UAC is expected to weaken, and be effective in a reduced area on Sunday. Trough will fizzle out to restricted system.
As the system will move West, it will resultantly reduce the quantum of rains in Sindh from Sunday, which will be less than Saturday. For Sunday, Coastal Sindh will get more rainfall compared to interior .
Rains over Muscat will continue for a day more on Sunday.
Decrease substantially from Monday.
Saturday Evening Update: Massive rains in Jacobabad
Rains expected in Muscat.
Rainfall in 12 hrs from 0000 UTC to 1200 UTC Saturday ( 5 am -5 pm PST):
Jacobabad 153 mms, Rohri 72 mms, Karachi AP 55 mms, Chorr 40 mms, Nawabshah 18 mms,
UAC now lies off the Sindh Coast, and in elongation, spreads as a trough upto Oman Coast..the coastal rains in Sindh are associated with this trough now...trough is expected to move West/ SW towards Oman. Rains expected in Muscat.
Karachi, Nawabshah and Sukkur can expect 1 more day of rains on Sunday Heavy falls in Karachi tonite.
Good, after a 6.6 mms closing for July at Karachi AP ! Overnite, Larkana measured a good 56 mms of rain and Sukkur 16 mms, much needed rains !
Next report tonite.
Outlook For 3rd August Saturday and 4th August Sunday
Substantial Decrease in rainfall in Gujarat and Central India and Interior Maharashtra.
As the axis moves North, Monday onwards, rainfall increases in Hills of Northern India. States with heavy rainfall will be Uttarakhand and HP. Nepal too gets heavy precipitation from Monday.
UAC, moving Westwards from Gujarat, will bring fairly good rainfall into Sindh region of Pakistan and rest of Pakistan also gets moderate rains. Coastal Sindh will benefit also.
Some pockets of Sindh get the heavy thunder shower. Most Sindh and Balochistan cities get much needed rainfall.
Karachi, Nawabshah and Sukkur or vicinity can get a heavy shower. Can expect 25-35 mms rainfall.
Rainfall decreases from Monday .
On the Indian side, the axis remains (weak) over Central India, and the regions shown in the map get the moderate rains (Blue colour). Almost negligible rain in regions shown without shading.
Mumbai sees 3/4 showers of medium intensity in different parts, and interspersed with sunny intervals. Saturday rainfall may be around 10 mms. Lesser rainfall with sunny spells on Sunday. Rise in day temperatures.
Eastern outer Townships will get some sharp showers on Saturday (upto 25-30 mms). Decrease in rains and warmer Sunday
Surat will see a decrease in rains from Saturday, with days getting warmer.
Delhi NCR will be partly cloudy, with the odd shower in some parts. Days around 34c. Some marginal increase on Sunday night thru Monday.
After Monday, rainfall restricted to the Hills.
Kolkata can get some passing showers, with <10 mms. But, the days will be warmer at 35c.
Chennai can get thunder showers in some parts on Sunday night. Strong NW winds.
Bangalore will be cool and cloudy. Light rains likely in some parts. No significant increase.
See Stats and Analysis Page for GSB and Rohit's Analysis