Thursday, July 27, 2017

Posted on Thursday Night:

BB-6, currently over Central Rajasthan, will move West near the Gujarat/Rajasthan border. 
Friday 28th:
Very heavy rains likely on  in the Palanpur-Abu regional patch.
Heavy rains likely in South & East Rajasthan (Udaipur), West M.P, and North Gujarat. 
Some regions of Kutch will get heavy showers.

Rains likely to increase in Delhi NCR from Monday.

2117 mms in Abu in last 5 days. 870  mms in Dantiwada and 700 mms in Palanpur last 5 days.
Heavy rains lashing Ahmadabad since last 3/4 days, with 189 mms in last 24 hrs ended Thursday morning.


Mumbai: Friday: Cloudy with showers. A few short but heavy showers expected. Rain amount about 20-25 mms. 
Saturday & Sunday will be partly cloudy with some showers in paarts of city. Rain amount about 15-20 mms on Saturday and slightly less on Sunday.

It was 12 years ago , when Mumbai was lashed and drenched with a record breaking rain event.....A day Mumbai will never forget
Refreshing the memories of the 26th July 2005 event of extremely heavy rains in Mumbai region with a Map of the rains around on that day....And How and Why it Happened...
24 HOUR RAINFALL EXACTLY 12 YEARS AGO...

See Mumbai Page

26 comments:

sset said...

one more spell then Mt.Abu = Augumbe
Ahmadabad 180mm - in few spells touch 1000mm!

Abhijit said...

And this year 2017 is Mount Abu's year as for last 5 days deluge continues !!
141 mms on 23rd July
733 mms on 24th July
734 mms on 25th July
324 mms on 26th July
145 mms on 27th July

Totaling to 2077 mms in just 5 days and Seasonal total on 2870 mm !!

rohit aroskar said...

The memories of 2005 prevail

Akshay Shah said...

Rajesh sir, when is the real Mumbai rains likely to make a comeback? Its been drier than usualin Mumbai & Mah whereas Gujarat is inundated... Mumbai rains needs to make a comeback sooner rather than later...

Nilay Wankawala said...

catchment areas for mumbai is performing better this year at this time compared to city and suburbs- perhaps having the best season in last few years in terms of water levels for mumbaikars

Cumulus Arjun said...

Short spell of heavy shower here in Goregaon Mumbai

rohit aroskar said...

The lakes have reveived good rains ..

Vijith Menon said...

Hi Rohit,
what is the latest lake levels?

rohit aroskar said...

They are almost full and healthy

Nilay Wankawala said...

Sir No low pressure area emerging from Arabian sea Branch this season 2017 yet? Or I missed something in between.....

sset said...

Mandya south interior KAR district has just received 18mm of rain since june.
Cauvery dry, AP - as usual Rayalseema,Anantapur,Chittor,Cuddapah bone try (both SWM + NEM fail)


Other side GUJ again hit by rains with 300-200mm in 24hrs all in mm...

DHARAMPUR (DIST VALSAD) 30, WAGHAI (DIST DANGS) 27, KALOL(G) (DIST GANDHINAGAR) 25, MAHUVA (DIST SURAT) 24, KAPRADA (DIST VALSAD) 22, KADI (DIST MEHSANA) 19, VANSDA (DIST NAVSARI) 18, KHERGAM (DIST NAVSARI) 17, VYARA (DIST TAPI) 17, VALSAD (DIST VALSAD) 16, BECHARAJI (DIST MEHSANA) 15, PARDI (DIST VALSAD) 15, DANGS (AHWA) (DIST DANGS) 14, VAPI (DIST VALSAD) 14, VALOD (DIST TAPI) 13, DAMAN (DIST DAMAN) 13, NANIPALSON (DIST VALSAD) 13, CHIKHLI (DIST NAVSARI) 12, PATAN (DIST PATAN) 11, BALASINOR (DIST MAHISAGAR) 11, SONGADH (DIST TAPI) 11, SARASWATI (DIST PATAN) 11, SUBIR (DIST DANGS) 10, SANAND (DIST AHMEDABAD) 10, BARDOLI (DIST SURAT) 10

Abhijit said...

@ Nilay: Generally Arabian sea host lows in Pre-SWM to onset time period i.e between mid May to mid June and later at withdrawal period to post swm time between mid Sep to mid Oct.

In SWM time Bay low moving W/NW upto Sindh is normal and ARB branch off shore trough with pull effect is rain driver for west coast

Nilay Wankawala said...

Thanks Abhijit for quenching my thirst on this one.....

Unknown said...

Sir is Indian monsoon is going to be in monsoon break condition from 2august - 11th august,,,,, West and central India going to be in dry phase of 15 days,,,, sir your views in this regard,,,,

Akshay Shah said...

In that case when is the west coast offshore trough likely to form and strengthen again. Imd mentions cyclonic circulation off andhara coast. Any benefit to mumbai n mah. Pls comment.

sset said...

Nilay - 1st major surge over GUJ actually originated from Arabian sea to give torrential rains over 300mm. This low actually persisted entire july month hovering between UAC / low and at times getting strengthened by bay low.

sset said...

RAJ again with torrential rains between 300-200mm -> everything is agains IMD long range forecast -> They predicted normal rains for south India, excess for NE India, low for NW India- but reality -> drought for south India, excess for NW India, normal for NE India! Last year 2016 also IMD was wrong with long range forecast

sset said...

1 more spell of rains Ahmadabad will exceed Mumbai - Colaba. 2017 Thane, Navi Mumbai areas received more rain 2000-3000mm compared to Mumbai city. Of course ghats are giants > 4000mm.

sset said...

Actually long intense break monsoon are VERY much required. That is only time during SWM by GODS grace some rains will occur over much of south India - otherwise bye from rains.

Vijayanand said...

Clear and dry day in Mumbai. Date July 29 2017

Abhijit said...

@ sset Don't bluff anything here be responsible while commenting !!

Ya, Thane,Navi Mumbai avg rainfall is more than Mumbai so obviously total rainfall will be more but randomly don't spread false news of 2000-3000 mm has fallen!! None of them have touched 2000 mms mark also yet !!

Here are Seasonal rainfall from 1 June till 29 July 2017 in cities (municipal corporation area) around Mumbai in mms:

Colaba 1074
Santaruz 1389
Thane 1891
Kalyan 1941
Ulhasnagar 1929
Bhiwandi 1934
Panvel 1920
Belapur(Navi Mumbai) 1751
Vasai 1422
Virar 1284

Some Navi Mumbai's seasonal Rainfall till 27 July 2017:

Airoli 1700
Vashi 1635
Nerul 1646
Khargar 1753
Dronagiri 1680
Ulwe 1413

Cumulus Arjun said...

Lol sset Ahmedabad still 900 mm approx and mumbai 1400 mm approx

Cumulus Arjun said...

A sunny day today in Mumbai except a stray shower in the morning

Cumulus Arjun said...

Sir, when do you expect heavy rains again in Mumbai?

Avtansh said...

@sset Long intense break monsoon is required? Most unfortunate that you think this way. In your fixation with Konkan and Gujarat, you have conveniently forgotten about lack of rains / droughts in interior Maharashtra (Marathwada, Vidarbha etc.). I've never heard a word from you about these areas and the water scarcity there.

But we should no longer be surprised. It has been more than 5 years since you've spoken nothing but unadulterated lies as part of your propaganda towards an ulterior agenda. As you go about it, would still advise you to be sensitive to others / other areas.

Vijayanand said...

Sset or Satish shetty is attempting to convert blog in to vagaries of lies.