Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Estimate for Next 2 days Wednesday 28th and Thursday 29th September for :-

Delhi NCR: As monsoon withdraws by month end, Region may experience very hot days. Day may rise to 38c.

Mumbai: Partly cloudy with a couple of passing showers in some parts of city. Days likely to be hotter.

Kolkata: Warm, but a shower or thunder shower expected on Wed/Thursday.

Chennai: Cloudy, with showers on Wednesday and Thursday. Around 10-20 mms of average rainfall per day.

Bangalore: Expecting a thundershower on Wednesday and Thursday.

Hyderabad: Partly cloudy. May get windy on Thursday. Light drizzle in some parts.

20 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

All India Cumulative RF till 27.09.2016 849.9 MM As against Normal of 875.2 MM- 3% departure on a negative side continued- 3 days to go for official closure as per IMD standards for total RF all over India Season SWM 2016. Source IMD

Jiva Bhammar said...

Sir forecast by vagaries during period of 2015 for system's developement,track,duration,rainfall quantum for cities/area was found 90to 100% accurate.but i found in 2016 there are some problems in accuracy.

rajesh said...

Jiva: Maybe i am losing my touch now...after 46 years of experience :-)

Unknown said...

What an amazing change just a few days could make. In mumbai we have had a wet wet 10 days till the last weekend. And now since Monday bright sunny days. Vagaries of Weather indeed. Rajesh, will Mumbai have one good final wave before the final goodbye ?

Suresh

rajesh said...

suresh: Read my previous blog...of course there is some rain left still

Ishan Vajpeyi said...

Just read an article in The Hindu Business line which quoted The European Centre for medium-range forecasting as saying that the withdrawal would be dalayed again because of yet another wet spell due to cover central and adjoining west India, and which would last till 6 Oct.
Moist SE winds have again started blowing over the NW plains. Really fed up with this awfully humid weather!😡

Nilay Wankawala said...

All India R F Cumulative till 28.09.2016 854 MM against 879.6 MM Normal- Negative 3% Departure- 2 days to close - Source IMD

Jiva Bhammar said...

Sir any chance of rain in saurashtra after 2nd octomber....

abizer Kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,which date in october would thunderstorms begin in mumbai,north konkan?

SVT said...

What the forecast fro Kolkata test starting tomorrow next 5 days? Any chance of day time rains or evening thunderstorm?

Ishan Vajpeyi said...

Rajesh Sir, though you replied to an earlier post of mine, still, I want to ask you something. Has the withdrawal stalled again in NW India? Persistent ESE winds are blowing over the region. When will the dry and cool NW winds take over and give us a feel of the typical autumn weather which characterises October in NW India?

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Nothern plain are yet to touch 20℃ in night. Even Amritsar is around 24℃

rajesh said...

suresh: Showers/thundershowers can start in mumbai from Saturday 1st October. Interior regions of Konkan may also start getting thunder showers.

Ishan: Expecting SE winds in Delhi till 4t Oct. Winds may change from 5th to W/NW.

SVT: Kolkata may get a thunder shower in some parts on Friday. Rain expected on Tuesday, though light.

sset said...

Cauvery source itself declared drought hit....

http://www.bangaloremirror.com/bangalore/others/Cauvery-Row-Cauvery-source-is-drought-hit/articleshow/54573506.cms

In fact, Agumbe in Theerthahalli taluk of Shivamogga is hailed as the Cherrapunji of Karnataka due to highest rainfall. But today, the same taluk has been declared drought-hit, which has triggered panic among climate activists.

sset said...

Evident to experts’ concern, several rain-rich Malnad taluks like Moodigere, Narasimharaja Pura in Chikkamagalur district, Hosanagar, Sagara and Theerthahalli taluks of Shivamogga district have also been declared drought-hit by the state government.

Interestingly, this is the second consecutive time that the government is declaring Malnad areas as drought-hit, thus triggering a debate on climate change and its impact on Karnataka.

rajesh said...

Anoop: Expect night temps to drop in Punjab and North Rajasthan after the 6th...when winds hopefully change to W or NW.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Source : IMD

All India Actual R F till 29.09.2016 858.0 MM
All India Normal R F till 29.09.2016 883.6 MM

Departure from Normal -2.9%

LAST DAY TODAY TO CONCLUDE

Vijayanand said...

Eden gardens day1 of test match. 81 overs complete and no rain. Heard it has started raining 14 kms from ground.

Akshay Shah said...

Wow... One last round of rains predicted beginning Monday in Maharashtra n Gujarat... Rain gods really smiling on this sector. Rajesh sir - will it be a cyclonic circulation or low pressure ?

rajesh said...

Akshay Shah: Read Flash Snippet on the Right side of this blog...rains will be due to an upper air trough ( formed as a result of a pulse from the Bay). The Upper air trough runs along 18/20N from 65E to 75E on Sunday/Monday.