Thursday, August 22, 2013

On Sunday, Mumbai with sunny day will be warm at 30/31c, with a local isolated shower in some parts.Rain about 5-7 mms in some areas.
Pune will be warmer with light rain in some areas. Warmer day at 30c.
Chennai will be hot at 35/36c.

Maharashtra today (Saturday): Maximum deviation in Day: Jalgaon, with max at 23.7c, below normal by 7.4c ! Coldest night at Mshwar at 16.2c and 20.0c at Gondia, Amravati and Yavatmal.
Hottest place 32.2c at Solapur.

Friday and Saturday, BB-10 moved and "behaved" as per estimate. Heaviest rains in Central MP (meaning West of Itarsi), and Indore getting extremely heavy rains of 142 mms on Friday/Saturday.
Moderate rains in Eastern Gujarat and Surat seeing frequent rains in the day.Udaipur had a thunderstorm on Saturday evening.
BB-10 fizzled out, and Sunday will be seeing decrease all over as estimated.


Expect a 5 day forecast from Vagaries for Sub-Contnent on Sunday by 9 pm IST

Posted on Thursday:
As BB-10 moves Westwards, it weakens, and the rain area shrinks. 

Friday, we can expect rainfall in MP. Particularly heavy rainfall could occur in the region West of Itarsi (MP), upto the Gujarat border. 
Decreased rains in East and Northern region of India.
Friday: Cities to watch for heavy rains: Indore, Itarsi and medium heavy in Baroda.

Saturday: Rain patch moves into Eastern Gujarat. Good rainfall for Surat and Bharuch Cities. Westwards, Bhavnagar also can get showers. Light showers likely in Saurashtra.
Northwards, rains likely in Eastern adjoining Rajasthan. Udaipur possibly can get showers.
Saturday: Cities to watch for heavy rains: Surat, Bhavnagar and Udaipur.

Sunday: Decrease in overall rainfall.
Most of the Sub_continent will have decreased precipitation.

Next 3 days, West Coast gets light to medium rains (15-25 mms) near ghats and slightly lesser along coast. and East Coast (AP and TN) mainly dry.

Decreased rains in North India.

Temps in Maharashtra today (Thursday) : Mshwar @ 16.7c. Also coldest day at Mshwar @ 18.3c. Highest deviation in day today at Akola with max temp at 26.2c which is 4.4c below normal.Highest variation at night at Gondia, which saw 21.2c, and was 2.6c below normal. 


All India Top 20 Toppers from 01.06.13 to 22.08.13
in mm (Min 6000 mm)...Pradeep's Page

23 comments:

rajesh said...

very light rain expected on Sindh coast...and maybe SE sindh cloudy with light rain on Saturday. So not mentioned in heavy rain details.

k.p said...

sir what is your predictions of rain for mumbai you have not mentioned of mumbai particularly in your predictions.how is it going to b next 3 days of mumbai

sam khan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
sam khan said...

After 45 mins heavy rains in Vasai , it has stopped raining at the moment here.

Abhijit said...

Badlapur had sudden heavy rain spell with thick drops at 5pm today which lasted only for 10mins & then cool down considerably..

sam khan said...

After a short break of 10 mins there was another spell of heavy rain for 15 mins in Vasai. welcome back heavy rain's in Vasai.

Abhijit said...

Indore max temp 23.2c with 93mm rain till 5.30pm today.

Abhijit said...

Nashik max temp 23.4c with 3mm rain till 5.30pm today. It would be lowest temp in Maharashtra today !

Abhijit said...

Badlapur also having third spell now. So nice cool & enjoyable weather after 4 days.

Mohsin mulla said...

vasai,badlapur and finally thane city and eastern outskirt of the city got heavy thuder shower...i think BB10 is closed to the north part of the mumbai and surat...your view on that rajesh bhai.....

rajesh said...

Moshin: Rains also at Sahar Andheri and Powaii. Some light drizzles in Worli region.
My views, were expressed in Flash Snippet on Thursday night when i estimated a 50% chance of rainfall increasing in Mumbai.So,some parts of city confirm rains.

Rains were estimated by me as i expected a moisture flow towards the system from the A.Sea.

Also, rainfall was heavy in from our Heavy City list, Indore, when 93 mms were recorded today.
Reports of rain late evening from Bharuch and Baroda.

Puneet Bangera said...

Getting heavy at patches between Thane to Badlapur belt.Just now had 15 min Heavy Showers here in Dombivli!!!

sam khan said...

Two spells of heavy showers in Vasai since morning.

sset said...

Now since august coming to an end- SE interior KAR,Rayalseema,western interior TN no rains. Let us see day/day rain in month of September for BANG and MYSORE. Note this is supposed to be rainiest month for these cities -> 2012 - BANG/MYS - 0mm in sept-> average for SE interior KAR is still 150mm. Since june BANG-320mm, mysore 150mm, mandya 60mm and rest of regions in range 100-150mm only!!. With just peak 1 month left these figures are lowest (leaving TN). Will it reach average 600-800mm???

Abhijit said...

Today nice cool day here in Badlapur as had occasional heavy spells all through the day.

sam khan said...

yesterday evening Vasai received very heavy rains for 10 min's

deepak said...

Brief, light showers in Kandivali. But absolutely no sun...the temperature has also dipped.. predictions a bit off

rajesh said...

deepak: Yes, overcast here also..though had estimated few showers with upto 5-7 mms of rain..lets see..though rains aount is less today

Abhijit said...

Rainfall from Mumbai's eastern outer townships in mm ending 8.30am today(25-08-2013)

Thane 37.2
Kalyan 28.0
Bhivandi 45.0
Shahapur 29.0
Murbad 35.0
Ulhasnagar 27.2
Ambernath 32.8
Barvi(Badlapur) 53.0
Karjat 66.5
Khalapur 25.0
Panvel 12.0

rajesh said...

deepak: The rains in Mumbai within the predicted range..:-)

Vinod said...

Yesterday we got good rains here in mumbai but santacruz records showing very less.

Vinod said...

Yesterday we got good rains here in mumbai but santacruz records showing very less.

Vinod said...

Yesterday we got good rains here in mumbai but santacruz records showing very less.