Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Leh records 12.8 mms last 24 hrs.ended Tuesday 4th August morning. This makes it twice as the highest 24 hrs rainfall for rain in August in last 10 years. In 2010 also 12.8 mms was recorded on 6 th August. The heaviest fall ever in 24 hrs for August was in 1933, when 51 mms was measured. Average August rain is 15 mms.

See Rohit's Page updated for Mumbai Stats

Expected VIDARBHA Rains:
Max Temperature and Rainfall on Tuesday...8.30 am -5.30 pm
AKOLA                             23.5c (-6.9)                074.0 mms
AMRAOTI                         22.2c (-7.9)                083.0 mms
BULDHANA                      21.5c (-5.7)                085.0 mms
BRAMHAPURI                  25.1c (-4.7)                009.0 mms
CHANDRAPUR                 24.6c (-6.2)                010.0 mms

NAGPUR                           24.0c (-6.4)                034.0 mms  ( Nagpur Accumulated 2 days 82 mms; Forecasted 75 mms)

Aurangabad received 11 mms in the same period

Posted Tuesday Morning:
Low pressure ( 1000 mb) develops in the trough, almost part of trough, and lies over East M.P. on Tuesday Morning. COLA Chart of Monday evening gives an idea of the "reconstructed Low" forming again... 


Rains commence in Vidharbh:
Rainfall last 24 hrs ended Tuesday Morning: Wardha 59 mms, Nagpur 48 mms,Amraoti 32 mms, Akola 31 mms, Brahmapuri 23 mms.
M.P. & Chattisgarh:  Jabalpur 95 mms, Pendra Road 54 mms, Sagar 46 mms, Hoshangabad 34 mms, Raipur 32 mms, Khajuraho 30 mms.

Tuesday Morning:

Wherever the Low, Clouds are for Maharashtra only :-)

5 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit
Australian bureau of meteorology

El Niño to persist into early 2016

The 2015 El Niño is now well-established and continues to strengthen. In the coming weeks, the central tropical Pacific Ocean (the NINO3.4 region) may exceed the peak values reached during the 2002 and 2009 El Niño events, but current anomalies remain well short of the 1982 and 1997 peaks. Note that peak values are normally recorded late in the year. Trade winds remain weakened and are likely to contribute to more warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean. Other indicators such as cloudiness near the Date Line, the Southern Oscillation Index, and sub-surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean remain typical of an established El Niño.

International climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology all indicate that El Niño will continue to strengthen, and persist into early 2016. Typically, El Niño peaks during the late austral spring or early summer, and weakens in the following year.

El Niño is usually associated with below-average winter–spring rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over the southern half of the country. However, El Niño is not the only influence on rainfall and temperature; other factors, such as sea surface temperatures to the north of Australia and in the Indian Ocean, also affect Australia’s climate.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. A positive IOD event remains possible, with three of the five international models indicating a positive IOD is likely during late winter to spring. A positive IOD is typically associated with reduced winter and spring rainfall over parts of southern and central Australia.

Dattaraj Joshi said...

It appears Gujarat is heading for one more round of heavy rains tomorrow. When will South India would get rains ??

sset said...

Southern Indian parts towards desertification......

Dattaraj Joshi said...

Rajesh Sir,
With El Nino getting stronger, only hope now is with stronger MJO. Any idea on when we will see next strong MJO ?

sset said...

Hiwara , Semadoh in Maharashtra 305 mm and 287 mm in 24 hrs !!