Friday, July 08, 2016

Maharashtra Sunday 10th...Cool and Wet...See Current Weather Page

Posted Friday Night: 

BB-3 has weakened and is an embedded Low over MP. Almost dissipating, but Panchmarhi in MP still got 170 mms and Damoh measured 100 mms in 9 hrs.
A resultant UAC will move West from MP on Saturday thru Monday.

Forecast for Saturday 9th and Sunday 10th (Valid till Monday Morning):
Saturday and Sunday: Heavy rainfall in Eastern/Northern Gujarat (On Sunday), adjoining South Rajasthan (Udaipur)and adjoining MP border regions.
I do not see the same intensity penetrating into the Saurashtra Region. Scattered showers for Saurashtra.

North Madhya Maharashtra (Nasik/Jalgaon) will get good showers. Rainfall picking up in South Coastal Gujarat (Surat { 45-65 mms by Monday Morning}/Bharuch), Konkan and coastal Karnataka.

Heavy showers in Uttarakhand and Western Nepal.
Rainfall decreasing in rest MP. 

Mumbai: After comparatively "Low Rainfall" past 2 days, rainfall increasing in Mumbai on Saturday. Some heavy showers will drench parts of city and rain may measure between 45-70 mms. 
Sunday will be very windy, with heavy showers. 
Pune: A cool weekend with day around 25/26c. Rain showers in many parts on Saturday and Sunday. Not very heavy but could measure around 10-15 mms /day.

Delhi NCR: Chances of showers in parts of NCR. Some localised heavy. Rainfall between 10-25 mms in parts of NCR. 
A heavy localised shower may bring more rainfall to a limited area.

Ahmadabad: Rains suddenly picking up from Sunday. Heavy showers on Sunday with thunder and windy. Expect around 30-40 mms by Monday morning.


Rains and Cool Day in VIDARBHA on Friday 8th:Max, Min and rainfall on Friday upto 5.30 pm.
AKOLA                 27.3(-5.6)     25.4( 0.7)             009.0
AMRAOTI            25.2(-7.4)      21.0(-2.6)            023.0
BULDHANA         26.5(-2.9)     23.0( 1.2)    nil nil
BRAMHAPURI    25.3(-6.3)      23.3(-0.3)            049.0
CHANDRAPUR   27.4(-5.0)     25.0( 0.5)            060.0
GONDIA              27.4(-4.8)     23.3(-0.8)            007.0
NAGPUR            25.4(-6.9)      23.5(-0.8)           018.0
Washim               25.2              23.4                      004.
WARDHA            25.2(-6.7)     23.5( 0.0)            055.0

YEOTMAL           25.8(-5.7)    21.4(-1.7)              046.0

27 comments:

Shitij said...

Thanks for providing the forecast for Surat city

rajesh said...

Vicky: Bikaner region sees increase in rains from Monday.

Tyrone said...

Rajesh. Nothing from this UAC for Sindh, Karachi?

rajesh said...

Tyronne: Forecast valid till Monday morning. Nothing this weekend. Will monitor progress for next week.

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Sir, How much rain for Nashik you expect?

rajesh said...

shivkumar: Difficult to say, but i would calculate around 30-35 mms on Saturday and 30 mms on Sunday.

Unknown said...

Wow thats good news sir.
Sweltering here.in bikaner distrct

Sarvesh said...

Little rains in Mumbai Thane today, looks like it is somewhat raining in shahapur area

Sarvesh said...

Bhatsa dam filled 43 percent, tulshi abt to overflow, overall maharashtra dam 18 percent filled, Mumbai lakes improved last week, though need more rains

SVT said...

All weather forecast models showing 50-80 mm rains for Mumbai next 36 hours. But BBC going all bold and predicting over 250mm rains next 36 hours. Let see if BBC gets this bold prediction right.

Vinod Desai said...

I had been to lohgad (place close to lonavala) and it was raining heavily all day.

Sarvesh said...

SVT, total 250? U mean BBC news channel?

Sarvesh said...

In a span of 12 hrs bhatsa dam level increased by 3 percent to 46 percent

Sarvesh said...

Can u update figures for last 2 days

Srivathsa said...

Bhatsa reservoir experiencing very heavy inflows. 2200 cumecs. That is 180 Mcum of inflow if the rate sustains for a day. From bhatsadamautomation.com

MIRAL KALWADIA said...

rajesh sir, i am daily viewer of your forcast...and following this site since 3 years ! though i have doubt sir .....why is it not raining heavily in mumbai ??...i can see alot of clouding near mumbai coast ...and all the weather sites showing 50-70mm of rain ,still colaba and santacruz recieves very less rain from last few days,but good thing is ghat section areas recieving very good heavy rains ...!

SVT said...

Check BBC weather on their site. Seems they will get this one wrong. Hardly any rains in Mumbai today.

sset said...

Heavy storm rains over Navi Mumbai....

Vijith Menon said...

Srivathsa - thats a nice website on Bhatsa Dam - many thanks for the link.

Vijith Menon said...

Rajesh Sir - Now that the Super Typhoon Nepartak is inland, can we see strong monsoon flows to BOB and Arabian sea.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Srivathsa many thanks for sharing the website ref BHATSA.

Srivathsa said...

No worries. I was impressed with the data available on that site. It seems to be one of the few dams with this real-time data.

sset said...

Entire MAHA now enters into excess zone. Monsoon now enters into inactive phase over southern India.

Vikas Malik said...

West mp will witness heavy rain till which date?

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Nashik recorded 79 mm rainfall today till 8:30 AM.
And after that 133 mm rainfall till 5:30 PM.

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Nashik broken 10 yrs record of 24hrs rainfall in july month.

rajesh said...

Miral Kalwadia: I have answered my views in the next posting comments on Tuesday .

Vijith: A Typhoon in the Wst Pacific can send a "Pulse" eastwards towards the Bay. But the survival of the Pulse " depends on the conditions en route.

ShivKumar: Nasik got much more than expected.