Tuesday, July 05, 2016

Eid Mubarak to All Vagaries' Readers. God Bless All.
Posted Wednesday Night..
BB-3, a depression moves towards Central MP on Wednesday Night..Same track as mentioned, slightly to South and weaken.
Massive rains in MP on Wednesday. Amounts below are in 12 hrs on Wednesday from 8.30 am...
Satna 260 mms ;( Satna season total 484 mms..about 280 above normal).  
Pachmarhi ­100 mms; Damoh ­86 mms; Khajuraho 48 mms,
Sagar ­51 mms; Gwalior ­40 mms; Jabalpur 42 mms, Hosangabad­ 20 mms.
{Overnight, Narsinghpur recorded 312 mms, and Satna 131 mms.}

Posted Tuesday Night  5th July
BB-3, a well marked low, is located near the UP/MP border. System is expected to initially move slightly towards the SW, and locate itself in Central MP by Wednesday 6th. As the inflow from the W/SW of moisture laden winds is strong, we can expect heavy rains in the Western segment of BB-3 on Wednesday.
Rains likely in South Raj (Udaipur), West MP and Eastern Gujarat ( Good chances upto Ahmadabad).
BB-3 may dissipate in the trough over MP by Friday 8th. A fresh UAC can form after 8th embedded in the trough.

Few rainfall amounts available in the Region we anticipated rains on Tuesday:( In 12 hrs from 8.30 am IST) 
Narsingpur 210 mms (till 5.30 pm), Sagar 80 mms, Gaya & Rewa 51 mms, Jhansi 40 mms. 

Mumbai: Occasional showers on Wednesday,around 30 mms in next 24 hrs.

Compiled by Vagarian Tejas.


Nandan said...

Sabarkantha himatnagar any rain chance next 2 to 3 days?

vikas hunk gay said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Rajesh said...

vikas: I have mentioned Wednesday...and today is Tuesday. Before also you asked where is rain ? But wait till Wednesday...follow the forecast and you must be patient.

Sarvesh said...

Vikas is singing kale Megha kale Megha pani to barsao

Unknown said...

Rajesh sir any chance for heavy rain for Mumbai in this week

northpole said...

its heavy rain here in bhopal as predicted by rajesh sir

Cumulus arjun said...

I am predicting that the rain in Mumbai may decrease from today, maybe 30 mm today and 30 mm tomorrow. After that rain will increase as the system nears the west coast and Mumbai.

sset said...

Nilay mentioned about -ve IOD -> usually unfavorable for SWM monsoon but for NEM monsoon?

Unknown said...

Rajesh sir, wishing you and all vagarians eid mubarak.May Allah bless you and all vagarians and help you in constantly giving accurate forecasts and serving the humanity.May almighty give you the strength and potential to further improve forecasting system of the country.

Rajesh said...

Abizer: Eid Mubarak to you and your Family.

Rajesh said...

Arjun: A couple of sharp showers possible in Mumbai on Wednesday Night and Thursday. Otherwise, as mentioned around 30 mms per day.

vikas hunk gay said...

Rajesh sir,, aaj wednesday bhi pass ho gaya but not a single drop of rain in Ujjain and indore,,,,

 Sunday Night.. 17th Heavy showers in Nasik & Jalgaon..  And in West U. P. and NCR (Posts of 11th & 15th)