Posted Thursday Night: Mumbai Follow Up:
Due to a slight weakening of the divergence in the winds at the 200 levels, there could be some delay in the formation of the expected UAC over the Mumbai region.Not much though, Heavy showers expected Thursday Night and...
Friday will see showers post noon, and may still measure upto 60-80 mms on Friday.
Saturday will be seeing heavy rains , again potential for flooding. With strong winds, Mumbai may see around 150 - 170 mms on Saturday.
Pune, getting fairly frequent showers on Friday (around 35 mms) with the day around 23c.
On Saturday, heaviest rains spreading Northwards along coast upto Gujarat coast.Surat may get heavy showers.
Posted Thursday Evening...
We had mentioned the formation of an east-West trough thru Mumbai going towards the interior Maharashtra region. This formed on Thursday, resulting in an initial commencement of rains around Mumbai.
Some rainfall amounts from 8.30 am -5.30 pm on Thursday: Mumbai Colaba 20 mms, Vagaries 55 mms and Mumbai Scruz 76 mms.
Pune was cloudy with occasional rains, 4mms, the day's high being 24.2c (AP) and 24.9c (City). In Marathwada, Parbhani recorded 47 mms in the same period.....more on the situation tonite 11 pm IST
Follow up to Mumbai Rains : Posted Wednesday Night:
A Brief Explanation:
On schedule, the Arabian Sea UAC at 65E, and now its on stream to form an Upper Air Trough from This UAC to theUAC of BB-11...East-West Upper Trough. And the 200 level divergence will help in the formation of UAC around Mumbai by Friday...So,
Expect thunder showers on Thursday around Mumbai. Mumbai can get about 40-50 mms on Thursday, increasing substantially on Friday to 140-160 mms. Watch out for flooding.
Stormy Saturday expected.
As mentioned, rains will wet Pune next 3 days , with thunder.Around 25 mms on Thursday and 30-40 mms on Friday.
Pune must be ready for cool days at 23c.
Posted Tuesday Night:
Mumbai Special:Wet and windy Spell ahead !
Starting Thursday 15th September, next 4 days are going to be very wet and windy for Mumbai and all surrounding townships.
Thursday 15th will be the commencement of the wet spell, being cloudy with a few showers.
Showers start increasing in intensity from early Friday 16th morning, and the day will see heavy rains . Watch out for flooding also. Vagaries would expect between 150-170 mms in 24 hrs (Friday). Fairly frequent showers with thunder.
Rains continue into Saturday 17th, with frequent intermittent showers in the day. Again, another 150 mms expected in next 24 hrs.Watch out for flooding.
Heavy rains on Sunday 18th, though less then intensity of Friday/Saturday. will add to flooding.Sunday will see let up only after evening.
As the reason and cause for this expected heavy rains is an embedded UAC in an East-West Upper Air trough, its outreach may be restricted. Heavy rains will roughly cover the region round 100 kms North and South of Mumbai along the coast, and around 50 kms inland.
The ghats between Mumbai and Pune region will also experience heavy rains, along with the stations in Mahableshwar and Koyna regions. May get more than 300 mms. in 2 days.
Pune will also witness a wet spell,from Thursday thru Sunday. Thursday will be rainy and wet (40-50 mms), but The peak rainfall (of around 80-100 mms ) will be on Sunday.Cold days ahead the weekend, with the days not exceeding 23c.