vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 50 years
For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
Thanks for this, Rajesh, especially the 1990 article which I recollect to a small extent (because of the BNHS experts mentioned therein).
Congratulations Rajesh Sir and all other vagarians for the blog viewership crossing 2.2million..This blog is a unique one and is always known for its exclusive research articles and excellent forecasts and has fascinated me since childhood .This is the result of the painstaking efforts of Rajesh sir, Marvellous data compilation by Vagarian Rohit and all other prompt and fast updates by Vagarian Abhijit.May you continue to reach new milestones and every post take the blog to greater heights and be a Top Weather Blog at Rank1 soon.
Very interesting archives. So climate change is technically on all the way from my school days in the 70s !!!!! Wish we had Internet those years to discuss more on these things.Suresh
Rajesh, another point. I follow NEM also closely as I did SWM. And it has been a good NEM so far and looks like getting extended. But what I find is that even senior weather experts struggle to get NEM forecasts correct. There seems to be stronger challenge compared to SWM. People keep talking about differences between models, teleconnections and the approach to weather forecasting. If you could explain this to us would be very helpful and maybe understand better the challenges of NEM forecasting. Is it a systemic issue or just an approach issue ? Thanks.Suresh
Chennai is still deficit, NEM has been poor in North TN, NEM has not even touched South AP - Rayalseema, Chittor, Cuddapah. If not for tail end SWM rains over SAP - would have faced another drought. Major problem 2019 NEM huge climate anomaly due to strong +IOD AS has taken all strength from Bay - no strong system has formed over TN / SAP. Now NEM has come to an end. Also cloud formation fail to move in higher levels of TN/SAP. WD has some role to weaken NEM.
Chennai has received its annual rainfall. Linkhttps://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/global_monitoring/precipitation/sn43279_1yr.gif
So wonderful to share amongst us your treasure.
Thanks Abizer for your wishes
Thanks for the kind words and encouragement Abhizer. And i thank my team also for their efforts.✨Nilay: will put up more as and when...😊
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Cherrapunji total for the season crosses 5000 mms today.. 5k in one month And 11 days...