Thursday, July 27, 2023

Posted 27th Midnight 

Outlook : Mumbai rainfall will reduce from Friday, latest by noon, and Saturday will be getting sunny periods as explained. 

Now read 👇

Mumbai, North Konkan and Maharashtra Ghats have been lashed by heavy rains in the last 8 days.

Mumbai received as much as. 747 mms cumulative in 7 days : 21st - 27th.( July normal is 920 mms. July total this year 1668 mms).

Other Konkan Stations also had torrential downpour.

The good part was that all the rain in the ghats and coastal konkan was distributed equally on daily basis...meaning not 400 mms in a day ,which would result in flash floods. 

Reasons:

The Bay Low BB -5, though awaited. has and will behave stubbornly. With sticky Monsoon trough in South of normal position, and an over actvated over enthusiastic off sore trough, the system low crossed coast near N.Andhra.

Resulting in rains reduction in Mumbai and Konkan. 


Now, from Friday 28th, due to W.D. circulation (CC), and the trough axis moving North rapidly, the low BB 5 will track North...a bit unusual.**

** This will bring about "Break Monsoon " condition. Break in rain intensity in Maharashtra, Gujarat and Peninsula from 3rd August.

Break monsoon is Normal for August. Can last from 4 days to 15 days. We feel the coming Break monsoon will be around 10 days...3rd to 13th August. 






1 comment:

Kinjal said...

It's Friday 2 pm and still raining heavily in Goregaon. What's the reason for this spell of 7 days

  Monsoon Watch  3 on vagaries at 9 pm IST