lows. Anyway for TN problem is still persisting - requires heavy spells of rains/cyclones/lows/UACs.

sam khan said...

Weak NEM was already predicted for south india .looks like NEM will wind up bit early this year.leaving south india high n dry.

sam khan said...

chennai is experiencing bad monsoon this year

Abhijit said...

Badlapur is more colder today than yesterday. Min temp is 14 C at 6.30am. And IMD's Karjat AWS also showing 13.1 C at 6.30am.

Abhijit said...

I thought temp will not slide down after 6.30am but today it got slide down at 7am also ! So min temp is 13.7 C at 7am today here in Badlapur.

sset said...

IMD in weather blog says a south-west movement in next 72hours. Amazing fact - Northern hemisphere allows a depression to move south????