1. The winds, anti cyclone , at 850 levels, changing directions and indications at 200 level. OLR & UTH scene and poor cross equtorial winds, indicate the start of the withdrawal of the current South West Monsoon season from Western half of Pakistan.
We await the fizzling out ofthe BB-10 (depression as on Thursday) , and then announce the withdrawal from Pakistan and Western Rajasthan and Kutch, around 10th/12th September. Gujarat region can estimate withdrawal after 20th.
2. BB-10 being extremely active on Odisha on Wednesday and Thursday. Some really heavy rains in Odisha in last 24 hrs:Bhubaneswar city-104mm
System will weaken and track W/NW and fizzle out over West M.P. by 9th.But good rainfall expected in M.P. next 2 days.
Some places in East Vidharbh will get sharp showers.
Forecast for 7th Friday/ 7th Saturday and 9th Sunday
Jabalpur: Generally cloudy skies with moderate showers. Decreasing rains from 9th .
New Delhi: Cloudy skies, with some showers in some parts of the Capital.Rains decreasing from 10th . We see Monsoon withdrawal from extreme West Rajasthan around 10th. Depending on the axis, the anticyclone and OLR positions , we may estimate the withdrawal from Delhi around 20th September.
Mumbai: Friday/Saturday and Sunday: Partly cloudy skies with warm sunshine. Few showers in some parts of the city
Kolkata: Cloudy with showers on Friday. Few showers in parts of city on Saturday/Sunday.