As mentioned in MW-4 and earlier posts, SW Monsoon is expected to advance over the Andaman-Nicobar region around 20th May.
At present, an upper-air cyclonic circulation (UAC) is present over the southern peninsula which is likely to bring heavy rains and thundershowers to southern Karnataka (Bengaluru, Mysuru, Coorg/Kodagu, Mangaluru), Kerala and interior Tamil Nadu.
Along with this UAC, Kerala region can see some wind convergence near the coast which can give some heavy to very heavy rains.
This UAC will likely move east and deepen across the atmospheric column, possibly descending to the surface over the Bay of Bengal. It may intensify into a depression/cyclone - needs to be monitored.
HEAT ALERT for northern plains🔥
Meanwhile, the northern plains of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Delhi NCR, Uttar Pradesh and north Madhya Pradesh will see daytime temperatures rising to mid 40s (42C-46C).
"Loo" like conditions also possible in some areas due to very hot and dry breeze.
Nights can also remain hot and dry with minimum temperatures around 27C-31C.
Parts of Thar desert will see max temperatures peaking around 46C-49C and min around 30C-32C.
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