8th January
2024...Heavy Rains Lash T.N.
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Wettest Monsoon Day in 2013 for maharashtra...See pradeep's Page BB-4 lingers on, and on Tuesday, was located as a weak low over N... -
Pune recorded 87 mm ending 8.30am today. With this achieved 1000 mm mark! Seasonal Rainfall stands on 1018 mms now. Last night Widespread...
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Credit Australian Government Bureau of Metereology
Issued Tuesday 9 January 2024
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on our website.
El Niño persists as positive Indian Ocean Dipole continues to weaken
The El Niño event continues in the tropical Pacific. Model forecasts indicate the warmth of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) is likely at or near its peak, with SSTs expected to remain above El Niño thresholds into the southern hemisphere autumn 2024.
The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive. The SAM index is expected to decrease slightly, but stay near the positive SAM threshold for the coming fortnight.
The positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event is weakening steadily.
The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently over the Indian Ocean. In the coming weeks, international climate models suggest it is likely to move across the Maritime Continent, strengthening as it shifts into Australian longitudes.
Global warming – global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were highest on record for their respective months during April to November. Forecast unusually warm sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Tasman Sea may also be contributing to a chance of above median summer rainfall over parts of Australia.
Read the full report on our website. It includes the latest updates on climate drivers in the Pacific, Indian and Southern oceans, and the tropics.
Media liaison (03) 9669 4057
Technical enquiries helpdesk.climate@bom.gov.au
Next update expected by 23 January 2024
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