Tuesday, September 06, 2016

Posted Tuesday Evening:

1.As the Low pressure moves North towards Eastern Nepal, rainfall decreases  ( Wednesday) in GWB. Rainfall with heavy falls restricted to Bihar, Himalayan Bengal, Sikkim and East Nepal.

2. As an weak UAC forms over Saurahtra, isolated showers expected in Saurashtra on Wednesday/Thursday. Showers expected in South Gujarat coast and North Konkan also.  

3. A new Low (BB-11) may form off the AP coast around 11th September. Rainfall may then increase in AP, Telengana, Vidharbh and NI Karnataka.

4. South West Monsoon may withdraw from Sindh and West Rajasthan by around 10th September. Will update on this again on 8th .


The expected Monday/Tuesday heavy rains in Bihar, Jharkhand and W.Bengal:Heavy Rains in cms:
BIHAR: TEKARI 26,GAYA AERO 24, BODH GAYA 20, BIKRAM 17, KURATHA 17, KOILWAR 16, KINJAR 16, MAKHDUMPUR 15.

JHARKHAND: JAMSHEDPUR AERO 16, MAITHON 10, PANCHET 8.
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL:  PURIHANSA 17, KHARIDWAR 15, HARINKHOLA 14, KOLKATA (ALIPORE) 13, PHULBERIA 12, ASANSOL(CWC) 11
ASANSOL 10

City Forecasts for 7th and 8th September: 
Mumbai: Next 2 days will be partly cloudy with warm sunshine. A few showers in some parts.

Karachi will be windy, with west/south west winds blowing and partly cloudy.

Kathmandu: Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will see some heavy showers for Kathmandu. Around 30 mms/day next 2 days..Heavy showers with thunder expected. 

6 comments:

Nilesh Ladhad said...

Passing showers from tuesday night in Valsad. Now continous rain from last 45 minutes.

sset said...

Mumbai get light rains...Tensions mount between KAR and TN over Cauvery water. Worst drought for all southern states (KER,KAR, AP)/ TN wait for NEM! It is ironical that this happens when excess SWM was forecasted!
Will there be repetition of 2013 kind of GUJ sep rains? Some models state about extreme rains over Mumbai during sept?

rajesh said...

Posted Wednesday Night: Several places in Saurashtra had showers, with Bhavnagar recording 5 cms, Mahua 4 cms, Barvala,Ranpur and Vallibhipur 4 cms each. In South Gujarat coast Chikhli, Ukai, Valsad and Choryasi measured 2 cms each.

sset said...

http://www.monsoondata.org/wx2/prec.html

GFS says > 250mm of rain over Konkan (sep 15...on wards) - what about monsoon withdrawl?

rajesh said...

I have mentioned in an earlier comment, I feel Monsoon withdrawal from Konkan will be after 1st week of October this year.

sset said...

Karnataka / TN bandh tommorow - Cauvery water dispute - monsoon has failed drought strikes! No technology can help...