Thursday, August 29, 2013

Posted on Thursday Night:
BB-11 now weakened and lying over Eastern UP. Precipitation effect reduced over UP, but still active over Northern MP and North Chattisgarh. Weakening fast.
The monsoon axis runs in the extreme North thru The states of UP and along the Himalayan foothills. 

The western end of the axis has weakened to 1002 mb. 
Almost in line with the SWM withdrawal parameter for Western Pakistan, that is Balochistan and Sindh, as shown in vagaries' Sunday blog, but vagaries is holding on to monsoon for a day  as moisture from Arabian Sea has moved into Punjab (Pak) and Sindh.
Rainfall in Pakistan: Rawalpindi received heavy rainfall of 82 mmms, Islamabad 56 mms, Lahore 38 mms. Balochitan and Sindh region was dry.

On Thursday:
Hottest in Asia on Thursday is Basra (Iraq) at 46c.
Hottest in Pakistan was Dalbandin ,at 43cc and in India the mercury rose to 37c in Bikaner.
Mumbai saw a very high temperature of 34.6c at Vagaries. Scruz recorded 32.2c and Colaba 31.3c.
Highest in Maharashtra on Thursday was Solapur at 33.3c, and coolest Mahableshwar at 16.2c.By coincidence, Leh minimum was also 16.2c, but way above normal.
In fact, may hill stations in Kashmir, HP and Utterakhand are showing night temperatures very much above normal. Inviting a WD ?

This temperature anomaly map of last week shows the above normal temps in the higher regions.
Coldest recording in the world today was at..as usual..Vostok : -72c.

Predicted on Vagaries on 25th (see link): Flash Floods in UP..read here: and here

Mumbai Lake levels are today ,for the first time this year, below last year's level...Jayeshbhai sends Last years Vagaries Lake Levels comparison (as put on vagaries) with today's Level.
See Mumbai Page

Rohit's Page Updated


14 comments:

originaldashman said...

As expected, it has started raining in Chennai..more to come tonite..

sam khan said...

Two short spells of heavy showers in Vasai today

emkay said...

Yes it seems a WD may dip in and swm pushed out of top of INDIA.

emkay said...

Yes it seems a WD may dip in and swm pushed out of top of INDIA.

sam khan said...

Are we going to see early withdrawal of monsoon in Mumbai or will the rains linger till the middle of October as it always happen.it's a big ? at the moment.

sam khan said...

Vasai is experiencing heavy to moderate showers of 1 minute almost everyday.

sam khan said...

What has happened to the west coast trough? completely dead. no revival seen at least for a week.Monsoon is in a hurry to withdraw from delhi and northwest india.

Abhijit said...

Almost whole Aug saw weak off shore trough over Maha coast. So it as rain less at coastal area than normal of Aug.. As per past observation Sept produces UAC over Maharashtra . So having hope for it after first week of Sept !!

Vinod said...

It Looks Like this year monsoon was for two months June and July. :)

Ron said...

can anyone here share cherra's monsoon figure for this month..Should have made up some of the deficit in Aug..

Abhijit said...

@ Ron. Cherrapunji's SWM total Rainfall from 1 Jun - 30 Aug 2013 : 4316 mms.

Departure from normal : -2690 mms. So 38 % below normal..

sam khan said...

Abhijit- feel the same way that atleast 2nd week of sept should bring in some revival for the west coast.

rajesh said...

emkay: your forecasts are getting good..about the Wd, its correct interpretation..

sam:cannot say about date of SWM withdrawal..its withdrawal has started, and if there are no hiccups, then Mumbai will see withdrawal around 17th-22nd..but there can be some resistance..as last year.
west coast was weak as the east coasttrough was "alive"..now with situation changing, we see the axis sliding down from next month

Ron said...

Thank you Abhijit