*Thick Fog ..Delhi NCR on 31st Jan..pics by Rajiv and Arpit... see Inter Active Page
Wednesday Morning report: Refer Forecast and report below to follow up:
Wednesday and J-5 moving into Kashmir. An extended line of medium to high clouds extends from the system Southwards thru Rajasthan. Clouding has formed due to thinly spaced isobars at the 850 hpa level.
But as expected, J-5 will have to make way for the stronger F-1 , already seen as a well formed Low in MSLP charts near the 65 E region.
J-5 and its southern "tail" dissappears by Thursday. Almost on schedule as given in Vagaries 4 day forecast.
East-West trough has also formed along the North Mah. region, a day ahead (as we expected it by Thursday). A "pocket" develops in the trough, which has resulted in an isolated , but violent thunderstorm (on Tuesday night)about 80 kms East of Jalna in North Maharashtra. Vagaries keeping track on both systems...
Some Interesting activity in the Northern Sub-Continent regions, with 3 WDs on the way !..Check Dubai Forecast below.
Tuesday 29th: Dry all over except scattered precipitation in Nilgiri mountains.
Wednesday 30th: dry all over, except Kashmir where J-5 moves as a weak WD..prevailing precipitation over Kashmir for 2 days.
(So, we end Jan with 5 WDs. Prediction by Vagaries on 2nd Jan was for 6 WDs).
Thursday 31st: A small East West trough line slopes Eastwards with height towards the North Mah/MP region. Thursday 31st will be cloudy in North Marathwada. Aurangabad and Akola districts will be cloudy in the day.Thursday night light rains in Aurangabad, Akola and adjoining South MP region.
Friday 1st February: Isolated rains in Nepal. Kathmandu will e cloudy with light rainfall.
F-1 precipitation also over Kashmir region.
Moves into Pakistan. Western regions of Pakistan start getting rain/snow.
Some rains in Central regions of Sindh.
Saturday 2nd February (tentative): F-1 moves into plains of Pakistan and Indian Punjab, Haryana and cloudy over Delhi NCR. Light rains over Delhi NCR on Saturday night...F-1 weakens on Sunday all over the region.
Leaving Monday 3rd, rainless in the Indian region, before a back to back F-2 moves into North Pakistan and Northern India on Tuesday 5th February.
The precipitation commences right away from F-2, spreading from Northern Kashmir thru Punjab, Haryana and upto Delhi NCR on Tuesday. Chances of heavy rain concentration seems to be in the Islamabad regions and possibly South over Western UP...maybe some changes occurring as the week progresses, we will chase F-2 later ..
*Delhi NCR: Tuesday 29th/Wednesday 30th/Thursday 31st/ Friday 1st Feb: *Some fog on 30th and 31st morning. Fair weather with the temperature in the 22-6/7c range, gradually increasing to 24c-10c range.
Saturday 2nd February: Partly cloudy, with light rains in some parts of the regions.
Mumbai: Fair weather, with day and night temperatures in the 32/33c - 16/17c region, increasing day/night by 2c from Thursday onwards.
Kolkata: No rain, but cloudy skies on 31st Jan and 1st Feb..days rising to around 24/25c till Thursday and night temperatures show a gradual rise from tomorrow going upto 15c by Friday.
Pune: High clouds on Thursday and Friday..Days will be around 31/32c, with nights better at around 13/14c., till Thursday.
Surat: Mid Week the winds change again to Easterly in the morning, and the next 3/4 days will have consistent temperatures around the 31/32c -15/16c range...
Dubai will be very windy with sand blowing on Wednesday 30th...gets rains on 31st and 1st Feb. from the approaching WD ...should bring the temperature in the 25-16c range.