Sunday, March 06, 2016


Posted Sunday Night:

Karachi: As mentioned by Vagaries earlier, M-2 will have effect on almost the entire length of Pakistan...
Karachi is expected to get cloudy weather on Monday 7th, with moderate West/SW winds. Tuesday gets more windy, with wind speeds increasing to 35 knts. Light Showers in some parts also expected on Tuesday 8th. An overcast day on Tuesday leads to a windy and cloudy Wednesday, as strong West/SW winds continue to blow in Karachi. A few spells of light rain possible in some parts on Wednesday (around 3-5 mms). Humidity increasing from gradually during the week.

Muscat:
Cloudy with light showers on Monday and Tuesday. Heavy showers with thunder expected on Wednesday. Thursday will be partly cloudy with light rains in some parts.

Abu Dhabi: Cloudy and overcast on Monday and Tuesday.Around 2-4 mms/day. Rains increase to heavy thunder showers on Wednesday , pouring maybe around 15-20 mms.

Mumbai: Partly cloudy skies on Monday and Tuesday, with the day around 33c, with mild nights. Wednesday warms up to 35c in S'Cruz. If things shape up as i expect, we can have a chance of some showers on Saturday 12th (No firm commitment at this stage).

M-2 approaches Pakistan from the West and the trough brings in initial precipitation along Southern Pakistan from 8th March. Slowly, due to poor divergence in the jet streams, the system moves into Kashmir and Northern India a bit later, around 10th March. 
Hence, precipitation from M-2 can start in India after Thursday 10th. We see proper precipitation in North and Central India then onwards.

13 comments:

Zohair said...

Load of thnx sir for specific karachi forecast :)

Zohair said...

35knot winds will produce by clouds development ot it would be just sea winds? What abt wd trough?

rajesh said...

Zohair: Winds will be West/South West as a result of the High Pressure strengthening in the sea South of KHI. This will whip up considerable moisture from Gulf along the Southern coast of Pakistan.Actaul WD trough will form after 10th as described in last para of this article.

Zohair said...

Ohhh good, thnx for ur replies sir, its honour for me :)

Vikas Malik said...

west MP will get rain from M-2?

Anuj Arora said...

I presume the M2 will bring lots of precipitation which will be bad for the farmers and the orchardist but the ground water table will heave a sigh of relief and the much needed snow
.This weather system will last for four to five days i presume

sudhir vitta said...

Request the team to post updates about Navi Mumbai dam levels too as there is water scarcity in the entire satellite city with exceptions like Taloja Panchanand.

Vikas Malik said...

Ujjain and indore will get heavy rain by M2 this weekend?

rajesh said...

Vikas Malik: Ujjain and Indore will get rain on Friday and Saturday.An induced low will form over North MP around Friday, in the trough of the M-2. This will bring rains in a belt from Saurahtra thru South Gujarat and into West MP...later, rain also occurs on Saturday in rest MP and parts of Maharashtra.

Sudhir Vitta: yes, your concern is right. We will look into it and give the information you requested.

Vikas Malik said...

Rainfall will be heavy or light,?

rajesh said...

vikas: I am not that competent enough to tell that 5 days in advance. As per the induced low indication strength today, seems around 5 mms.

Nilesh Ladhad said...

When to expect rains in Valsad, sir?

abizer Kachwala said...

RAJESH SIR WILL IT RAIN IN ROHA PEN AREAS