AS-2, at 998 mb, has deepened to some extent. As on Wednesday evening, it was located in the Arabian Sea, just south of the international border.

It can deepen a bit more to 996 mb by Thursday. As the seasonal low ,also at 998 mb, lies north of AS-2, we can expect a combined effect in the imaginary line joining the 2 lows. We can estimate good precipitation in Sindh on Thursday. Expect the system to fizzle out after Friday.

Karachi received 10 mms of rain in the day on Wednesday. Thus having got 60 mms in this month, the city received its normal quota for the month.

On Thursday, Karachi can expect another overcast day, with spells of thundershowers. A few in the post noon will be heavy. Rains could decrease from Friday.

With the monsoon axis far to the south, northern india (Delhi) will be rain free for the next few days also. Delhi, already heating up to 37c, might just reach 38c b Thursday.

Nepal too would be practically devoid of meaningfull rains. Kathmandu was short of its monthly August normal by 53 mms when it reached a total of 266 mms by the month end.

BB-5 is now, at 998 mb, is over south Chattisgarh. Not expecting much future from BB-5. Rainfall will be heavy in a "localised " region. We can expect some heavy showers in East M.P. and Vid on Thursday. Some precipitation could be expected along the axis joining the 2 lows. Precipitation can be expected in southern M.P. Southern Rajasthan and Gujarat region.

As mentioned yesterday, AS-2 can possibly just "tone up" the rainfall a bit in North Konkan.

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Mumbai saw very little rain on Wednesday. Just about 1 mm.

Thursday could be partly cloudy, with sunny spells. Post noon cloud cover will increase to some extent, when a few showers may be possible.Thunder cells over the ghats on the eastern skyline by evening. Rain amount 15 mms.

Mumbai Colaba managed 798 mms in August, while the S'Cruz gauge measured 855 mms in August. Averaging 825 mms for the month.

On 1st August, Vagaries had estimated :“Looking at the above scenario, for Mumbai, I would expect rainfall to get a bit substantial in the 2nd fortnight of August. I could go wrong, but on the above 50-50 basis for the 2 halves of the month, I would estimate around 575-600 mms average between the 2 stations.”