Research on Arabian Sea Cyclones by Vag.Shitij Jain.
I have conducted a research and have found that post monsoon months i.e. in October and November, the cyclones/depressions crossing Gujarat from Arabian sea have decreased considerably as compared with 100 years ago.
When compared to late 19th century period, from 1892 year to 1916 year 13 cyclones/depressions formed in Arabian sea in Oct & Nov month out of which 4 cyclones crossed Gujarat. This works out to 31%.
From 1936 to 1960 20 systems formed out of which 8 systems made landfall over Gujarat/konkan which comes to whopping 40%!!!!! And just 2 cyclones managed to move to Oman rest all died in sea itself!
But in recent years from 1998 to 2022, 31 cyclones/depressions have formed in Arabian sea out of which 5 systems have managed to made landfall into Gujarat that comes to only 16%.