Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Posted Wednesday 9th March Night:

1. Heavy rains lash Abu Dhabi and other parts of UAE on Tuesday and Wednesday...On Wednesday, thunder storms lash Abu Dhabi, and the Airport measured 15 mms in the day.Local flooding has occurred in the region.
North Oman, including Muscat is being lashed by almost continuous rains last 24-36 hrs. Sudden heavy thunder spells have caused local and Wadi flooding. Seeb Airport measured 17 mms on Wednesday. 
Many dams in North Oman are full, but precautionary measures have been taken.

Muscat: Passing showers on Thursday, amounting to around 5-7 mms. Friday, Partly cloudy with light rain in some parts, Clearing by  Friday afternoon and Saturday will be dry.

Karachi: Light rains in parts of city on Thursday. Increase in intensity on Friday. Showers on Friday may measure around 8-10 mms.

Mumbai: Warm and hot till Friday..around 34/35c. Light rains expected around Mumbai on Saturday 12th.

2. Thursday 10th: M-2 , with the induced Low over the UAE region moves East on Thursday. Due to the Low, rains to some extent continue in UAE and Muscat. Rains move into Pakistan. Most of the country gets showers. Karachi will get some rain.

3. Friday 11th: The system M-2 moves into NW and North India. Some sharp showers expected in Pakistan, North-West and North India. Sharp showers in Karachi.

4. Saturday 12th: M-2 strengthens over North Pakistan and North India. Rains in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR, Kashmir, HP and North Rajasthan. The induced Low will bring showers to Gujarat Region, West MP ( Indore/Ujjain) and Madhya Maharashtra (Pune/Nasik).

Saturday and Sunday estimate will be put up again on Friday Night...


Rajesh said...

abizer: It seems now that light rains possible in around Panvel and Roha areas on Saturday.

Shitij said...

We can expect rain in Surat also on 12th March??

Zohair said...

10mm is Good for khi :)

Zohair said...
sir does this strong OLR values help the convection ?

Rajesh said...

Shitij: As the flow into Parts of Mah will be from the Arabian sea, I would say there is a chance for South Gujarat coast adjoining Mah coast to get clouds and light rain.

Zohair: OLR , is directly related to cloud cover, as well as rainfall.

Salim Ramani , Jabalpur said...

Sir ,
can we expect something from the system for Jabalpur (East MP) & Vidarbha ?

Nilesh Ladhad said...

So, sir can expect rains on 12th in Valsad?

Rajesh said...

Nilesh: Forecast for Valsad will be same as Surat...Now, the induced Low is fast weakening over Pakistan, and being "spent out". But will cross into India along with the M-2 trough. We are waiting to see if the Low remains embedded. Still, cloudy weather with scaterred rains in region possible.

Rajesh said...

Salim: Rain possible in Jabalpur on Saturday and Sunday...around 5-7 mms. Adjoining Vidharbh also can get rains.

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Posted Monday 6th July Afternoon: Western End of Monsoon axis slides South and is at system AS-2...and follows a uneven line as