compiled by Vagarian Tejas
Posted Saturday Night:
1*. The UAC off the Mumbai coast, descended to sea level on Saturday. The Low is expected to dissolve by Sunday evening. Rainfall decreasing in Konkan and Interior Mah from Sunday evening.
2**. Another Low is expected to form off the North Konkan/Saurashtra Coast around the 24th/25th of September. Seeing the developments possible, this may develop and deepen, and as AS-1, track Westwards into the Arabian Sea.
3. South West Monsoon will withdraw from Rajasthan and Kutch by 19th of this month. And subsequently from Punjab in the next 2 days.
Monsoon may withdraw from NCR around 26th of September.
*1(a): Mumbai: Vagaries had clarified, that depending on the exact location of the UAC, 100 kms North/South of Mumbai cold be the range of rainfall along the coast.
As shown in maps ( In Vagaries) on Friday and Saturday, this trough and embedded UAC has produced rainfall upto 100-350 mms. In the North (Dahanu 120 kms had 345 mms) and South (Murud 120 kms had 230 mms) of Mumbai.
Mumbai received an average rainfall of 23 mms as on 15th morning, 68 mms on 16th and 76 mms on 17th.
Rains will persist in the Mumbai region on Saturday night and Sunday. Frequent showers on Saturday night and Sunday.Next 24 hrs, from Saturday mid night- Sunday mid night Mumbai can bring up 60-80 mms.
Saurashtra had good showers on Friday and Saturday(mentioned in LTF on Tuesday).
South Gujarat region coast and Coastal Saurashtra will get thunder showers on Sunday.
Surat: Chances of a couple of heavy showers on Sunday. Next 24 hrs,30-50 mms till Sunday night.
**2(a): On forming, AS-1 may bring rains again to North Konkan around 23rd.(If on schedule, Mumbai may get another spell on 22nd or 23rd). Showers will also cover the South Saurashtra Coast.
Mumbai Water Position see Mumbai Page