Sunday, March 23, 2014

Posting EL-Nino Post and current situation on blog tonite at 11 pm sure to read and give your views on its effect on our Monsoon..
Overnight Rains in Oman and Dubai..Rainfall as on Wednesday Morning:
1     Sohar Majis (Oman)     13.4 mm
2     Buraimi (Oman)     13.0 mm
3     Qumaira (Oman)     10.6 mm
4     Sunaynah (Oman)     9.2 mm
5     Diba (Oman)     7.6 mm
6     Saiq (Oman)     2.6 mm
7     Ibri (Oman)     2.0 mm
8     Ras Al Hadd (Oman)     1.2 mm
9     Rustaq (Oman)     1.2 mm
10     Qalhat (Oman)     1.0 mm
11     Nizwa (Oman)     0.8 mm
12     Fahud (Oman)     0.6 mm
13     Khasab Airport (Oman)     0.6 mm
14     Duqm (Oman)     0.2 mm
15     Qaboos Port (Oman)     0.2 mm
16     Seeb, International Airport (Oman)     0.2 mm

Dubai Airport    11 mms

Dubai Night temperature was 19.8c and Muscat 21c..

Note on El-Nino on Wednesday Night (tonite)..

Posted Tuesday Night:

On Tuesday, the Hottest Place in India was Anantpur at 39.9c, followed by Kurnool at 39c. Incidently, Anantpur  was the hottest in Asia.

Much more comfortable, in Pakistan, the hottest place was Chorre at 34.6c.

Its drizzling in Muscat since Tuesday evening...Light rains commenced at about 7.30 pm. and an overcast day kept the day's high at 25c...7c below normal.

Dubai too is seeing light rains from 7 pm on Tuesday, though a clear afternoon topped the hight at 33c.

Kathmandu was partly cloudy , with the days high at 26.7c and a low of 10c..and traces of rain in the day on Tuesday.

As on Tuesday, Kasmir and HP received good precipitation. Banihal received 34 mms of rain while Gulamarg got 2.6 cms of snow. The minimum being -2c and days high at 2.8c. . Pahalgam saw a high of 7c and a low of 0.6c with 19 mms precipitation.
In Srinagar, the days high on Monday was 9.5c with Tuesdays low at 5.7c.
In HP, 54 mms of rain/snow lashed Manali, which managed a high of 9.6c and a low of 0.8c. Shimla received 18 mms precipitation with the days high at only 10c, and low at 6c. Kalpa temperature ange was between 11c and 0c, with 7 mms rain/snow.

Last Week's average Maximum and Minimum Temperatures in the Sub_continent


Rainy Days ahead for Muscat and Dubai...An extended Low will bring rains and cool weather to Muscat and Dubai from Tuesday evening thru Friday...

Posted Sunday 23rd, Night:

M-3, now as an Upper Air Trough over the North Pakistan/Kashmir region, is supported by an induced Low over the North Rajasthan region. 
M-3, would move East, and the induced Low would withdraw its support after Monday Night, reducing the rains in the plains to almost "nil" by Tuesday. 

Even as M-33 moves Eastwards, heavy rains expected on Monday 24th in Northern Pakistan and Kashmir, HP. 
Islamabad, though not getting much rain on Sunday, will get showers on Monday 24th. As around 20 mms fall, the day will be cooler at around 19c on Monday. Rains reduce on Tuesday.
Karachi will be partly cloudy. Would expect overcast conditions from Wednesday 26th, and possibly light rains in some parts on Wednesday/Thursday.

Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi NSR get showers on Monday.
Delhi NCR can get a sharp Thunder Shower on Monday evening. Parts of Delhi could receive around 5 mms on Monday evening/night.
Still, days will not exceed 31c till Wednesday 26th, and rise a couple of degrees on Thursday 27th, maybe around 33c.

Mumbai, usual. Sunny and Clear. The NW winds will maintain the day temperatures to around 33/34c. Not expected to heat up much temperature wise, as the humidity will increase next few days.
Pune: Not so encouraging news, as we can "safely" expect the mercury to touch 38/39c by Thursday. Consolation factor: Nights will remain pleasant to around 18/19c in the beginning of the week.

Light isolated rain likely in parts of Marathwada (Maharashtra) on Tuesday 26th/Wednesday 27th.

As the system around Bengal weaken, little chance of a thunder shower popping up around Kolkata vicinity on Monday. Tuesday onwards weather remains dry. Day temperatures shooting up suddenly from Wednesday, possibly to 38c.

Bangalore: Not common to this city, the days will be sunny and hot, at around 36c next 4 days. However, nights will remain clear and around 21c.
Temperatures are expected to cross 40c in parts of Interior Andhra Pradesh. Parts of Northern Tamil Nadu will also see temperatures around 38-40c.
Hyderabad (India): Would expect light clouds. Days would be hot around 37/38c.

True to vagaries' forecast, Parts of Kolkata received thunder showers on Sunday evening...Vagarian Santosh has managed to take a superb Pic of a bolt ...On Inter Active Page


Neeraj said...

Cloudy and cool in Kathmandu - past couple of days.Yesterday min 8 c, max 22 c with 1 mm of rain. On thursday, friday and saturday, it was thundershowers and some hail shower as well. Max not going above 25 and min hovering around 9 keeping things quite cool for this time of year.

Unknown said...

I.M.D Say's do not believe the western weather predictors speaking about El- nino. but rather there will be problem in India, we will have good monsoon.let's see who proves right.

Rajesh K said...

Bangalore known for nice climate, is one of hottest place today... Sad to say...hovering to 37c...Will it touch 40 this year?

Hrishikesh said...

clouds seen in northwestern and eastern skies of western suburbs of mumbai pressure 1009 and humidity 63%at 5:30pm

Unknown said...

Its is most of northern part of the country that will bear brunt of the effect of el nino, dry conditions , RAJ, GUJ HARYANA, DELHI, UTTAR PRADESH, INTERIOR MAHARASHTRA, AND BIHAR,COULD BE IN DANGER OF GETTING BELOW NORMAL RAINS

Rajesh said...

Neeraj: Thanks for the report.
Yes, even on Monday, the high at Kathmandu was 22c. We may see some rain on Tuesday from M-3..decreasing after Tuesday, as i mentioned M-3 weakens fast.

Shall put up vagaries' views on El -Nino on Wednesday...

Abhijit Modak said...

@ Rajesh Kumar. Bangalore city temp readings are hovering around 35c !! And BLR airport is hovering around 37c.. But previous Hindustan airport was near to city just 10kms to eastern part.. But now new Kempegowda AP is almost 35kms away from main city in open area . So current Bangalore AP reading may be from Kempegowda AP, Devanhalli area as airport shifted then observatory might also be shifted then ? So current AP readings are from old Hindustan AP or from new Kempegowda AP area is bit confusing !!

Hrishikesh said...

Sir how would the weather be in Kashmir Srinagar 6th April onwards ?

Unknown said...

el nino: nothing is there to worryabout monsoon this year.el nino chances to effect monsoon are only 15%.

Ron said...

Heard there were hailstorms in Calcutta today evening..

Rajesh said...

Hrishikesh: Normally, Srinagar temp range is between 19c and 8c in around mid April..we can expect a WD maybe by 3rd week, which will bring wet weather.WD will surely cool down Srinagar to around 14/15c in the day.

Ron: Santosh reports of a storm inparts of Kolkata on Abhijit tells us 16 mms in Alipore and 1 mm at DumDum till 5.30 pm IST

SVT said...

When are you starting Monsoon Watch?

salil said...

Dubai Rain photos

salil said...

Check what rain transferred Doha City too today

Weather outlook till Friday 31st March - As we calculated in mid March after the Heat spell,  remaining days of March stayed below 40c in In...