Sunday, June 23, 2013

 Pradeep's  Page Updated with new Information....

Posted on Sunday @  20.00 hrs IST on 23rd June 

BB-4 is positioned off the Orissa coast and at 996 mb pressure. It has an associated Upper Air Trough towards the SW, in the interior Orissa and Chattisgarh/Vidarbha region. 
The system moves Westwards on Monday. 

Sunday Night/Monday, we see heavy rains in Orissa State, with concentrated heavy rain in the Sambhalpur-Rourkela belt.Southwards towards Balangir we see heavy rains. The rain belt stretches along the coast into Coastal W.Bengal. Kolkata gets increased rainfall on Monday.

Tuesday, as BB-4 moves inland, we see precipitation in the Vidharbh and Marathwada regions of Maharashtra. Nagpur,Gondia, Khamgaon and Akola regions get heavy showers.
By Tuesday evening, rainfall moving into adjoining MP, with Ujjain region and the Indore -Itarsi belt getting heavy rains.
Rains move into Eastern Gujarat also.

Wednesday, precipitation seen in Eastern Gujarat region.But the eastern quadrant of the system brings rainfall to the Western MP region, especially the Itarsi-Indore belt. Adjoining Kota in Rajasthan can possibly  get rains also.

Along the west coast we see an increase in precipitation Northwards of Goa from Monday night.

Mumbai could see some increase in rain intensity from Monday night and thru Tuesday, the frequency of rain showers will increase.But moderate, as stations along Coastal Karnataka and Konkan average between 20-40 mms/day for next 3 days.

Likewise, Pune will see more cloudy overcast conditions from Monday or Tuesday with increase in rain frequency on Tuesday.

Light rains/Thunder showers creeping into the Delhi NCR  on Tuesday with around 10 mms expected. But Wednesday (an Upper Air trough takes position) could see a heavy thunder shower in some parts, with up to 25-30 mms. May break again, depending on the axis.

The Monsoon axis could possibily shift North from Thursday...But we will wait and watch the BB-4 final movements. 

Uttarakhand will get showers on Monday and more heavy showers after 27th June. We presume the axis shifts Northwards.
Nepal can get excessive rains if this happens.

Hot and dry for Sindh and Southern Pakistan. Hottest spots reaching 47c...Sukkur may touch 45c and Karachi hot and dry at 35 (Heat Index 40c !)

x--------------------------x------------------------------x-----------------------------x------------
As a token of appreciation and acknowledgemnet of Pradeep's consistent devotion and hard work, Vagaries has devoted a seperate Page on its main blog exclusively for Pradeep. This is for the first time in its 5 year history that Vagaries has alloted a separate page for an individual.

Vagaries' readers are assured of Pradeep's contribution and expertise enhancing  the fair name of the Blog Internationally.

43 comments:

Nilesh Ladhad said...

thanks sir, after 2 hours of medium rain during afternoon, now raining continously since 7.30pm.

rajesh said...

Nilesh: Thanks for the instant feedback...good luck

Tremerin D'souza said...

when will mumbai receive heay rain?
really bored of this summer like weather...

sam khan said...

Heavy rains in Vasai last 10 mins, after a break of 2 days.

Abhijit said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Vijayanand said...

I would visiting shimla and manali from June 30th to July 5th. Hope weather does not get too bad. I had initiated the booking 2 months back. Now would have to proceed with the plan. Hope the kind of rain experience in uttarakand does not get repeated here.

sam khan said...

extremely heavy rains in Vasai for 40 mins.around 12.pm.

Vinod said...

Dark clouds with mild intensity rains since morning..

Vinod said...

Dark clouds with mild intensity rains since morning..

Atul Naik said...

Sunny times continue in Goa!

Nilesh Ladhad said...

too humid weather, just a passing shower in sambalpur.

paulodon said...

EVERYTIME IT STARTS RAINING HEAVILY.. THE MUMBAI DOPPLER STOPS FUNCTIONING... I GUESS THEY SHOULD COVER IT WITH A A HUGE PLASTIC COVER WHEN IT RAINS...LOL LOL.....

paulodon said...

btw heavy rain in thane .. rained about 30 mm in hours time...

Puneet Bangera said...

Persistent shower continuing in dombivli since 12 and now currently getting very heavy rainfall.

sam khan said...

Since the stormy weather occured at 12pm here at Vasai, rain has been going on since then' and now again heavy rain has started.

Abhijit said...

Mumbai SCZ records 61mm rain till 5.30pm today. In that 51mm rain came in 3hrs (i.e between 2.30pm to 5.30pm period)

rajesh said...

Vagaries forecast in Lokmat
Potey ji: see link here for Akola
http://epaper.lokmat.com/lokmattimes/epapermain.aspx?queryed=78

sset said...

Entire Mumbai from east to west, north to south looks very beautiful. Intense greenery, dense trees, mountains... Today Powai lake was like Scotland...it is almost overflowing!!!Mist clouds touching lakes, thick wooded mountains touching lakes - mind just gets elevated to another world. Mumbai is nothing less than Kashmir. Even many dams surrounding Panvel have started overflowing. This June has broken all records. Mumbai is still in excess of 600mm of rain, Mahabaleshwar excess of 800-900mm of rain. Mumbai is cold and raining......

Pradeeps stats indicates MAHARASHTRA is leading India for maximum rain - repetition of 2010???

Entire interior south, (KAR,Rayalseema,TN) absolutely no rain - TN hot temperature/Mandya/Mysore only 23mm since june.

rajesh said...

Cmdr Potey: Lokmat see page 3 of link provided

rajesh said...

Nilesh: Now system has moved westwards..

Unknown said...

Rajeshbhai, it is needed spell particularly after rather dull week for rains over Akola....Potey

Nilesh Ladhad said...

so, are we going for below average rainfall this year after last year excess rain?

sam khan said...

Mumbai currently' is well above average for the month of June, and again- tue, wed , thur and fri. can add quiet a bit of good amount of rain in these 3 days for the june total to touch 1000mm.

Amit said...

Rajesh,
Thanks for the update Good amount of rain yesterday and today also in the morning. Nice cool weather in Nagpur.
Enjoying
Amit

Amit said...

Sorry wrote only Rajesh I meant Rajesh Sir :)

Abhijit said...

Thane District rainfall in mm ending 8.30am today (25-06-2013) minimum 20mm :

Thane 99.9
Kalyan 66
Murbad 40
Bhivandi 65
Vasai 58
Dahanu 20.8
Palghar 33.2
Talasari 27
Ulhasnagar 94.4
Ambernath 92.1
Vikramgadh 52

Raigad District rainfall in mm ending 8.30am today (25-06-2013) :

Alibaug 12
Panvel 36.2
Karjat 63.4
Khalapur 32
Uran 44
Sudhagad 35
Pen 65.3
Mahad 40.2
Mangaon 50
Roha 114
Poladpur 54
Murud 46
Shriwardhan 34
Mahasala 32.2
Tala 63

Ratnagiri district rainfall in mm till 8.30am today(25-06-2013)

Chiplun 133
Dapoli 62
Khed 70.2
Gughagar 110
Mandangad 67
Ratnagiri 45.2
Sangameshwar 93.1
Rajapur 65
Lanja 73.8

Abhijit said...

SW.Monsoon 2013 Rainfall 1000mm list around Mumbai outer townships from 1st June 2013 till today 8.30am (25-06-2013)

Thane 1075 mms
Ulhasnagar 1046 mms
Panvel 1023.8 mms
Karjat 1063.1 mms
Khalapur 1008 mms
Uran 1180 mms

emkay said...

I think Thane pipped Panvel in the last 3-4 days, while Uran enjoyed the last vortex !!

anant said...

last 4 days , we are not getting any update on Kabini, KRS and Harangi water levels. can someone find this information ? Vythiri is getting heavy rains since last three days . wonder if Kabini is overflowing

Arpit Sharma said...

Paonta Sahib-147.6 mm in the last 24 hrs giving
tough competition to Dehradun.May be its June
total is over 1000 mm...

sset said...

Raining like roaring water falls in thane-belapur for last 24hours. May exceed 100mm. MAHA enjoys UACs from Bay and Vortex from Arabian seas. By the way will rain stop?

Interesting mao by Rakesh R in India weather blog -
Entire interior south India(TN,Rayalseema,telangana,entire south interior KAR) have received least rain in India. No systems are moving into interior south. Again bad news for BANG. But it seems during start of monsoon this was predicted. Seems NE states have also received less rain.

sam khan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
sam khan said...

Heavy rains since lAST 1 HRand going on .here at Vasai.

rohitaros said...

Pune (population : 50 lakhs) .. the oxford of the east , is the cultural capital of Maharashtra .. Pune is also immersed in history..It was the defacto capital of India for a brief period during the 18th century when the Moghuls of Delhi were at the mercy of the Peshwas (the Maratha empire rulers ) ..currently a techno savvy city..

When the world is crying hoarse about 'climate change' , a ride on the Mumbai -Pune railway is enough to get a taste of the original change in climate within a short span ( around 150 kms)..

Pune's climate is always drier and mostly invigorating than Mumbai region (on the other side of the ghats) and nights are always cozy ..Its climate is similar to Nashik..
...
Past 10 year averages for Pune city-

Jan : 30.2/11.4 , Feb:32.7/13 ,Mar:36 /16.2 , Apr:38 /20.2, May:37.1/23.1, Jun:32 /23.2,
Jul:28.5/22.5 , Aug:27.9/21.9 , Sep:29.5/21.3, Oct:31.7 /18.6 , Nov:30.9 /15.7 , Dec: 29.9/12.3 ..

Annual Rain-92 cms ,Annual avg temp -32 /18.3(25.2 c)
Highest temp-42.1c (24th Apr 2008) , Lowest temp- 04.6 c (9th Feb 2012)

rohitaros said...

Rains at Mumbai (24 hrs till 8.30 am 25th June 2013)-> Tulshi:16 cms , Vihar:13 cms, SCZ : 7 cms

Atul Naik said...

sset: IMD All India sub division wise graphic for rainfall from June 1 to June 24, 2013 is showing excess rainfall over peninsular India, except Rayalseema, S I Karnataka, Central AP and Marathwada which are shown as normal rainfall! Check http://goo.gl/aWYF3

Atul Naik said...

Read it as N I Karnataka in place of S I Karnataka in my previous comment :-)

Abhijit said...

June Total Rainfall for lakes Tulshi : 1670 mms, Vihar :1082 mms & Barvi, Badlapur 1063 mms till today.

anant said...

SSET, please give us a break .

Abhijit said...

Nagpur records 62mm rain till 8.30pm today. In that 48mm rain came between 5.30pm to 8.30pm period.

sam khan said...

SSET- does not know the meaning of break, he only knows, raining like roaring waterfalls,no sun only cloud for four months,in his dictionary Mumbai is the Cherapunji of India.

anant said...

i agree Sam, we also have to agree that SSET has a valid point of probable decreasing rainfall in interior Karnataka and Rayalseema. Its my fervent appeal to SSET to stop saying the same thing over and over again. SSET we know you have made your point, but you should be mature enough not to stretch it to a point that it is annoying for readers.

sam khan said...

Anant- I bet u on this, he's going to come back over & over again with the same matter.if he is wise he will not.