2 Cyclones in the Zone indicated by Vagaries in the January Forecast Diagram:Cyclone "Narelle" and "Emang":
Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" is tracking W/SW, and has sustained winds at 75 knots with 90 knots gusts, Cat 3.. Currently at 230 NMiles W/SW of Learmonth (embedded in the monsoon trough). Expected to move South/ South-West now. No effect on Australian Coastline.
Tropical cyclone "Emang" is located 550 NM E/SE of Diego Garcia. Expected track SW from location.
Both these cyclones have formed in the zone indicated in the Vagaries diagram forecasting the overall January weather.
These 2 cyclones movement track is important to observe, as the current track forecast(of both) indicate the Monsoon Trough can shift Southwards.
Meanwhile, the heat wave, severe as it is, continues in Australia even as
Birdsville Airport there managed 49.0c, followed by Thargomindah Ap at 48.8c.
Walgett wa not far at 48.5c.
And back home the Sunday highs were (10th Jan blog vagaries estimate forecast in brackets),
Mumbai Scruz was at a high of (Sunday 13th) 33.5c (30/31), Colaba 30.8c (),Delhi SJung 22.9c (22/23) and Pune was at 32.0c (32/33).Surat was highest at 36.7c.