Saturday, July 15, 2017

Posted Saturday Night:

Massive amounts of rainfall was recorded in Gujarat. Rain amounts as on Saturday 15th Morning:
Saurashtra: Chotilla 450 mms, Rajkot 348 mms, Tankara 340 mms, Kaprada 260 mms, Muli 160 mms, Padhari 159 mms,  Kapadvanj 144 mms, Posina 137 mms,
Danta 130 mms.
As mentioned, the rains have shifted to Kutch, with Bhuj getting 92 mms in the 9 hrs ended 5.30 pm on Saturday.
Decrease in rainfall in Gujarat Region and Saurashtra on Sunday.

A UAC/Low moves into Northern Coastal A.P. on Monday.  Heavy rains expected in Northern A.P. on Monday.The system will move Westwards into Telengana.

Mumbai Scruz recieved 68 mms and Colaba 24 mms till 8.30 am Saturday. In the day on Saturdfay, Scruz recieved another 69 mms and Colaba 7 mms in the next 12 hrs ended 8.30 pm Saturday.
Expecting intermittent showers on Sunday, around 35-40 mms . Reduction in rainfall on Monday.

Just for Information, Scruz total from 1st June till date is 812 mms, Colaba 659 mms. Mahableshwar total is 2034 mms, Mathran 2118 mms, Lonavla 1959 mms and Thane 1263 mms.

39 comments:

Cumulus Arjun said...

Looks like another surge of rains in north Konkan area from 18th July.

Akshay Shah said...

This time around Mumbai rains are not aa good as last year comparing same period. In fact in maha the rains are lower comparatively. Glimpses of July rain but no continuous July rains. At 9.30 am it's partly sunny in goregaon. If monday will see decrease in rains then when are rains expected to pick up really well in whole mah?

sset said...

North Arabian sea is becoming like mysterious "Bermuda Triangle" recipient for AS and BAY lows...
TN Madurai boils at 40c..

rajesh said...

Akshay.. Rain in Mumbai decreases only one day on Monday. Then effect of low will increase rains from Tuesday.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Some rains now here in Goregaon mumbai

Nilay Wankawala said...

Source IMD

Cumulative rainfall till 15 07 2017

CRF all over India actual 298.4 mm
CRF all over India normal 298.9 mm

All over India departures %

% departure CRF as on 15 07 17 -0.2%
( 01 06 2017 to 15 07 2017)

% departure CRF July till 15 07 -5.2%
( 01 07 2017 to 15 07 2017)

% departure CRF for June 2017 +4.0%
( 01 06 2017 to 30 06 2017)

Vinod Desai said...

Sir,
Yes waiting for 250-300 mm rain in a day for mumbai.
Sir what will be forecast for interior maharashtra marathwada it seems they are in bad situation.
Who is topping the list in maharashtra till date is it shirgaon ?

Abhijit said...

@ Akshay : You are correct. Mumbai not yet witnessing typical style monsoon yet! Means typical persistent rains are missing not a single day without sun yet. Forget 200 mm in 24 hrs but not a single 100mm in day from SCZ & Colaba yet with almost 45 days over of monsoon ! Infact in July till now whole west coast seeing lesser than normal rain as yet. Only best part is ghats keeping momentum going so atleast water level in dams is increasing.

abizer Kachwala said...

Yes... I agree with Abhijit... This time rains are not the July monster rains.... Less than last year.

sset said...

This may be due to Bay low/monsoon axis descending from north and making direct west hit to GUJ. Intensity of rains is much much more compared to any cyclones. Sustained 400mm-500mm of rain for multiple days is something exceptional... recall 2013 sept GUJ floods...
That means every month from june-sept equal probability of GUJ being hit by floods!
Today Saurashtra in floods many places in 300-200mm range! Entire GUJ must have received annual rain.
Rohit can can enlighten more on numbers.

shiekhz said...

sir what u ecoect for Sindh specially karachi

Shitij said...

What about Surat?? Rajesh sir really bad time till now for Surat no proper rains this July

Shitij said...

Sset: Only Saurashtra( and that too some center) was lucky this time. Gujarat completely got missed

Shivkumar Mogal said...

@ Vinod : Yes, Shirgaon (Ratnagiri) is topping the list in Maharashtra with 3068 mm seasonal rainfall till today.

MEHUL said...

Extremely heavy rain received rajkot and jamnagar regional. sir can we expect more rain in rajkot from 23 july please reply

MEHUL said...

can we hope for more rain in rajkot from 23 rd july ???

Animish Masurkar said...

Yes Mumbai has received 3 digit rains in many parts only Santacruz observatory and Colaba has not received.Whatever the case may be Mumbai monsoon is amazing as always.

Akshay Shah said...

@sset no entire gujarat has not rec'd full season rainfall. It's only some pockets in saurashtra ie north area. South gujarat north konkan is deficient. Thankfully ghat sections are keeping up pace so water is accumulated in lakes. I hope this new low brings heavy rains to west coast sections from south gujarat to Kerala including mumbai and we see typical 3 digit July rainfall with heavy clouds. Till now no holiday due to rains as yet 😉

Vijith Menon said...

Rajesh Sir - There is one tropical depression from south china sea which has come inland over vietnam and cambodia. The winds are seen travelling westwards.

Will a pulse from this come to the bay of bengal and sustain further low pressure areas.

Regards
Vijith.

KHYATI PANDIT said...

What's the average rainfall figure for Mumbai for month of July...and how much has it received yet....any information on that Sir...or anybody who know can give...

sset said...

Non stop torrential downpours entire Navi Mumbai- Looks like Bay + west trough is going to dump 200mm+ of rain!
Definitely abnormal in south India- Kodagu,Waynad (Cauvery basin) deficit by 50%. July coming to end - will monsoon revive - no weather systems developing south ??? 3rd year of drought over Cauvery basin...

sset said...

Strange some people asking for rains - which has already rained in excess amounts but places like Ananthapur,Rayalseema,Chittor have not seen rains for last 5 years!

KHYATI PANDIT said...

What are your predictions for rain in Mumbai from Tuesday as it's said by skymet it would rain heavy whole of the week

Amit said...

Hello Rajesh Sir,

Writing to you after a long time. This year there has practically no rain in Nagpur in July. And entire Vidarbha is deficient. What is the forecast for remaining July.

Thanks,
Amit From Nagpur

parshuram shinde said...

Heavy rain in santacruz.

Nimish Thaker said...

Very Heavy rain started at Juhu, Mumbai. It was raining at Juhu right since the previous night and continued today Morning as well. Looks to me that this could be the rainiest 24 hrs. this season.

SVT said...

@Rajesh Rains not decreasing in Mumbai. over 200 mm rains coming next 3 days.

SVT said...

@Amit Heavy rains coming for Nagpur from Tuesday-Wednesday.

abizer Kachwala said...

Very heavy nonstop rains in Nagothane.
.floods to follow... This time forecast was wrong for Monday.

Vijith Menon said...

rajesh sir - eagerly looking forward to your detailed update as it seems heavy rains are to continue in maharashtra for this fulll week.

Shripad Nadiger said...

Very heavy rains here in andheri Mumbai..if the rains continue for few more hours..its going to be a long way back home for mumbaikars due to flooding.

Animish Masurkar said...

Still raining.very heavy in Andheri East Mumbai Godzilla rains

Cumulus Arjun said...

Really very heavy rains here in Goregaon since morning. Could have easily crossed 100 mm here

Shripad Nadiger said...

@Rajesh..Last year you used to put up flash snippets on your blog ..updating to take caution whenever you thought the rains would be heavy especially for Mumbai. Have you discontinued it this year ?

Abhijit said...

Mumbai Scruz 127mm till 8.30pm today . Finally gets first century of this monsoon. With this crossed 100cm seasonal total as 1068 mm till 8.30pm today

Nilay Wankawala said...

Hey Abhijit....what a quick update....nice to know mumbai records first century of season 2017

Cumulus Arjun said...

Wow happy to see first century of this monsoon!

ANOOP RAWAT said...

What about Delhi sir,no meaningful rains since July

rajesh said...

Anoop: Delhi will have to wait till end of this week for meaningful rains.